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Carbonate-silicate cycle predictions of Earth-like planetary climates and testing the habitable zone concept.


ABSTRACT: In the conventional habitable zone (HZ) concept, a CO2-H2O greenhouse maintains surface liquid water. Through the water-mediated carbonate-silicate weathering cycle, atmospheric CO2 partial pressure (pCO2) responds to changes in surface temperature, stabilizing the climate over geologic timescales. We show that this weathering feedback ought to produce a log-linear relationship between pCO2 and incident flux on Earth-like planets in the HZ. However, this trend has scatter because geophysical and physicochemical parameters can vary, such as land area for weathering and CO2 outgassing fluxes. Using a coupled climate and carbonate-silicate weathering model, we quantify the likely scatter in pCO2 with orbital distance throughout the HZ. From this dispersion, we predict a two-dimensional relationship between incident flux and pCO2 in the HZ and show that it could be detected from at least 83 (2?) Earth-like exoplanet observations. If fewer Earth-like exoplanets are observed, testing the HZ hypothesis from this relationship could be difficult.

SUBMITTER: Lehmer OR 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7708846 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Carbonate-silicate cycle predictions of Earth-like planetary climates and testing the habitable zone concept.

Lehmer Owen R OR   Catling David C DC   Krissansen-Totton Joshua J  

Nature communications 20201201 1


In the conventional habitable zone (HZ) concept, a CO<sub>2</sub>-H<sub>2</sub>O greenhouse maintains surface liquid water. Through the water-mediated carbonate-silicate weathering cycle, atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> partial pressure (pCO<sub>2</sub>) responds to changes in surface temperature, stabilizing the climate over geologic timescales. We show that this weathering feedback ought to produce a log-linear relationship between pCO<sub>2</sub> and incident flux on Earth-like planets in the HZ.  ...[more]

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