Dataset Information

Cell-free Circulating Tumor DNA Variant Allele Frequency Associates with Survival in Metastatic Cancer.

ABSTRACT:

Purpose

Physicians are expected to assess prognosis both for patient counseling and for determining suitability for clinical trials. Increasingly, cell-free circulating tumor DNA (cfDNA) sequencing is being performed for clinical decision making. We sought to determine whether variant allele frequency (VAF) in cfDNA is associated with prognosis.

Experimental design

We performed a retrospective analysis of 298 patients with metastatic disease who underwent clinical comprehensive cfDNA analysis and assessed association between VAF and overall survival.

Results

cfDNA mutations were detected in 240 patients (80.5%). Median overall survival (OS) was 11.5 months. cfDNA mutation detection and number of nonsynonymous mutations (NSM) significantly differed between tumor types, being lowest in appendiceal cancer and highest in colon cancer. Having more than one NSM detected was associated with significantly worse OS (HR = 2.3; P < 0.0001). VAF was classified by quartiles, Q1 lowest, Q4 highest VAF. Higher VAF levels were associated with a significantly worse overall survival (VAF Q3 HR 2.3, P = 0.0069; VAF Q4 HR = 3.8, P < 0.0001) on univariate analysis. On multivariate analysis, VAF Q4, male sex, albumin level <3.5 g/dL, number of nonvisceral metastatic sites >0 and number of prior therapies >4 were independent predictors of worse OS.

Conclusions

Higher levels of cfDNA VAF and a higher number of NSMs were associated with worse OS in patients with metastatic disease. Further study is needed to determine optimal VAF thresholds for clinical decision making and the utility of cfDNA VAF as a prognostic marker in different tumor types.

SUBMITTER: Pairawan S

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7771658 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:BackgroundThe aim of this study was to explore the utility of circulating free DNA (cfDNA) in the evaluation of clinical tumor burden and survival in Chinese patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) and to preliminarily summarize some metastatic characteristics associated with mutational status.MethodsA panel covering a total of 197 hotspot mutations of KRAS, NRAS, BRAF and PIK3CA was used to evaluate the mutational status in plasma by next-generation sequencing (NGS) technology in 126 patients with mCRC. An amplification-refractory mutation system (ARMS) was used to analyze genomic DNA from matched tissue samples. Clinical markers including carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), carbohydrate antigen 199 (CA199), carbohydrate antigen 125 (CA125), neuron-specific enolase (NSE) and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) in serum and the sum of all tumor diameters on CT or PET/CT were collected to indicate clinical tumor burden. The correlations between cfDNA and clinical tumor burden were analyzed using Pearson correlation and linear regression models. The median progression-free survival (PFS) and 1-year overall survival (OS) rates were calculated by Kaplan-Meier (K-M) survival analysis.ResultsOf the 126 enrolled patients, patients who were tested positive for mutations in plasma accounted for 45.2% (57/126). Mutations in KRAS, NRAS, BRAF and PIK3CA were detected in 37.3% (47/126), 1.6% (2/126), 3.2% (4/126) and 13.5% (17/126) of patients, respectively. The overall concordance rate of mutational status between plasma and matched tissues was 78.6% (99/126). Sixteen patients had mutations in plasma that were not detected in tissue, including some rare hotspot mutations. The cfDNA concentration was significantly correlated with the levels of clinical markers, especially CEA (P < 0.0001, Pearson r = 0.81), LDH (P < 0.0001, Pearson r = 0.84) and the sum of tumor diameters (P < 0.0001, Pearson r = 0.80). Patients with a high cfDNA concentration (> 17.91 ng/ml) had shorter median progression-free survival (6.6 versus 11.7 months, P < 0.0001) and lower 1-year overall survival rate (56% versus 94%, P < 0.0001) than those with a low cfDNA concentration (≤17.91 ng/ml). The most common metastatic site was the liver (77.8%), followed by the lymph nodes (62.7%), lung (40.5%), peritoneum (14.3%) and bone (10.3%), in all patients. There was no significant difference in metastasis between different mutational statuses.ConclusionAnalyzing mutations in plasma could provide a more comprehensive overview of the mutational landscape than analyzing mutations in tissue. The cfDNA concentration could be a quantitative biomarker of tumor burden and could predict survival in Chinese patients with mCRC.