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Prognostic Factors of COVID-19 Infection in Elderly Patients: A Multicenter Study.

ABSTRACT: The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic is a substantial threat to the health of all populations worldwide, and old age is a robust risk factor for poor prognosis of COVID-19 infection. To reduce the fatality rate of COVID-19 infection, further understanding of elderly patients with COVID-19 is necessary. We aimed to investigate the prognostic factors in elderly patients with COVID-19. This was a multicenter and retrospective study. Overall, 340 elderly patients with COVID-19 were enrolled in 3 hospitals in Daegu, South Korea. Death and severe pneumonia requiring oxygen treatment were defined as poor clinical outcomes. Of the patients studied, 15% died and 35.2% were classified as having severe pneumonia. In binary logistic regression analysis, activities of daily living (ADL) impairment, fever during hospitalization, initial infiltration on chest radiograph, and initial increased C-reactive protein (CRP) were significantly associated with severe pneumonia (OR = 5.33, p < 0.001; OR = 3.2, p = 0.002; OR = 2.32, p = 0.044; and OR = 1.33, p < 0.001, respectively). ADL impairment, comorbidity, fever during hospitalization, and initial increased CRP were significantly associated with death (OR = 7.13, p < 0.001; OR = 3.28, p = 0.005; OR = 3.15, p = 0.032, and OR = 1.18, p < 0.001, respectively). ADL impairment, fever, and initial CRP were poor prognostic factors in elderly patients with COVID-19. Understanding these poor prognostic factors is necessary to control the disease in elderly patients.

SUBMITTER: Hwang J

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7761972 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Prognostic Factors of COVID-19 Infection in Elderly Patients: A Multicenter Study.

Hwang Jihye J Ryu Ho-Sung HS Kim Hyun Ah HA Hyun Miri M Lee Ji Yeon JY Yi Hyon-Ah HA

Journal of clinical medicine 20201204 12

The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic is a substantial threat to the health of all populations worldwide, and old age is a robust risk factor for poor prognosis of COVID-19 infection. To reduce the fatality rate of COVID-19 infection, further understanding of elderly patients with COVID-19 is necessary. We aimed to investigate the prognostic factors in elderly patients with COVID-19. This was a multicenter and retrospective study. Overall, 340 elderly patients with COVID-19 were enrolled in 3 ho ...[more]

PMID: 33291617

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Project description:BackgroundWith the dire economic situation in Lebanon, many of the basic resources of the hospitals needed to help fight COVID-19 infections are not available. In this paper, we studied the possible factors associated with increased mortality in a sample of Lebanese adults enrolled in three hospitals.MethodIn this retrospective cohort study, we analyzed data from 416 adults hospitalized in three institutions for a COVID-19 infection, from the opening of the COVID unit until their closure (period extending from March 2020 to June 2021). We used multivariate analyses to assess potential factors associated with COVID-19 mortality: gender, age, the presence of underlying medical conditions, and some medication taken during hospitalization.ResultsUsing variables related to baseline characteristics entered as independent variables, acute kidney injury (aOR = 4.057) and older age (aOR = 1.053) were associated with a higher probability of death. After adjusting baseline characteristics and factors related to admission entered as independent variables, enoxaparin intake (aOR = 0.435) was significantly associated with a lower probability of death, whereas old age (aOR = 1.049) and ventilation (aOR = 1.2) were significantly associated with higher odds of death. When all variables that showed significance in bivariate analysis were entered, old age (aOR = 1.243) and highest PaCO2 during hospitalization (aOR = 1.192) were significantly associated with higher mortality. With a weak effect, atrial fibrillation, COPD, and higher leucocyte counts on admission were significantly associated with higher odds of death.ConclusionThese findings could help us prevent severe diseases in patients with several comorbidities and adjust therapeutic care to improve future outcomes. More studies should compare the outcome of different COVID-19 strains as well as the impact of vaccination on those with multiple comorbidities, especially on the mortality rate culminating from disease complications.

Project description:BackgroundSevere COVID-19 infection results in a systemic inflammatory response (SIRS). This SIRS response shares similarities to the changes observed during the peri-operative period that are recognised to be associated with the development of multiple organ failure.MethodsElectronic patient records for patients who were admitted to an urban teaching hospital during the initial 7-week period of the COVID-19 pandemic in Glasgow, U.K. (17th March 2020-1st May 2020) were examined for routine clinical, laboratory and clinical outcome data. Age, sex, BMI and documented evidence of COVID-19 infection at time of discharge or death certification were considered minimal criteria for inclusion.ResultsOf the 224 patients who fulfilled the criteria for inclusion, 52 (23%) had died at 30-days following admission. COVID-19 related respiratory failure (75%) and multiorgan failure (12%) were the commonest causes of death recorded. Age ≥ 70 years (p < 0.001), past medical history of cognitive impairment (p ≤ 0.001), previous delirium (p < 0.001), clinical frailty score > 3 (p < 0.001), hypertension (p < 0.05), heart failure (p < 0.01), national early warning score (NEWS) > 4 (p < 0.01), positive CXR (p < 0.01), and subsequent positive COVID-19 swab (p ≤ 0.001) were associated with 30-day mortality. CRP > 80 mg/L (p < 0.05), albumin < 35 g/L (p < 0.05), peri-operative Glasgow Prognostic Score (poGPS) (p < 0.05), lymphocytes < 1.5 109/l (p < 0.05), neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (p ≤ 0.001), haematocrit (< 0.40 L/L (male)/ < 0.37 L/L (female)) (p ≤ 0.01), urea > 7.5 mmol/L (p < 0.001), creatinine > 130 mmol/L (p < 0.05) and elevated urea: albumin ratio (< 0.001) were also associated with 30-day mortality. On multivariate analysis, age ≥ 70 years (O.R. 3.9, 95% C.I. 1.4-8.2, p < 0.001), past medical history of heart failure (O.R. 3.3, 95% C.I. 1.2-19.3, p < 0.05), NEWS > 4 (O.R. 2.4, 95% C.I. 1.1-4.4, p < 0.05), positive initial CXR (O.R. 0.4, 95% C.I. 0.2-0.9, p < 0.05) and poGPS (O.R. 2.3, 95% C.I. 1.1-4.4, p < 0.05) remained independently associated with 30-day mortality. Among those patients who tested PCR COVID-19 positive (n = 122), age ≥ 70 years (O.R. 4.7, 95% C.I. 2.0-11.3, p < 0.001), past medical history of heart failure (O.R. 4.4, 95% C.I. 1.2-20.5, p < 0.05) and poGPS (O.R. 2.4, 95% C.I. 1.1-5.1, p < 0.05) remained independently associated with 30-days mortality.ConclusionAge ≥ 70 years and severe systemic inflammation as measured by the peri-operative Glasgow Prognostic Score are independently associated with 30-day mortality among patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19 infection.

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Prognostic Factors of COVID-19 Infection in Elderly Patients: A Multicenter Study.

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Prognostic Factors of COVID-19 Infection in Elderly Patients: A Multicenter Study.

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