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Identical trends of SARS-Cov-2 transmission and retail and transit mobility during non-lockdown periods.

ABSTRACT: Recent literature strongly supports the idea that mobility reduction and social distancing play a crucial role in transmission of SARS-Cov-2 infections. It was shown during the first wave that mobility restrictions reduce significantly infection transmission. Here we document another relationship and show that, in the period between the first two COVID-19 waves, there exists a high positive correlation between the trends of SARS-Cov-2 transmission and mobility. These two trends oscillate simultaneously and increased mobility following lockdown relaxation has a significant positive relationship with increased transmission. From a public health perspective, these results highlight the importance of following the evolution of mobility when relaxing mitigation measures to anticipate the future evolution of the spread of the SARS-Cov-2.

SUBMITTER: Cazelles B 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7849485 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Parallel trends in the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and retail/recreation and public transport mobility during non-lockdown periods.

Cazelles Bernard B   Comiskey Catherine C   Nguyen-Van-Yen Benjamin B   Champagne Clara C   Roche Benjamin B  

International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases 20210201

Recent literature strongly supports the hypothesis that mobility restriction and social distancing play a crucial role in limiting the transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2). During the first wave of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, it was shown that mobility restriction reduced transmission significantly. This study found that, in the period between the first two waves of the COVID-19 pandemic, there was high positive correlation between tr  ...[more]

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