Dataset Information

Adverse Trends in Premature Cardiometabolic Mortality in the United States, 1999 to 2018.

ABSTRACT: Background Life expectancy in the United States has recently declined, in part attributable to premature cardiometabolic mortality. We characterized national trends in premature cardiometabolic mortality, overall, and by race-sex groups. Methods and Results Using death certificates from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research, we quantified premature deaths (<65 years of age) from heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, and diabetes mellitus from 1999 to 2018. We calculated age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) and years of potential life lost (YPLL) from each cardiometabolic cause occurring at <65 years of age. We used Joinpoint regression to identify an inflection point in overall cardiometabolic AAMR trends. Average annual percent change in AAMRs and YPLL was quantified before and after the identified inflection point. From 1999 to 2018, annual premature deaths from heart disease (117 880 to 128 832), cerebrovascular disease (18 765 to 20 565), and diabetes mellitus (16 553 to 24 758) as an underlying cause of death increased. By 2018, 19.7% of all heart disease deaths, 13.9% of all cerebrovascular disease deaths, and 29.1% of all diabetes mellitus deaths were premature. AAMRs and YPLL from heart disease and cerebrovascular disease declined until the inflection point identified in 2011, then remained unchanged through 2018. Conversely, AAMRs and YPLL from diabetes mellitus did not change through 2011, then increased through 2018. Black men and women had higher AAMRs and greater YPLL for each cardiometabolic cause compared with White men and women, respectively. Conclusions Over one-fifth of cardiometabolic deaths occurred at <65 years of age. Recent stagnation in cardiometabolic AAMRs and YPLL are compounded by persistent racial disparities.

SUBMITTER: Shah NS

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7763768 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Adverse Trends in Premature Cardiometabolic Mortality in the United States, 1999 to 2018.

Shah Nilay S NS Lloyd-Jones Donald M DM Kandula Namratha R NR Huffman Mark D MD Capewell Simon S O'Flaherty Martin M Kershaw Kiarri N KN Carnethon Mercedes R MR Khan Sadiya S SS

Journal of the American Heart Association 20201123 23

Background Life expectancy in the United States has recently declined, in part attributable to premature cardiometabolic mortality. We characterized national trends in premature cardiometabolic mortality, overall, and by race-sex groups. Methods and Results Using death certificates from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research, we quantified premature deaths (<65 years of age) from heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, and diabetes me ...[more]

PMID: 33222597

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Project description:Background Evaluating premature (<65 years of age) mortality because of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) by demographic and regional characteristics may inform public health interventions. Methods and Results We used the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's WONDER (Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research) death certificate database to examine premature (<65 years of age) age-adjusted AMI mortality rates per 100 000 and average annual percentage change from 1999 to 2019. Overall, the age-adjusted AMI mortality rate was 13.4 (95% CI, 13.3-13.5). Middle-aged adults, men, non-Hispanic Black adults, and rural counties had higher mortality than young adults, women, NH White adults, and urban counties, respectively. Between 1999 and 2019, the age-adjusted AMI mortality rate decreased at an average annual percentage change of -3.4 per year (95% CI, -3.6 to -3.3), with the average annual percentage change showing higher decline in age-adjusted AMI mortality rates among large (-4.2 per year [95% CI, -4.4 to -4.0]), and medium/small metros (-3.3 per year [95% CI, -3.5 to -3.1]) than rural counties (-2.4 per year [95% CI, -2.8 to -1.9]). Age-adjusted AMI mortality rates >90th percentile were distributed in the Southern states, and those with mortality <10th percentile were clustered in the Western and Northeastern states. After an initial decline between 1999 and 2011 (-4.3 per year [95% CI, -4.6 to -4.1]), the average annual percentage change showed deceleration in mortality since 2011 (-2.1 per year [95% CI, -2.4 to -1.8]). These trends were consistent across both sexes, all ethnicities and races, and urban/rural counties. Conclusions During the past 20 years, decline in premature AMI mortality has slowed down in the United States since 2011, with considerable heterogeneity across demographic groups, states, and urbanicity. Systemic efforts are mandated to address cardiovascular health disparities and outcomes among nonelderly adults.

Project description:ObjectiveTo describe trends in the burden of mortality due to subtypes of heart disease from 1999 to 2018 to inform targeted prevention strategies and reduce disparities.DesignSerial cross sectional analysis of cause specific heart disease mortality rates using national death certificate data in the overall population as well as stratified by race-sex, age, and geography.SettingUnited States, 1999-2018.Participants12.9 million decedents from total heart disease (49% women, 12% black, and 19% <65 years old).Main outcome measuresAge adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) and years of potential life lost (YPLL) for each heart disease subtype, and respective mean annual percentage change.ResultsDeaths from total heart disease fell from 752 192 to 596 577 between 1999 and 2011, and then increased to 655 381 in 2018. From 1999 to 2018, the proportion of total deaths from heart disease attributed to ischemic heart disease decreased from 73% to 56%, while the proportion attributed to heart failure increased from 8% to 13% and the proportion attributed to hypertensive heart disease increased from 4% to 9%. Among heart disease subtypes, AAMR was consistently highest for ischemic heart disease in all subgroups (race-sex, age, and region). After 2011, AAMR for heart failure and hypertensive heart disease increased at a faster rate than for other subtypes. The fastest increases in heart failure mortality were in black men (mean annual percentage change 4.9%, 95% confidence interval 4.0% to 5.8%), whereas the fastest increases in hypertensive heart disease occurred in white men (6.3%, 4.9% to 9.4%). The burden of years of potential life lost was greatest from ischemic heart disease, but black-white disparities were driven by heart failure and hypertensive heart disease. Deaths from heart disease in 2018 resulted in approximately 3.8 million potential years of life lost.ConclusionsTrends in AAMR and years of potential life lost for ischemic heart disease have decelerated since 2011. For almost all other subtypes of heart disease, AAMR and years of potential life lost became stagnant or increased. Heart failure and hypertensive heart disease account for the greatest increases in premature deaths and the largest black-white disparities and have offset declines in ischemic heart disease. Early and targeted primary and secondary prevention and control of risk factors for heart disease, with a focus on groups at high risk, are needed to avoid these suboptimal trends beginning earlier in life.

Project description:BACKGROUND: Unhealthy lifestyle factors are risk factors for stroke, and they play a key role in stroke secondary prevention. A better understanding of these factors may aid with improvements in public health policy. OBJECTIVE: Our objective was to comprehensively understand the trends in unhealthy lifestyle factors in people who have previously had a stroke in the US. METHODS: Utilizing data from the biannual United States National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANESs) between 1999 and 2018, we collated data on unhealthy lifestyle factors (smoking, alcohol drinking, depression, unhealthy diet, high BMI, physical inactivity, and sedentary behavior) in adults with a history of stroke. The Joinpoint Regression model was used to calculate the annual percentage change (APC) and average annual percentage change (AAPC) to identify trends. Logistic regression modeling was used to identify the influence of sociodemographic factors (age, sex, race/ethnicity, marital status, employment status, family income, and highest education level). RESULTS: The analysis included 2017 respondents with a history of stroke. Current alcohol drinking (39.3% (95% confidence interval: 29.8, 48.7) to 57.4% (45.7, 69.0) p = 0.008) and obesity (39.2% (28.3, 50.2) to 49.4% (38.9, 59.8) p = 0.029) increased significantly from 1999 to 2018. The prevalence of smoking and depression remained generally stable. The proportion of respondents with an unhealthy diet decreased from 1999 (44.5% (32.4, 56.5)) to 2011 (29.0% (17.5, 40.4) p = 0.019), but then returned to its original prevalence in 2018 (42.0% (31.4, 52.7)). From 2007 to 2018, the proportion of respondents who were physically inactive decreased significantly, from 70.4% (64.4, 76.3) to 55.1% (46.1, 64.2; p = 0.017). After a gradual increase in sedentary activity from 2007 to 2012, this declined from 2013 to 2018, with no statistical significance. We found stroke survivors who were widowed, divorced, separated, or unemployed were at a higher risk of having unhealthy lifestyles than those who were employed or had other marital statuses. CONCLUSIONS: A modest reduction in the prevalence of physical inactivity was observed in Americans with a history of stroke between 1999 and 2018. The prevalences of smoking, drinking, depression, poor diet, obesity, and sedentary behavior were stable or increasing.

Dataset Information

Adverse Trends in Premature Cardiometabolic Mortality in the United States, 1999 to 2018.

Publications

Adverse Trends in Premature Cardiometabolic Mortality in the United States, 1999 to 2018.

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