Warming temperatures could expose more than 1.3 billion new people to Zika virus risk by 2050.

ABSTRACT: In the aftermath of the 2015 pandemic of Zika virus (ZIKV), concerns over links between climate change and emerging arboviruses have become more pressing. Given the potential that much of the world might remain at risk from the virus, we used a previously established temperature-dependent transmission model for ZIKV to project climate change impacts on transmission suitability risk by mid-century (a generation into the future). Based on these model predictions, in the worst-case scenario, over 1.3 billion new people could face suitable transmission temperatures for ZIKV by 2050. The next generation will face substantially increased ZIKV transmission temperature suitability in North America and Europe, where naïve populations might be particularly vulnerable. Mitigating climate change even

SUBMITTER: Ryan SJ 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7756632 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature