Dataset Information

Identification of a gene expression signature predicting survival in oral cavity squamous cell carcinoma using Monte Carlo cross validation.

ABSTRACT:

Objectives

This study aims to identify a robust signature that performs well in predicting overall survival across tumor phenotypes and treatment strata, and validates the application of Monte Carlo cross validation (MCCV) as a means of identifying molecular signatures when utilizing small and highly heterogeneous datasets.

Materials and methods

RNA sequence gene expression data for 264 patient tumors were acquired from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). 100 iterations of Monte Carlo cross validation were applied to differential expression and Cox model validation. The association between the gene signature risk score and overall survival was measured using Kaplan-Meier survival curves, univariate, and multivariable Cox regression analyses.

Results

Pathway analysis findings indicate that ligand-gated ion channel pathways are the most significantly enriched with the genes in the aggregated signature. The aggregated signature described in this study is predictive of overall survival in oral cancer patients across demographic and treatment strata.

Conclusion

This study reinforces previous findings supporting the role of ion channel gating, interleukin, calcitonin receptor, and keratinization pathways in tumor progression and treatment response in oral cancer. These results strengthen the argument that differential expression of genes within these pathways reduces tumor susceptibility to treatment. Conducting differential gene expression (DGE) with Monte Carlo cross validation, as this study describes, offers a potential solution to decreasing the variability in DGE results across future studies that are reliant upon highly heterogeneous datasets. This improves the ability of studies reliant upon similarly structured datasets to reach results that are reproducible.

SUBMITTER: Schomberg J

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7853240 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Identification of a gene expression signature predicting survival in oral cavity squamous cell carcinoma using Monte Carlo cross validation.

Schomberg John J Ziogas Argyrios A Anton-Culver Hoda H Norden-Krichmar Trina T

Oral oncology 20180220

<h4>Objectives</h4>This study aims to identify a robust signature that performs well in predicting overall survival across tumor phenotypes and treatment strata, and validates the application of Monte Carlo cross validation (MCCV) as a means of identifying molecular signatures when utilizing small and highly heterogeneous datasets.<h4>Materials and methods</h4>RNA sequence gene expression data for 264 patient tumors were acquired from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). 100 iterations of Monte Carlo ...[more]

PMID: 29496061

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Project description:BackgroundAutophagy, a highly conserved self-digesting process, has been deeply involved in the development and progression of oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC). However, the prognostic value of autophagy-related genes (ARGs) for OSCC still remains unclear. Our study set out to develop a multigene expression signature based on ARGs for individualized prognosis assessment in OSCC patients.MethodsBased on The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database, we identified prognosis-related ARGs through univariate COX regression analysis. Then we performed the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis to identify an optimal autophagy-related multigene signature with the subsequent validation in testing set, GSE41613 and GSE42743 datasets.ResultsWe identified 36 prognosis-related ARGs for OSCC. Subsequently, the multigene signature based on 13 prognostic ARGs was constructed and successfully divided OSCC patients into low and high-risk groups with significantly different overall survival in TCGA training set (p < 0.0001). The autophagy signature remained as an independent prognostic factor for OSCC in univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. The area under the curve (AUC) values of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for 1, 3, and 5-year survival were 0.758, 0.810, 0.798, respectively. Then the gene signature was validated in TCGA testing set, GSE41613 and GSE42743 datasets. Moreover, Gene Ontology (GO), Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) analysis, and single-sample gene set enrichment analysis (ssGSEA) revealed the underlying biological characteristics and signaling pathways associated with this signature in OSCC. Finally, we constructed a nomogram by combining the gene signature with multiple clinical parameters (age, gender, TNM-stage, tobacco, and alcohol history). The concordance index (C-index) and calibration plots demonstrated favorable predictive performance of our nomogram.ConclusionIn summary, we identified and verified a 13-ARGs prognostic signature and nomogram, which provide individualized prognosis evaluation and show insight for potential therapeutic targets for OSCC.

Project description:More than one pathway is involved in disease development and progression, and two or more pathways may be interconnected to further affect the disease onset, as functional proteins participate in multiple pathways. Thus, identifying cross-talk among pathways is necessary to understand the molecular mechanisms of multiple myeloma (MM). Based on this, this paper looked at extracting potential pathway cross-talk in MM through an integrative approach using Monte Carlo cross-validation analysis. The gene expression library of MM (accession number: GSE6477) was downloaded from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database. The integrative approach was then used to identify potential pathway cross-talk, and included four steps: Firstly, differential expression analysis was conducted to identify differentially expressed genes (DEGs). Secondly, the DEGs obtained were mapped to the pathways downloaded from an ingenuity pathways analysis (IPA), to reveal the underlying relationship between the DEGs and pathways enriched by these DEGs. A subset of pathways enriched by the DEGs was then obtained. Thirdly, a discriminating score (DS) value for each paired pathway was computed. Lastly, random forest (RF) classification was used to identify the paired pathways based on area under the curve (AUC) and Monte Carlo cross-validation, which was repeated 50 times to explore the best paired pathways. These paired pathways were tested with another independently published MM microarray data (GSE85837), using in silico validation. Overall, 60 DEGs and 19 differential pathways enriched by DEGs were extracted. Each pathway was sorted based on their AUC values. The paired pathways, inhibition of matrix metalloproteases and EIF2 signaling pathway, indicated the best AUC value of 1.000. Paired pathways consisting of IL-8 and EIF2 signaling pathways with higher AUC of 0.975, were involved in 7 runs. Furthermore, it was validated consistently in separate microarray data sets (GSE85837). Paired pathways (inhibition of matrix metalloproteases and EIF2 signaling, IL-8 signaling and EIF2 signaling) exhibited the best AUC values and higher frequency of validation. Two paired pathways (inhibition of matrix metalloproteases and EIF2 signaling, IL-8 signaling and EIF2 signaling) were used to accurately classify MM and control samples. These paired pathways may be potential bio-signatures for diagnosis and management of MM.

Dataset Information

Identification of a gene expression signature predicting survival in oral cavity squamous cell carcinoma using Monte Carlo cross validation.

Objectives

Materials and methods

Results

Conclusion

Publications

Identification of a gene expression signature predicting survival in oral cavity squamous cell carcinoma using Monte Carlo cross validation.

Similar Datasets

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