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Radiomics-based nomogram using CT imaging for noninvasive preoperative prediction of early recurrence in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

ABSTRACT: PURPOSE:The aim of this study was to develop and validate a radiomics nomogram based on radiomics features and clinical data for the non-invasive preoperative prediction of early recurrence (?2 years) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHODS:We enrolled 262 HCC patients who underwent preoperative contrast-enhanced computed tomography and curative resection (training cohort, n=214; validation cohort, n=48). We applied propensity score matching (PSM) to eliminate redundancy between clinical characteristics and image features, and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) was used to prevent overfitting. Next, a radiomics signature, clinical nomogram, and combined clinical-radiomics nomogram were built to predict early recurrence, and we compared the performance and generalization of these models. RESULTS:The radiomics signature stratified patients into low-risk and high-risk, which show significantly difference in recurrence free survival and overall survival (P ? 0.01). Multivariable analysis identified dichotomised radiomics signature, alpha fetoprotein, and tumour number and size as key early recurrence indicators, which were incorporated into clinical and radiomics nomograms. The radiomics nomogram showed the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), with significantly superior predictive performance over the clinical nomogram in the training cohort (0.800 vs 0.716, respectively; P = 0.001) and the validation cohort (0.785 vs 0.654, respectively; P = 0.039). CONCLUSION:The radiomics nomogram is a non-invasive preoperative biomarker for predicting early recurrence in patients with HCC. This model may be of clinical utility for guiding surveillance follow-ups and identifying optimal interventional strategies.

SUBMITTER: Zhu HB

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7490026 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Radiomics-based nomogram using CT imaging for noninvasive preoperative prediction of early recurrence in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

Zhu Hong-Bo HB Zheng Ze-Yu ZY Zhao Heng H Zhang Jing J Zhu Hong H Li Yue-Hua YH Dong Zhong-Yi ZY Xiao Lu-Shan LS Kuang Jun-Jie JJ Zhang Xiao-Li XL Liu Li L

Diagnostic and interventional radiology (Ankara, Turkey) 20200901 5

<h4>Purpose</h4>The aim of this study was to develop and validate a radiomics nomogram based on radiomics features and clinical data for the non-invasive preoperative prediction of early recurrence (≤2 years) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).<h4>Methods</h4>We enrolled 262 HCC patients who underwent preoperative contrast-enhanced computed tomography and curative resection (training cohort, n=214; validation cohort, n=48). We applied propensity score matching (PSM) to eliminate red ...[more]

PMID: 32490826

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Project description:BackgroundRadiomics has emerged as a new approach that can help identify imaging information associated with tumor pathophysiology. We developed and validated a radiomics nomogram for preoperative prediction of microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).MethodsTwo hundred and eight patients with pathologically confirmed HCC (training cohort: n = 146; validation cohort: n = 62) who underwent preoperative gadoxetic acid-enhanced magnetic resonance (MR) imaging were included. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression was applied to select features and construct signatures derived from MR images. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify the significant clinicoradiological variables and radiomics signatures associated with MVI, which were then incorporated into the predictive nomogram. The performance of the radiomics nomogram was evaluated by its calibration, discrimination, and clinical utility.ResultsHigher α-fetoprotein level (p = 0.046), nonsmooth tumor margin (p = 0.003), arterial peritumoral enhancement (p < 0.001), and the radiomics signatures of hepatobiliary phase (HBP) T1-weighted images (p < 0.001) and HBP T1 maps (p < 0.001) were independent risk factors of MVI. The predictive model that incorporated the clinicoradiological factors and the radiomic features derived from HBP images outperformed the combination of clinicoradiological factors in the training cohort (area under the curves [AUCs] 0.943 vs. 0.850; p = 0.002), though the validation did not have a statistical significance (AUCs 0.861 vs. 0.759; p = 0.111). The nomogram based on the model exhibited C-index of 0.936 (95% CI 0.895-0.976) and 0.864 (95% CI 0.761-0.967) in the training and validation cohort, fitting well in calibration curves (p > 0.05). Decision curve analysis further confirmed the clinical usefulness of the nomogram.ConclusionsThe nomogram incorporating clinicoradiological risk factors and radiomic features derived from HBP images achieved satisfactory preoperative prediction of the individualized risk of MVI in patients with HCC.

Project description:This study aimed to evaluate the feasibility of applying a clinical multimodal radiomics nomogram based on ultrasonography (US) and multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for the prediction of cervical lymph node metastasis (LNM) in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) preoperatively. We performed retrospective evaluations of 133 patients with pathologically confirmed PTC, who were assigned to the training cohort and validation cohort (7 : 3), and extracted radiomics features from the preoperative US, T2-weighted (T2WI),diffusion-weighted (DWI), and contrast-enhanced T1-weighted (CE-T1WI) images. Optimal subsets were selected using minimum redundancy, maximum relevance, and recursive feature elimination in the support vector machine (SVM). For LNM prediction, the radiomics model was constructed by SVM, and Multi-Omics Graph cOnvolutional NETworks (MOGONET) was used for the effective classification of multiradiomics data. Multivariable logistic regression incorporating multiradiomics signatures and clinical risk factors was used to generate a nomogram, whose performance and clinical utility were assessed. Results showed that the nine most predictive features were separately selected from US, T2WI, DWI, and CE-T1WI images, and 18 features were selected in the combined model. The combined radiomics model showed better performance than models based on US, T2WI, DWI, and CE-T1WI. In a comparison of the combined radiomics and MOGONET model, receiver operating curve analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) value (95% CI) was 0.84 (0.76-0.93) and 0.84 (0.71-0.96) for the MOGONET model in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The corresponding values (95% CI) for the combined radiomics model were 0.82 (0.74-0.90) and 0.77 (0.61-0.94), respectively. The MOGONET model had better performance and better prediction specificity compared with the combined radiomics model. The nomogram including the MOGONET signature showed a better predictive value (AUC: 0.81 vs. 0.88) in the training and validation (AUC: 0.74vs. 0.87) cohorts, as compared with the clinical model. Calibration curves showed good agreement in both cohorts. The applicability of the clinical multimodal radiomics (CMR) nomogram in clinical settings was validated by decision curve analysis. In patients with PTC, the CMR nomogram could improve the prediction of cervical LNM preoperatively and may be helpful in clinical decision-making.

Project description:PURPOSE:To build and validate a radiomics-based nomogram for the prediction of pre-operation lymph node (LN) metastasis in esophageal cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS:A total of 197 esophageal cancer patients were enrolled in this study, and their LN metastases have been pathologically confirmed. The data were collected from January 2016 to May 2016; patients in the first three months were set in the training cohort, and patients in April 2016 were set in the validation cohort. About 788 radiomics features were extracted from computed tomography (CT) images of the patients. The elastic-net approach was exploited for dimension reduction and selection of the feature space. The multivariable logistic regression analysis was adopted to build the radiomics signature and another predictive nomogram model. The predictive nomogram model was composed of three factors with the radiomics signature, where CT reported the LN number and position risk level. The performance and usefulness of the built model were assessed by the calibration and decision curve analysis. RESULTS:Thirteen radiomics features were selected to build the radiomics signature. The radiomics signature was significantly associated with the LN metastasis (P<0.001). The area under the curve (AUC) of the radiomics signature performance in the training cohort was 0.806 (95% CI: 0.732-0.881), and in the validation cohort it was 0.771 (95% CI: 0.632-0.910). The model showed good discrimination, with a Harrell's Concordance Index of 0.768 (0.672 to 0.864, 95% CI) in the training cohort and 0.754 (0.603 to 0.895, 95% CI) in the validation cohort. Decision curve analysis showed our model will receive benefit when the threshold probability was larger than 0.15. CONCLUSION:The present study proposed a radiomics-based nomogram involving the radiomics signature, so the CT reported the status of the suspected LN and the dummy variable of the tumor position. It can be potentially applied in the individual preoperative prediction of the LN metastasis status in esophageal cancer patients.

Project description:PurposeThis study aimed to develop a radiomics nomogram based on contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) for preoperatively assessing microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients.MethodsA retrospective dataset of 313 HCC patients who underwent CEUS between September 20, 2016 and March 20, 2020 was enrolled in our study. The study population was randomly grouped as a primary dataset of 192 patients and a validation dataset of 121 patients. Radiomics features were extracted from the B-mode (BM), artery phase (AP), portal venous phase (PVP), and delay phase (DP) images of preoperatively acquired CEUS of each patient. After feature selection, the BM, AP, PVP, and DP radiomics scores (Rad-score) were constructed from the primary dataset. The four radiomics scores and clinical factors were used for multivariate logistic regression analysis, and a radiomics nomogram was then developed. We also built a preoperative clinical prediction model for comparison. The performance of the radiomics nomogram was evaluated via calibration, discrimination, and clinical usefulness.ResultsMultivariate analysis indicated that the PVP and DP Rad-score, tumor size, and AFP (alpha-fetoprotein) level were independent risk predictors associated with MVI. The radiomics nomogram incorporating these four predictors revealed a superior discrimination to the clinical model (based on tumor size and AFP level) in the primary dataset (AUC: 0.849 vs. 0.690; p < 0.001) and validation dataset (AUC: 0.788 vs. 0.661; p = 0.008), with a good calibration. Decision curve analysis also confirmed that the radiomics nomogram was clinically useful. Furthermore, the significant improvement of net reclassification index (NRI) and integrated discriminatory improvement (IDI) implied that the PVP and DP radiomics signatures may be very useful biomarkers for MVI prediction in HCC.ConclusionThe CEUS-based radiomics nomogram showed a favorable predictive value for the preoperative identification of MVI in HCC patients and could guide a more appropriate surgical planning.

Dataset Information

Radiomics-based nomogram using CT imaging for noninvasive preoperative prediction of early recurrence in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

Publications

Radiomics-based nomogram using CT imaging for noninvasive preoperative prediction of early recurrence in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

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