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A Novel Prognostic Scoring System Integrating Gene Expressions and Clinicopathological Characteristics to Predict Very Early Relapse in Node-Negative Estrogen Receptor-Positive/HER2-Negative Breast Cancer.

ABSTRACT: Background: Despite low aggressiveness in tumor biology and high responsiveness to endocrine therapy, subgroups of patients with estrogen receptor-positive/HER2-negative (ER+/HER2-) breast cancer relapse early in the first two years after initiation of endocrine therapy, indicating potential endocrine resistance. Accordingly, we attempted to establish a scoring system to inform the first-2-year prognosis (F2P Score). Methods: Patients with node-negative ER+/HER2- breast cancer and complete data of gene expressions in a 21-gene panel were retrospectively retrieved from Shanghai Jiao Tong University Breast Cancer Database (SJTU-BCDB). The F2P Score was established based on the clinical and genomic variables associated with the first-2-year relapse after shrinkage correction and validated using the bootstrap resampling method. Model performance was quantified by Harrell's concordance-index (C-index) and Bayesian information criteria (BIC). Results: The F2P Score was established by integrating the clinical (age and tumor size) and genomic (ESR1, PGR, BCL2, CD68, GSTM1, and BAG1) variables with a C-index of 0.71 and BIC of 397.46. Bootstrap C-index was 0.72 (95% CI, 0.62-0.81) and BIC was 396.75 (95% CI, 252.37-541.13). A higher score indicated an increased likelihood of a first-2-year relapse, when used as continuous (HR, 2.94; 95% CI, 1.87-4.61) or categorical (HR, 3.68; 95% CI, 1.70-8.00) predictors in multivariate analysis. Both continuous and categorical F2P Score also remained prognostic for overall survival and other endpoints. No significant interaction was observed between the F2P Score and treatment subgroups. Additionally, the F2P Score outperformed the IHC4, clinical treatment score and 21-gene test in predicting first-2-year relapse. Conclusion: The F2P Score reported herein, integrating the clinicopathological and genomic variables, may inform prognosis and endocrine responsiveness. After the benefits and risks have been considered, treatment escalation may be an alternative strategy for patients with a higher score.

SUBMITTER: Lin C

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7518385 | biostudies-literature | 2020

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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A Novel Prognostic Scoring System Integrating Gene Expressions and Clinicopathological Characteristics to Predict Very Early Relapse in Node-Negative Estrogen Receptor-Positive/HER2-Negative Breast Cancer.

Lin Caijin C Wu Jiayi J Lin Lin L Fei Xiaochun X Chen Xiaosong X Huang Ou O He Jianrong J Chen Weiguo W Li Yafen Y Shen Kunwei K Zhu Li L

Frontiers in oncology 20200911

<b>Background:</b> Despite low aggressiveness in tumor biology and high responsiveness to endocrine therapy, subgroups of patients with estrogen receptor-positive/HER2-negative (ER+/HER2-) breast cancer relapse early in the first two years after initiation of endocrine therapy, indicating potential endocrine resistance. Accordingly, we attempted to establish a scoring system to inform the first-2-year prognosis (F2P Score). <b>Methods:</b> Patients with node-negative ER+/HER2- breast cancer and ...[more]

PMID: 33042787

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Project description:Background:Although 1% has been used as cut-off for estrogen receptor (ER) positivity, several studies have reported that tumors with ER?<?1% have characteristics similar to those with 1%???ER?<?10%. We hypothesized that in patients with human epidermal growth factor 2 (HER2)-negative breast cancer, a cut-off of 10% is more useful than one of 1% in discriminating for both a better pathological complete response (pCR) rate to neoadjuvant chemotherapy and a better long-term outcome with adjuvant hormonal therapy. Our objectives were to identify a percentage of ER expression below which pCR was likely and to determine whether this cut-off value can identify patients who would benefit from adjuvant hormonal therapy. Patients and methods:Patients with stage II or III HER2-negative primary breast cancer who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by definitive surgery between June 1982 and June 2013 were included. Logistic regression models were used to assess the association between each variable and pCR. Cox models were used to analyze time to recurrence and overall survival. The recursive partitioning and regression trees method was used to calculate the cut-off value of ER expression. Results:A total of 3055 patients were analyzed. Low percentage of ER was significantly associated with high pCR rate (OR?=?0.99, 95% CI?=?0.986-0.994, P?<?0.001). The recommended cut-off of ER expression below which pCR was likely was 9.5%. Among patients with ER???10% tumors, but not those with 1%?ER?<?10% tumors, adjuvant hormonal therapy was significantly associated with long time to recurrence (HR?=?0.24, 95% CI?=?0.16-0.36, P?<?0.001) and overall survival (HR?=?0.32, 95% CI?=?0.2-0.5, P?<?0.001). Conclusion:Stage II or III HER2-negative primary breast cancer with ER?<?10% behaves clinically like triple-negative breast cancer in terms of pCR and survival outcomes and patients with such tumors may have a limited benefit from adjuvant hormonal therapy. It may be more clinically relevant to define triple-negative breast cancer as HER2-negative breast cancer with?<10%, rather than?<1%, of ER and/or progesterone receptor expression.

Project description:The clinical significance of progesterone receptor (PgR) expression in estrogen receptor-negative (ER-) breast cancer is controversial. Herein, we systemically investigate the clinicopathologic features, molecular essence, and endocrine responsiveness of ER-/PgR+/HER2- phenotype.Four study cohorts were included. The first and second cohorts were from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (n?=?67,932) and Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center (n?=?2,338), respectively, for clinicopathologic and survival analysis. The third and fourth cohorts were from two independent publicly available microarray datasets including 837 operable cases and 483 cases undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy, respectively, for clinicopathologic and gene-expression analysis. Characterized genes defining subgroups within the ER-/PgR+/HER2- phenotype were determined and further validated.Clinicopathologic features and survival outcomes of the ER-/PgR+ phenotype fell in between the ER+/PgR+ and ER-/PgR- phenotypes, but were more similar to ER-/PgR-. Among the ER-/PgR+ phenotype, 30% (95% confidence interval [CI] 17-42%, pooled by a fixed-effects method) were luminal-like and 59% (95% CI 45-72%, pooled by a fixed-effects method) were basal-like. We further refined the characterized genes for subtypes within the ER-/PgR+ phenotype and developed an immunohistochemistry-based method that could determine the molecular essence of ER-/PgR+ using three markers, TFF1, CK5, and EGFR. Either PAM50-defined or immunohistochemistry-defined basal-like ER-/PgR+ cases have a lower endocrine therapy sensitivity score compared with luminal-like ER-/PgR+ cases (P <0.0001 by Mann-Whitney test for each study set and P <0.0001 for pooled standardized mean difference in meta-analysis). Immunohistochemistry-defined basal-like ER-/PgR+ cases might not benefit from adjuvant endocrine therapy (log-rank P?=?0.61 for sufficient versus insufficient endocrine therapy).The majority of ER-/PgR+/HER2- phenotype breast cancers are basal-like and associated with a lower endocrine therapy sensitivity score. Additional studies are needed to validate these findings.

Project description:Estrogen receptor-positive, progesterone receptor-negative, and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative (ER+PR-HER2-) breast cancer comprise a special type of breast cancer that constitutes ~10% of all breast cancer patients. ER+PR-HER2- tumor benefits less from endocrine therapy, while its genomic features remain elusive. In this study, we systematically assessed the multiomic landscape and endocrine responsiveness of ER+PR-HER2- breast cancer. Methods: This study incorporated five cohorts. The first and second cohorts were from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (n=130,856) and Molecular Taxonomy of Breast Cancer International Consortium (n=1,055) for analyzing survival outcomes and endocrine responsiveness. The third cohort was from The Cancer Genome Atlas (n=630) for multiomic analysis and endocrine-resistant subgroup exploration. The fourth cohort, from the MD Anderson database (n=92), was employed to assist gene selection. The fifth cohort was a prospective observational cohort from Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center (n=245) that was utilized to validate the gene-defined subgroup by immunohistochemistry (IHC). Results: Clinically, ER+PR-HER2- tumors showed lower endocrine responsiveness than did ER+PR+HER2- tumors. Genomically, copy number loss or promoter methylation of PR genes occurred in 75% of ER+PR-HER2- tumors, collectively explaining PR loss. ER+PR-HER2- tumors had higher TP53 (30.3% vs. 17.0%) and lower PIK3CA mutation rates (25.8% vs. 42.7%) and exhibited more ZNF703 (21.5% vs. 13.6%) and RPS6KB1 (18.5% vs. 7.8%) amplification events than ER+PR+HER2- tumors. Among ER+PR-HER2- tumors, nearly 20% were of the PAM50-defined non-luminal-like subgroup and manifested lower endocrine sensitivity scores and enriched biosynthesis, metabolism and DNA replication pathways. We further identified the non-luminal-like subgroup using three IHC markers, GATA3, CK5, and EGFR. These IHC-defined non-luminal-like (GATA3-negative, CK5-positive and/or EGFR-positive) tumors received limited benefit from adjuvant endocrine therapy. Conclusion: ER+PR-HER2- breast cancer consists of clinically and genomically distinct groups that may require different treatment strategies. The non-luminal-like subgroup was associated with reduced benefit from endocrine therapy.

Dataset Information

A Novel Prognostic Scoring System Integrating Gene Expressions and Clinicopathological Characteristics to Predict Very Early Relapse in Node-Negative Estrogen Receptor-Positive/HER2-Negative Breast Cancer.

Publications

A Novel Prognostic Scoring System Integrating Gene Expressions and Clinicopathological Characteristics to Predict Very Early Relapse in Node-Negative Estrogen Receptor-Positive/HER2-Negative Breast Cancer.

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