Ontology highlight
ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Carroll C
PROVIDER: S-EPMC7712909 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Dec
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Scientific reports 20201203 1
We apply tools from functional data analysis to model cumulative trajectories of COVID-19 cases across countries, establishing a framework for quantifying and comparing cases and deaths across countries longitudinally. It emerges that a country's trajectory during an initial first month "priming period" largely determines how the situation unfolds subsequently. We also propose a method for forecasting case counts, which takes advantage of the common, latent information in the entire sample of cu ...[more]