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Analysis of genomic distributions of SARS-CoV-2 reveals a dominant strain type with strong allelic associations.

ABSTRACT: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the causal agent of COVID 19, continues to evolve since its first emergence in December 2019. Using the complete sequences of 1,932 SARS-CoV-2 genomes, various clustering analyses consistently identified six types of the strains. Independent of the dendrogram construction, 13 signature variations in the form of single nucleotide variations (SNVs) in protein coding regions and one SNV in the 5' untranslated region (UTR) were identified and provided a direct interpretation for the six types (types I to VI). The six types of the strains and their underlying signature SNVs were validated in two subsequent analyses of 6,228 and 38,248 SARS-CoV-2 genomes which became available later. To date, type VI, characterized by the four signature SNVs C241T (5'UTR), C3037T (nsp3 F924F), C14408T (nsp12 P4715L), and A23403G (Spike D614G), with strong allelic associations, has become the dominant type. Since C241T is in the 5' UTR with uncertain significance and the characteristics can be captured by the other three strongly associated SNVs, we focus on the other three. The increasing frequency of the type VI haplotype 3037T-14408T-23403G in the majority of the submitted samples in various countries suggests a possible fitness gain conferred by the type VI signature SNVs. The fact that strains missing one or two of these signature SNVs fail to persist implies possible interactions among these SNVs. Later SNVs such as G28881A, G28882A, and G28883C have emerged with strong allelic associations, forming new subtypes. This study suggests that SNVs may become an important consideration in SARS-CoV-2 classification and surveillance.

SUBMITTER: Yang HC

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7720151 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Analysis of genomic distributions of SARS-CoV-2 reveals a dominant strain type with strong allelic associations.

Yang Hsin-Chou HC Chen Chun-Houh CH Wang Jen-Hung JH Liao Hsiao-Chi HC Yang Chih-Ting CT Chen Chia-Wei CW Lin Yin-Chun YC Kao Chiun-How CH Lu Mei-Yeh Jade MJ Liao James C JC

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 20201112 48

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the causal agent of COVID 19, continues to evolve since its first emergence in December 2019. Using the complete sequences of 1,932 SARS-CoV-2 genomes, various clustering analyses consistently identified six types of the strains. Independent of the dendrogram construction, 13 signature variations in the form of single nucleotide variations (SNVs) in protein coding regions and one SNV in the 5' untranslated region (UTR) were identified ...[more]

PMID: 33184173

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Project description:The spread of SARS-CoV-2 created a pandemic crisis with > 150,000 cumulative cases in > 65 countries within a few months. The reproductive number (R) is a metric to estimate the transmission of a pathogen during an outbreak. Preliminary published estimates were based on the initial outbreak in China. Whole genome sequences (WGS) analysis found mutational variations in the viral genome; however, previous comparisons failed to show a direct relationship between viral genome diversity, transmission, and the epidemic severity. COVID-19 incidences from different countries were modeled over the epidemic curve. Estimates of the instantaneous R (Wallinga and Teunis method) with a short and standard serial interval were done. WGS were used to determine the populations genomic variation and that underpinned creation of the pathogen genome identity (GENI) score, which was merged with the outbreak curve in four distinct phases. Inference of transmission time was based on a mutation rate of 2 mutations/month. R estimates revealed differences in the transmission and variable infection dynamics between and within outbreak progression for each country examined. Outside China, our R estimates observed propagating dynamics indicating that other countries were poised to move to the takeoff and exponential stages. Population density and local temperatures had no clear relationship to the outbreak progression. Integration of incidence data with the GENI score directly predicted increases in cases as the genome variation increased that led to new variants. Integrating the outbreak curve, dynamic R, and SNP variation found a direct association between increasing cases and transmission genome evolution. By defining the epidemic curve into four stages and integrating the instantaneous country-specific R with the GENI score, we directly connected changes in individual outbreaks based on changes in the virus genome via SNPs. This resulted in the ability to forecast potential increases in cases as well as mutations that may defeat PCR screening and the infection process. By using instantaneous R estimations and WGS, outbreak dynamics were defined to be linked to viral mutations, indicating that WGS, as a surveillance tool, is required to predict shifts in each outbreak that will provide actionable decision making information. Integrating epidemiology with genome sequencing and modeling allows for evidence-based disease outbreak tracking with predictive therapeutically valuable insights in near real time.

Dataset Information

Analysis of genomic distributions of SARS-CoV-2 reveals a dominant strain type with strong allelic associations.

Publications

Analysis of genomic distributions of SARS-CoV-2 reveals a dominant strain type with strong allelic associations.

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