Dataset Information

Outcomes of cardiac surgery in senior aged patients with ventricular dysfunction: analysis of a large national database.

ABSTRACT:

Objective

In patients undergoing cardiac surgery, reduced preoperative ejection fraction (EF) and senior age are associated with a worse outcome. As most outcome data available for these patients are mainly from Western surgical populations involving specific surgery types, our aim is to evaluate the real-world characteristics and perioperative outcomes of surgery in senior-aged heart failure patients with reduced EF across a broad range cardiac surgeries.

Methods

Data were obtained from the China Heart Failure Surgery Registry (China-HFSR) database, a nationwide multicenter registry study in mainland China. Multiple variable regression analysis was performed in patients over 75 years old to identify risk factors associated with mortality.

Results

From 2012 to 2017, 578 senior-aged (> 75 years) patients were enrolled in China HFSR, 21.1% of whom were female. Isolated coronary bypass grafting (CABG) were performed in 71.6% of patients, 10.1% of patients underwent isolated valve surgery and 8.7% received CABG combined with valve surgery. In-hospital mortality was 10.6%, and the major complication rate was 17.3%. Multivariate analysis identified diabetes mellitus (odds ratio (OR) = 1.985), increased creatinine (OR = 1.007), New York Heart Association (NYHA) Class III (OR = 1.408), NYHA class IV (OR = 1.955), cardiogenic shock (OR, 6.271), and preoperative intra-aortic balloon pump insertion (OR = 3.426) as independent predictors of in-hospital mortality.

Conclusions

In senior-aged patients, preoperative evaluation should be carefully performed, and strict management of reversible factors needs more attention. Senior-aged patients commonly have a more severe disease status combined with more frequent comorbidities, which may lead to a high risk in mortality.

SUBMITTER: Tang HW

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7868914 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Outcomes of cardiac surgery in senior aged patients with ventricular dysfunction: analysis of a large national database.

Tang Han-Wei HW Chen Kai K Hou Jian-Feng JF Huang Xiao-Hong XH Liu Sheng S Ma Han-Ping HP Hu Sheng-Shou SS

Journal of geriatric cardiology : JGC 20210101 1

<h4>Objective</h4>In patients undergoing cardiac surgery, reduced preoperative ejection fraction (EF) and senior age are associated with a worse outcome. As most outcome data available for these patients are mainly from Western surgical populations involving specific surgery types, our aim is to evaluate the real-world characteristics and perioperative outcomes of surgery in senior-aged heart failure patients with reduced EF across a broad range cardiac surgeries.<h4>Methods</h4>Data were obtain ...[more]

PMID: 33613654

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Project description:ObjectivesTo perform a systematic comparison of in-hospital mortality risk prediction post-cardiac surgery, between the predominant scoring system-European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) II, logistic regression (LR) retrained on the same variables and alternative machine learning techniques (ML)-random forest (RF), neural networks (NN), XGBoost and weighted support vector machine.MethodsRetrospective analyses of prospectively routinely collected data on adult patients undergoing cardiac surgery in the UK from January 2012 to March 2019. Data were temporally split 70:30 into training and validation subsets. Mortality prediction models were created using the 18 variables of EuroSCORE II. Comparisons of discrimination, calibration and clinical utility were then conducted. Changes in model performance, variable-importance over time and hospital/operation-based model performance were also reviewed.ResultsOf the 227 087 adults who underwent cardiac surgery during the study period, there were 6258 deaths (2.76%). In the testing cohort, there was an improvement in discrimination [XGBoost (95% confidence interval (CI) area under the receiver operator curve (AUC), 0.834-0.834, F1 score, 0.276-0.280) and RF (95% CI AUC, 0.833-0.834, F1, 0.277-0.281)] compared with EuroSCORE II (95% CI AUC, 0.817-0.818, F1, 0.243-0.245). There was no significant improvement in calibration with ML and retrained-LR compared to EuroSCORE II. However, EuroSCORE II overestimated risk across all deciles of risk and over time. The calibration drift was lowest in NN, XGBoost and RF compared with EuroSCORE II. Decision curve analysis showed XGBoost and RF to have greater net benefit than EuroSCORE II.ConclusionsML techniques showed some statistical improvements over retrained-LR and EuroSCORE II. The clinical impact of this improvement is modest at present. However the incorporation of additional risk factors in future studies may improve upon these findings and warrants further study.

Dataset Information

Outcomes of cardiac surgery in senior aged patients with ventricular dysfunction: analysis of a large national database.

Objective

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Outcomes of cardiac surgery in senior aged patients with ventricular dysfunction: analysis of a large national database.

Similar Datasets

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