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Left ventricular midwall fibrosis as a predictor of sudden cardiac death in non-ischaemic dilated cardiomyopathy: a meta-analysis.

ABSTRACT: Identification of patients with non-ischaemic dilated cardiomyopathy (NICM) who are at risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) and could benefit from an implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) is challenging. The study aims to systematically assess the prognostic value of left ventricular (LV) midwall late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) pattern in patients with NICM and further explore its value on predicting SCD events. The study was prospectively registered in PROPSERO (CRD42019138468). We systematically searched PubMed, Ovid Embase, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, and ClinicalTrials.gov to identify studies that evaluated the association between LV midwall LGE and clinical outcomes (all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and SCD or aborted SCD endpoint) in NICM patients. A meta-analysis was performed to determine pooled odds ratio (OR) for these adverse events. Seven studies including 1827 NICM patients over a mean follow-up duration of 36.1 ± 19.3 months were included. The presence of LV midwall LGE pattern was observed in 562 (30.8%) patients. The pooled OR was 3.37 [95% confidence intervals (CIs): 1.35-8.42] for all-cause mortality, 5.56 (95% CI: 1.23-25.22) for cardiovascular mortality, and 2.25 (95% CI: 1.16-3.16) for SCD or aborted SCD. In a subgroup analysis with mean ejection fraction cut-off point of 35%, the pooled OR for SCD or aborted SCD was 2.06 (95% CI: 1.32-3.22) for LV ejection fraction (LVEF) > 35% and 2.49 (95% CI: 1.48-4.20) for LVEF ? 35%. In addition, our study indicated that LV midwall LGE showed an excellent negative predictive value in identifying high-risk NICM patients and that the number needed to treat with ICD implantation in NICM patients with midwall LGE is 7. The presence of LV midwall on LGE is a significant prognosticator of adverse events in NICM patients. Additionally, patients with LV midwall LGE may be considered for ICD therapy irrespective of LVEF.

SUBMITTER: Wang J

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7524301 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Left ventricular midwall fibrosis as a predictor of sudden cardiac death in non-ischaemic dilated cardiomyopathy: a meta-analysis.

Wang Jie J Yang Fuyao F Wan Ke K Mui David D Han Yuchi Y Chen Yucheng Y

ESC heart failure 20200630 5

Identification of patients with non-ischaemic dilated cardiomyopathy (NICM) who are at risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) and could benefit from an implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) is challenging. The study aims to systematically assess the prognostic value of left ventricular (LV) midwall late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) pattern in patients with NICM and further explore its value on predicting SCD events. The study was prospectively registered in PROPSERO (CRD42019138468). We syste ...[more]

PMID: 32603034

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Project description:BACKGROUND:Current guidelines only recommend the use of an implantable cardioverter defibrillator in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy for the primary prevention of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in those with a left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) <35%. However, registries of out-of-hospital cardiac arrests demonstrate that 70% to 80% of such patients have an LVEF >35%. Patients with an LVEF >35% also have low competing risks of death from nonsudden causes. Therefore, those at high risk of SCD may gain longevity from successful implantable cardioverter defibrillator therapy. We investigated whether late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) cardiovascular magnetic resonance identified patients with dilated cardiomyopathy without severe LV systolic dysfunction at high risk of SCD. METHODS:We prospectively investigated the association between midwall LGE and the prespecified primary composite outcome of SCD or aborted SCD among consecutive referrals with dilated cardiomyopathy and an LVEF ?40% to our center between January 2000 and December 2011 who did not have a preexisting indication for implantable cardioverter defibrillator implantation. RESULTS:Of 399 patients (145 women, median age 50 years, median LVEF 50%, 25.3% with LGE) followed for a median of 4.6 years, 18 of 101 (17.8%) patients with LGE reached the prespecified end point, compared with 7 of 298 (2.3%) without (hazard ratio [HR], 9.2; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.9-21.8; P<0.0001). Nine patients (8.9%) with LGE compared with 6 (2.0%) without (HR, 4.9; 95% CI, 1.8-13.5; P=0.002) died suddenly, whereas 10 patients (9.9%) with LGE compared with 1 patient (0.3%) without (HR, 34.8; 95% CI, 4.6-266.6; P<0.001) had aborted SCD. After adjustment, LGE predicted the composite end point (HR, 9.3; 95% CI, 3.9-22.3; P<0.0001), SCD (HR, 4.8; 95% CI, 1.7-13.8; P=0.003), and aborted SCD (HR, 35.9; 95% CI, 4.8-271.4; P<0.001). Estimated HRs for the primary end point for patients with an LGE extent of 0% to 2.5%, 2.5% to 5%, and >5% compared with those without LGE were 10.6 (95% CI, 3.9-29.4), 4.9 (95% CI, 1.3-18.9), and 11.8 (95% CI, 4.3-32.3), respectively. CONCLUSIONS:Midwall LGE identifies a group of patients with dilated cardiomyopathy and an LVEF ?40% at increased risk of SCD and low risk of nonsudden death who may benefit from implantable cardioverter defibrillator implantation. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION:URL: http://clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00930735.

Project description:BackgroundMaximal left ventricular wall thickness (MLVWT) is a risk factor for sudden cardiac death (SCD) in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). In adults, the severity of left ventricular hypertrophy has a nonlinear relationship with SCD, but it is not known whether the same complex relationship is seen in childhood. The aim of this study was to describe the relationship between left ventricular hypertrophy and SCD risk in a large international pediatric HCM cohort.MethodsThe study cohort comprised 1075 children (mean age, 10.2 years [±4.4]) diagnosed with HCM (1-16 years) from the International Paediatric Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy Consortium. Anonymized, noninvasive clinical data were collected from baseline evaluation and follow-up, and 5-year estimated SCD risk was calculated (HCM Risk-Kids).ResultsMLVWT Z score was <10 in 598 (58.1%), ≥10 to <20 in 334 (31.1%), and ≥20 in 143 (13.3%). Higher MLVWT Z scores were associated with heart failure symptoms, unexplained syncope, left ventricular outflow tract obstruction, left atrial dilatation, and nonsustained ventricular tachycardia. One hundred twenty-two patients (71.3%) with MLVWT Z score ≥20 had coexisting risk factors for SCD. Over a median follow-up of 4.9 years (interquartile range, 2.3-9.3), 115 (10.7%) had an SCD event. Freedom from SCD event at 5 years for those with MLVWT Z scores <10, ≥10 to <20, and ≥20 was 95.6%, 87.4%, and 86.0, respectively. The estimated SCD risk at 5 years had a nonlinear, inverted U-shaped relationship with MLVWT Z score, peaking at Z score +23. The presence of coexisting risk factors had a summative effect on risk.ConclusionsIn children with HCM, an inverted U-shaped relationship exists between left ventricular hypertrophy and estimated SCD risk. The presence of additional risk factors has a summative effect on risk. While MLVWT is important for risk stratification, it should not be used either as a binary variable or in isolation to guide implantable cardioverter defibrillator implantation decisions in children with HCM.

Project description:BackgroundArrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) is associated with ventricular arrhythmias (VA) and sudden cardiac death (SCD). A model was recently developed to predict incident sustained VA in patients with ARVC. However, since this outcome may overestimate the risk for SCD, we aimed to specifically predict life-threatening VA (LTVA) as a closer surrogate for SCD.MethodsWe assembled a retrospective cohort of definite ARVC cases from 15 centers in North America and Europe. Association of 8 prespecified clinical predictors with LTVA (SCD, aborted SCD, sustained, or implantable cardioverter-defibrillator treated ventricular tachycardia >250 beats per minute) in follow-up was assessed by Cox regression with backward selection. Candidate variables included age, sex, prior sustained VA (?30s, hemodynamically unstable, or implantable cardioverter-defibrillator treated ventricular tachycardia; or aborted SCD), syncope, 24-hour premature ventricular complexes count, the number of anterior and inferior leads with T-wave inversion, left and right ventricular ejection fraction. The resulting model was internally validated using bootstrapping.ResultsA total of 864 patients with definite ARVC (40±16 years; 53% male) were included. Over 5.75 years (interquartile range, 2.77-10.58) of follow-up, 93 (10.8%) patients experienced LTVA including 15 with SCD/aborted SCD (1.7%). Of the 8 prespecified clinical predictors, only 4 (younger age, male sex, premature ventricular complex count, and number of leads with T-wave inversion) were associated with LTVA. Notably, prior sustained VA did not predict subsequent LTVA (P=0.850). A model including only these 4 predictors had an optimism-corrected C-index of 0.74 (95% CI, 0.69-0.80) and calibration slope of 0.95 (95% CI, 0.94-0.98) indicating minimal over-optimism.ConclusionsLTVA events in patients with ARVC can be predicted by a novel simple prediction model using only 4 clinical predictors. Prior sustained VA and the extent of functional heart disease are not associated with subsequent LTVA events.

Dataset Information

Left ventricular midwall fibrosis as a predictor of sudden cardiac death in non-ischaemic dilated cardiomyopathy: a meta-analysis.

Publications

Left ventricular midwall fibrosis as a predictor of sudden cardiac death in non-ischaemic dilated cardiomyopathy: a meta-analysis.

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