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An investigation of causal relationships between prediabetes and vascular complications.

ABSTRACT: Prediabetes is a state of glycaemic dysregulation below the diagnostic threshold of type 2 diabetes (T2D). Globally, ~352 million people have prediabetes, of which 35-50% develop full-blown diabetes within five years. T2D and its complications are costly to treat, causing considerable morbidity and early mortality. Whether prediabetes is causally related to diabetes complications is unclear. Here we report a causal inference analysis investigating the effects of prediabetes in coronary artery disease, stroke and chronic kidney disease, complemented by a systematic review of relevant observational studies. Although the observational studies suggest that prediabetes is broadly associated with diabetes complications, the causal inference analysis revealed that prediabetes is only causally related with coronary artery disease, with no evidence of causal effects on other diabetes complications. In conclusion, prediabetes likely causes coronary artery disease and its prevention is likely to be most effective if initiated prior to the onset of diabetes.

SUBMITTER: Mutie PM

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7490420 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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An investigation of causal relationships between prediabetes and vascular complications.

Mutie Pascal M PM Pomares-Millan Hugo H Atabaki-Pasdar Naeimeh N Jordan Nina N Adams Rachel R Daly Nicole L NL Tajes Juan Fernandes JF Giordano Giuseppe N GN Franks Paul W PW

Nature communications 20200914 1

Prediabetes is a state of glycaemic dysregulation below the diagnostic threshold of type 2 diabetes (T2D). Globally, ~352 million people have prediabetes, of which 35-50% develop full-blown diabetes within five years. T2D and its complications are costly to treat, causing considerable morbidity and early mortality. Whether prediabetes is causally related to diabetes complications is unclear. Here we report a causal inference analysis investigating the effects of prediabetes in coronary artery di ...[more]

PMID: 32929089

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Project description:BackgroundEnvironmental factors are associated with human longevity, but their specificity and causality remain mostly unclear. By integrating the innovative "exposome" concept developed in the field of environmental epidemiology, this study aims to determine the components of exposome causally linked to longevity using Mendelian randomization (MR) approach.MethodsA total of 4587 environmental exposures extracting from 361,194 individuals from the UK biobank, in exogenous and endogenous domains of exposome were assessed. We examined the relationship between each environmental factor and two longevity outcomes (i.e., surviving to the 90th or 99th percentile age) from various cohorts of European ancestry. Significant results after false discovery rates correction underwent validation using an independent exposure dataset.ResultsOut of all the environmental exposures, eight age-related diseases and pathological conditions were causally associated with lower odds of longevity, including coronary atherosclerosis (odds ratio = 0.77, 95% confidence interval [0.70, 0.84], P = 4.2 × 10-8), ischemic heart disease (0.66, [0.51, 0.87], P = 0.0029), angina (0.73, [0.65, 0.83], P = 5.4 × 10-7), Alzheimer's disease (0.80, [0.72, 0.89], P = 3.0 × 10-5), hypertension (0.70, [0.64, 0.77], P = 4.5 × 10-14), type 2 diabetes (0.88 [0.80, 0.96], P = 0.004), high cholesterol (0.81, [0.72, 0.91], P = 0.0003), and venous thromboembolism (0.92, [0.87, 0.97], P = 0.0028). After adjusting for genetic correlation between different types of blood lipids, higher levels of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (0.72 [0.64, 0.80], P = 2.3 × 10-9) was associated with lower odds of longevity, while high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (1.36 [1.13, 1.62], P = 0.001) showed the opposite. Genetically predicted sitting/standing height was unrelated to longevity, while higher comparative height size at 10 was negatively associated with longevity. Greater body fat, especially the trunk fat mass, and never eat sugar or foods/drinks containing sugar were adversely associated with longevity, while education attainment showed the opposite.ConclusionsThe present study supports that some age-related diseases as well as education are causally related to longevity and highlights several new targets for achieving longevity, including management of venous thromboembolism, appropriate intake of sugar, and control of body fat. Our results warrant further studies to elucidate the underlying mechanisms of these reported causal associations.

Project description:Background & aimsNon-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), type 2 diabetes (T2D) and obesity are epidemiologically correlated with each other but the causal inter-relationships between them remain incompletely understood. We aimed to explore the causal relationships between the 3 diseases.MethodsUsing both UK Biobank and publicly available genome-wide association study data, we performed a 2-sample bidirectional Mendelian randomization analysis to test the causal inter-relationships between NAFLD, T2D, and obesity. Transgenic mice expressing the human PNPLA3-I148M isoforms (TghPNPLA3-I148M) were used as an example to validate causal effects and explore underlying mechanisms.ResultsGenetically driven NAFLD significantly increased the risk of T2D and central obesity but not insulin resistance or generalized obesity, while genetically driven T2D, body mass index and WHRadjBMI causally increased NAFLD risk. The animal study focusing on PNPLA3 corroborated these causal effects: compared to the TghPNPLA3-I148I controls, the TghPNPLA3-I148M mice developed glucose intolerance and increased visceral fat, but maintained normal insulin sensitivity, reduced body weight, and decreased circulating total cholesterol. Mechanistically, the TghPNPLA3-I148M mice demonstrated decreased pancreatic insulin but increased glucagon secretion, which was associated with increased pancreatic inflammation. In addition, transcription of hepatic cholesterol biosynthesis pathway genes was significantly suppressed, while transcription of thermogenic pathway genes was activated in subcutaneous and brown adipose tissues but not in visceral fat in TghPNPLA3-I148M mice.ConclusionsOur study suggests that lifelong, genetically driven NAFLD causally promotes T2D with a late-onset type 1-like diabetic subphenotype and central obesity; while genetically driven T2D, obesity, and central obesity all causally increase the risk of NAFLD. This causal relationship revealed new insights into how nature and nurture drive these diseases, providing novel hypotheses for disease subphenotyping.Lay summaryNon-alcoholic fatty liver disease, type 2 diabetes and obesity are epidemiologically correlated with each other, but their causal relationships were incompletely understood. Herein, we identified causal relationships between these conditions, which suggest that each of these closely related diseases should be further stratified into subtypes. This is important for accurate diagnosis, prevention and treatment of these diseases.

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An investigation of causal relationships between prediabetes and vascular complications.

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An investigation of causal relationships between prediabetes and vascular complications.

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