Artificial neural network, predictor variables and sensitivity threshold for DNA methylation-based age prediction using blood samples.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Thong Z
PROVIDER: S-EPMC7814006 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:The ability to estimate the age of the donor from recovered biological material at a crime scene can be of substantial value in forensic investigations. Aging can be complex and is associated with various molecular modifications in cells that accumulate over a person's lifetime including epigenetic patterns. The aim of this study was to use age-specific DNA methylation patterns to generate an accurate model for the prediction of chronological age using data from whole blood. In total, 45 age-associated CpG sites were selected based on their reported age coefficients in a previous extensive study and investigated using publicly available methylation data obtained from 1156 whole blood samples (aged 2-90 years) analysed with Illumina's genome-wide methylation platforms (27K/450K). Applying stepwise regression for variable selection, 23 of these CpG sites were identified that could significantly contribute to age prediction modelling and multiple regression analysis carried out with these markers provided an accurate prediction of age (R2=0.92, mean absolute error (MAE)=4.6 years). However, applying machine learning, and more specifically a generalised regression neural network model, the age prediction significantly improved (R2=0.96) with a MAE=3.3 years for the training set and 4.4 years for a blind test set of 231 cases. The machine learning approach used 16 CpG sites, located in 16 different genomic regions, with the top 3 predictors of age belonged to the genes NHLRC1, SCGN and CSNK1D. The proposed model was further tested using independent cohorts of 53 monozygotic twins (MAE=7.1 years) and a cohort of 1011 disease state individuals (MAE=7.2 years). Furthermore, we highlighted the age markers' potential applicability in samples other than blood by predicting age with similar accuracy in 265 saliva samples (R2=0.96) with a MAE=3.2 years (training set) and 4.0 years (blind test). In an attempt to create a sensitive and accurate age prediction test, a next generation sequencing (NGS)-based method able to quantify the methylation status of the selected 16 CpG sites was developed using the Illumina MiSeq® platform. The method was validated using DNA standards of known methylation levels and the age prediction accuracy has been initially assessed in a set of 46 whole blood samples. Although the resulted prediction accuracy using the NGS data was lower compared to the original model (MAE=7.5years), it is expected that future optimization of our strategy to account for technical variation as well as increasing the sample size will improve both the prediction accuracy and reproducibility.
| S-EPMC5392537 | biostudies-literature
Project description:We have developed a sequence conservation-based artificial neural network predictor called NetDiseaseSNP which classifies nsSNPs as disease-causing or neutral. Our method uses the excellent alignment generation algorithm of SIFT to identify related sequences and a combination of 31 features assessing sequence conservation and the predicted surface accessibility to produce a single score which can be used to rank nsSNPs based on their potential to cause disease. NetDiseaseSNP classifies successfully disease-causing and neutral mutations. In addition, we show that NetDiseaseSNP discriminates cancer driver and passenger mutations satisfactorily. Our method outperforms other state-of-the-art methods on several disease/neutral datasets as well as on cancer driver/passenger mutation datasets and can thus be used to pinpoint and prioritize plausible disease candidates among nsSNPs for further investigation. NetDiseaseSNP is publicly available as an online tool as well as a web service: http://www.cbs.dtu.dk/services/NetDiseaseSNP.
| S-EPMC3723835 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Changes in DNA methylation at specific CpG sites have been used to build predictive models to estimate animal age, predominantly in mammals. Little testing for this effect has been conducted in other vertebrate groups, such as bony fish, the largest vertebrate class. The development of most age-predictive models has relied on a genome-wide sequencing method to obtain a DNA methylation level, which makes it costly to deploy as an assay to estimate age in many samples. Here, we have generated a reduced representation bisulfite sequencing data set of caudal fin tissue from a model fish species, zebrafish (Danio rerio), aged from 11.9-60.1 weeks. We identified changes in methylation at specific CpG sites that correlated strongly with increasing age. Using an optimised unique set of 26 CpG sites we developed a multiplex PCR assay that predicts age with an average median absolute error rate of 3.2 weeks in zebrafish between 10.9-78.1 weeks of age. We also demonstrate the use of multiplex PCR as an efficient quantitative approach to measure DNA methylation for the use of age estimation. This study highlights the potential further use of DNA methylation as an age estimation method in non-mammalian vertebrate species.
| S-EPMC7803548 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundDNA methylation changes at a discrete set of sites in the human genome are predictive of chronological and biological age. However, it is not known whether these changes are causative or a consequence of an underlying ageing process. It has also not been shown whether this epigenetic clock is unique to humans or conserved in the more experimentally tractable mouse.ResultsWe have generated a comprehensive set of genome-scale base-resolution methylation maps from multiple mouse tissues spanning a wide range of ages. Many CpG sites show significant tissue-independent correlations with age which allowed us to develop a multi-tissue predictor of age in the mouse. Our model, which estimates age based on DNA methylation at 329 unique CpG sites, has a median absolute error of 3.33 weeks and has similar properties to the recently described human epigenetic clock. Using publicly available datasets, we find that the mouse clock is accurate enough to measure effects on biological age, including in the context of interventions. While females and males show no significant differences in predicted DNA methylation age, ovariectomy results in significant age acceleration in females. Furthermore, we identify significant differences in age-acceleration dependent on the lipid content of the diet.ConclusionsHere we identify and characterise an epigenetic predictor of age in mice, the mouse epigenetic clock. This clock will be instrumental for understanding the biology of ageing and will allow modulation of its ticking rate and resetting the clock in vivo to study the impact on biological age.
| S-EPMC5389178 | biostudies-literature
Project description:A significant amount of attention has been given to the design and synthesis of co-crystals by both industry and academia because of its potential to change a molecule's physicochemical properties. Yet, difficulties arise when searching for adequate combinations of molecules (or coformers) to form co-crystals, hampering the efficient exploration of the target's solid-state landscape. This paper reports on the application of a data-driven co-crystal prediction method based on two types of artificial neural network models and co-crystal data present in the Cambridge Structural Database. The models accept pairs of coformers and predict whether a co-crystal is likely to form. By combining the output of multiple models of both types, our approach shows to have excellent performance on the proposed co-crystal training and validation sets, and has an estimated accuracy of 80 % for molecules for which previous co-crystallization data is unavailable.
| S-EPMC7756866 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Background: DNA-methylation changes at a discrete set of sites in the human genome are predictive of chronological and biological age. However, it is not known whether these changes are causative or a consequence of an underlying ageing programme. It has also not been shown whether this ‘epigenetic clock’ is unique to humans or conserved in other animals such as the experimentally tractable mouse. Results: We have generated a comprehensive set of whole genome base-resolution methylation maps from multiple mouse tissues spanning a wide range of ages. A large number of CpG sites show significant tissue independent correlations with age and allowed us to develop a multi-tissue predictor of age in the mouse (‘mouse epigenetic clock’). The predictor, which estimates age based on DNA methylation at 644 unique CpG sites, is highly accurate (mean absolute error of 4.09 weeks) and has similar properties to the recently described human epigenetic clock. Using publicly available datasets from various biological manipulations in mice, we found that the mouse clock also measures biological age. While females and males showed no significant differences in predicted DNA methylation age, ovariectomy resulted in significant age acceleration in females. Furthermore we found significant differences in age-acceleration dependent on the lipid content of the maternal or offspring diet. Conclusions: Here we identify and characterise a highly accurate epigenetic predictor of age in mice, the ‘mouse epigenetic clock’. This clock will be instrumental for understanding the biology of ageing and will allow modulation of its ‘ticking’ rate and resetting the clock in vivo to study the impact on biological age.
2017-03-28 | GSE93957 | GEO
Project description:An mRNA transcript contains many potential antisense oligodeoxynucleotide target sites. Identification of the most efficacious targets remains an important and challenging problem. Building on separate work that revealed a strong correlation between the inclusion of short sequence motifs and the activity level of an oligo, we have developed a predictive artificial neural network system for mapping tetranucleotide motif content to antisense oligo activity. Trained for high-specificity prediction, the system has been cross-validated against a database of 348 oligos from the literature and a larger proprietary database of 908 oligos. In cross- validation tests the system identified effective oligos (i.e. oligos capable of reducing target mRNA expression to <25% that of the control) with 53% accuracy, in contrast to the <10% success rates commonly reported for trial-and-error oligo selection, suggesting a possible 5-fold reduction in the in vivo screening required to find an active oligo. We have implemented a web interface to a trained neural network. Given an RNA transcript as input, the system identifies the most likely oligo targets and provides estimates of the probabilities that oligos targeted against these sites will be effective.
| S-EPMC140555 | biostudies-literature
Project description:There is high demand for forensic age prediction in actual crime investigations. In this study, a novel age prediction model for saliva samples using methylation-sensitive high resolution melting (MS-HRM) was developed. The methylation profiles of ELOVL2 and EDARADD showed high correlations with age and were used to predict age with support vector regression. ELOVL2 was first reported as an age predictive marker for saliva samples. The prediction model showed high accuracy with a mean absolute deviation (MAD) from chronological age of 5.96 years among 197 training samples. The model was further validated with an additional 50 test samples (MAD = 6.25). In addition, the age prediction model was applied to saliva extracted from seven cigarette butts, as in an actual crime scene. The MAD (7.65 years) for these samples was slightly higher than that of intact saliva samples. A smoking habit or the ingredients of cigarettes themselves did not significantly affect the prediction model and could be ignored. MS-HRM provides a quick (2 hours) and cost-effective (95% decreased compared to that of DNA chips) method of analysis. Thus, this study may provide a novel strategy for predicting the age of a person of interest in actual crime scene investigations.
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Project description:N 6-methyladenosine (m6A) is one of the most widely studied epigenetic modifications, which plays an important role in many biological processes, such as splicing, RNA localization, and degradation. Studies have shown that m6A on lncRNA has important functions, including regulating the expression and functions of lncRNA, regulating the synthesis of pre-mRNA, promoting the proliferation of cancer cells, and affecting cell differentiation and many others. Although a number of methods have been proposed to predict m6A RNA methylation sites, most of these methods aimed at general m6A sites prediction without noticing the uniqueness of the lncRNA methylation prediction problem. Since many lncRNAs do not have a polyA tail and cannot be captured in the polyA selection step of the most widely adopted RNA-seq library preparation protocol, lncRNA methylation sites cannot be effectively captured and are thus likely to be significantly underrepresented in existing experimental data affecting the accuracy of existing predictors. In this paper, we propose a new computational framework, LITHOPHONE, which stands for long noncoding RNA methylation sites prediction from sequence characteristics and genomic information with an ensemble predictor. We show that the methylation sites of lncRNA and mRNA have different patterns exhibited in the extracted features and should be differently handled when making predictions. Due to the used experiment protocols, the number of known lncRNA m6A sites is limited, and insufficient to train a reliable predictor; thus, the performance can be improved by combining both lncRNA and mRNA data using an ensemble predictor. We show that the newly developed LITHOPHONE approach achieved a reasonably good performance when tested on independent datasets (AUC: 0.966 and 0.835 under full transcript and mature mRNA modes, respectively), marking a substantial improvement compared with existing methods. Additionally, LITHOPHONE was applied to scan the entire human lncRNAome for all possible lncRNA m6A sites, and the results are freely accessible at: http://180.208.58.19/lith/.
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Project description:The electrocardiogram (ECG) is the most commonly used exam for the evaluation of cardiovascular diseases. Here we propose that the age predicted by artificial intelligence (AI) from the raw ECG (ECG-age) can be a measure of cardiovascular health. A deep neural network is trained to predict a patient's age from the 12-lead ECG in the CODE study cohort (n = 1,558,415 patients). On a 15% hold-out split, patients with ECG-age more than 8 years greater than the chronological age have a higher mortality rate (hazard ratio (HR) 1.79, p < 0.001), whereas those with ECG-age more than 8 years smaller, have a lower mortality rate (HR 0.78, p < 0.001). Similar results are obtained in the external cohorts ELSA-Brasil (n = 14,236) and SaMi-Trop (n = 1,631). Moreover, even for apparent normal ECGs, the predicted ECG-age gap from the chronological age remains a statistically significant risk predictor. These results show that the AI-enabled analysis of the ECG can add prognostic information.
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