Dataset Information

Development and Validation of Autophagy-Related Gene Signature and Nomogram for Predicting Survival in Oral Squamous Cell Carcinoma.

ABSTRACT: Background:Autophagy, a highly conserved self-digesting process, has been deeply involved in the development and progression of oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC). However, the prognostic value of autophagy-related genes (ARGs) for OSCC still remains unclear. Our study set out to develop a multigene expression signature based on ARGs for individualized prognosis assessment in OSCC patients. Methods:Based on The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database, we identified prognosis-related ARGs through univariate COX regression analysis. Then we performed the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis to identify an optimal autophagy-related multigene signature with the subsequent validation in testing set, GSE41613 and GSE42743 datasets. Results:We identified 36 prognosis-related ARGs for OSCC. Subsequently, the multigene signature based on 13 prognostic ARGs was constructed and successfully divided OSCC patients into low and high-risk groups with significantly different overall survival in TCGA training set (p < 0.0001). The autophagy signature remained as an independent prognostic factor for OSCC in univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. The area under the curve (AUC) values of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for 1, 3, and 5-year survival were 0.758, 0.810, 0.798, respectively. Then the gene signature was validated in TCGA testing set, GSE41613 and GSE42743 datasets. Moreover, Gene Ontology (GO), Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) analysis, and single-sample gene set enrichment analysis (ssGSEA) revealed the underlying biological characteristics and signaling pathways associated with this signature in OSCC. Finally, we constructed a nomogram by combining the gene signature with multiple clinical parameters (age, gender, TNM-stage, tobacco, and alcohol history). The concordance index (C-index) and calibration plots demonstrated favorable predictive performance of our nomogram. Conclusion:In summary, we identified and verified a 13-ARGs prognostic signature and nomogram, which provide individualized prognosis evaluation and show insight for potential therapeutic targets for OSCC.

SUBMITTER: Hou C

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7596585 | biostudies-literature | 2020

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Development and Validation of Autophagy-Related Gene Signature and Nomogram for Predicting Survival in Oral Squamous Cell Carcinoma.

Hou Chen C Cai Hongshi H Zhu Yue Y Huang Shuojin S Song Fan F Hou Jinsong J

Frontiers in oncology 20201016

<h4>Background</h4>Autophagy, a highly conserved self-digesting process, has been deeply involved in the development and progression of oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC). However, the prognostic value of autophagy-related genes (ARGs) for OSCC still remains unclear. Our study set out to develop a multigene expression signature based on ARGs for individualized prognosis assessment in OSCC patients.<h4>Methods</h4>Based on The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database, we identified prognosis-related ...[more]

PMID: 33178587

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Project description:BackgroundOral tongue squamous cell carcinoma (OTSCC) is a devastating tumor with poor prognosis. There is an urgent need for reliable biomarkers to help predict prognosis and guide treatment for OTSCC. In the current study, we aimed to develop a robust multi-gene signature and prognostic nomogram to predict the prognosis of patients with non-distant metastatic OTSCC.MethodsOTSCC-related differentially-expressed genes were screened from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. Univariate Cox regression based on 1,000 bootstrap replicates, LASSO regression and stepwise multivariate Cox regression were utilized to develop a novel multi-mRNA signature for predicting overall survival in OTSCC. The concordance index, area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC AUC) and calibration curve were employed to assess the prediction capacity of the novel multi-gene model. In addition, a prognostic nomogram was constructed to facilitate the clinical use of the fitted model. The Kaplan-Meier with log-rank test was employed to assess differences in overall survival.ResultsWe successfully established a novel 15-mRNA prognostic model for predicting overall survival of non-distant metastatic OTSCC, involving ADTRP, ITGA3, RFC4, CCDC96, CYP2J2, NELL2, SPHK1, SPAG16, HBEGF, S100A9, EGFL6, ADGRG6, PDE4D, ABCA4, and CTTN. The prediction ability of this 15-gene signature was independent of other clinicopathological factors, with an HR of 11.5 (95% CI: 4.70-28.3). Moreover, internal validation by bootstrap analysis yielded a C-index of 0.849, with a 3-year AUC of 0.907 and 5-year AUC of 0.944, which implied excellent prediction accuracy of the fitted model. In addition, external validation by using the GEO dataset (GSE41116) yielded a C-index of 0.804, with a 3-year AUC of 0.868 and 5-year AUC of 0.855, which also indicated good prediction ability of the 15-gene model. Finally, a prognostic nomogram integrating risk group, grade, T stage and N stage was established.ConclusionOur results demonstrate our 15-gene signature was independently associated with overall survival in non-distant metastatic OTSCC. Moreover, the prognostic nomogram integrating the 15-gene signature and clinicopathological factors has potential to be developed as a prognostic tool.

Project description:Background: Clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) is a common type of malignant tumors in urinary system. Evaluating the prognostic outcome at the time of initial diagnosis is essential for patients. Autophagy is known to play a significant role in tumors. Here, we attempted to construct an autophagy-related prognostic risk signature based on the expression profile of autophagy-related genes (ARGs) for predicting the long-term outcome and effect of precise treatments for ccRCC patients. Methods: We obtained the expression profile of ccRCC from the cancer genome atlas (TCGA) database and extract the portion of ARGs. We conducted differentially expressed analysis on ARGs and then performed enrichment analyses to confirm the anomalous autophagy-related biological functions. Then, we performed univariate Cox regression to screen out overall survival (OS)-related ARGs. With these genes, we established an autophagy-related risk signature by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression. We validated the reliability of the risk signature with receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, survival analysis, clinic correlation analysis, and Cox regression. Then we analyzed the function of each gene in the signature by single-gene gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA). Finally, we analyzed the correlation between our risk score and expression level of several targets of immunotherapy and targeted therapy. Results: We established a seven-gene prognostic risk signature, according to which we could divide patients into high or low risk groups and predict their outcomes. ROC analysis and survival analysis validated the reliability of the signature. Clinic correlation analysis found that the risk group is significantly correlated with severity of ccRCC. Multivariate Cox regression revealed that the risk score could act as an independent predictor for the prognosis of ccRCC patients. Correlation analysis between risk score and targets of precise treatments showed that our risk signature could predict the effects of precise treatment powerfully. Conclusion: Our study provided a brand new autophagy-related seven-gene prognostic risk signature, which could perform as a prognostic indicator for ccRCC. Meanwhile, our study provides a novel sight to understand the role of autophagy and suggest therapeutic strategies in the category of precise treatment in ccRCC.

Dataset Information

Development and Validation of Autophagy-Related Gene Signature and Nomogram for Predicting Survival in Oral Squamous Cell Carcinoma.

Publications

Development and Validation of Autophagy-Related Gene Signature and Nomogram for Predicting Survival in Oral Squamous Cell Carcinoma.

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