Prediction of Microvascular Invasion in Hepatocellular Carcinoma via Deep Learning: A Multi-Center and Prospective Validation Study.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Wei J
PROVIDER: S-EPMC8156235 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:PurposeMicrovascular invasion (MVI) is a valuable predictor of survival in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. This study developed predictive models using eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and deep learning based on CT images to predict MVI preoperatively.MethodsIn total, 405 patients were included. A total of 7302 radiomic features and 17 radiological features were extracted by a radiomics feature extraction package and radiologists, respectively. We developed a XGBoost model based on radiomics features, radiological features and clinical variables and a three-dimensional convolutional neural network (3D-CNN) to predict MVI status. Next, we compared the efficacy of the two models.ResultsOf the 405 patients, 220 (54.3%) were MVI positive, and 185 (45.7%) were MVI negative. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) of the Radiomics-Radiological-Clinical (RRC) Model and 3D-CNN Model in the training set were 0.952 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.923-0.973) and 0.980 (95% CI 0.959-0.993), respectively (p = 0.14). The AUROCs of the RRC Model and 3D-CNN Model in the validation set were 0.887 (95% CI 0.797-0.947) and 0.906 (95% CI 0.821-0.960), respectively (p = 0.83). Based on the MVI status predicted by the RRC and 3D-CNN Models, the mean recurrence-free survival (RFS) was significantly better in the predicted MVI-negative group than that in the predicted MVI-positive group (RRC Model: 69.95 vs. 24.80 months, p < 0.001; 3D-CNN Model: 64.06 vs. 31.05 months, p = 0.027).ConclusionThe RRC Model and 3D-CNN models showed considerable efficacy in identifying MVI preoperatively. These machine learning models may facilitate decision-making in HCC treatment but requires further validation.
| S-EPMC7873117 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundPreoperative prediction of microvascular invasion (MVI) is critical for treatment strategy making in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to develop a deep learning (DL) model based on preoperative dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (DCE-MRI) to predict the MVI status and clinical outcomes in patients with HCC.MethodsWe retrospectively included a total of 321 HCC patients with pathologically confirmed MVI status. Preoperative DCE-MRI of these patients were collected, annotated, and further analyzed by DL in this study. A predictive model for MVI integrating DL-predicted MVI status (DL-MVI) and clinical parameters was constructed with multivariate logistic regression.ResultsOf 321 HCC patients, 136 patients were pathologically MVI absent and 185 patients were MVI present. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were significantly different between the DL-predicted MVI-absent and MVI-present. Among all clinical variables, only DL-predicted MVI status and a-fetoprotein (AFP) were independently associated with MVI: DL-MVI (odds ratio [OR] = 35.738; 95% confidence interval [CI] 14.027-91.056; p < 0.001), AFP (OR = 4.634, 95% CI 2.576-8.336; p < 0.001). To predict the presence of MVI, DL-MVI combined with AFP achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.824.ConclusionsOur predictive model combining DL-MVI and AFP achieved good performance for predicting MVI and clinical outcomes in patients with HCC.
| S-EPMC9178852 | biostudies-literature
Project description:State-of-the-art identification of the functional groups present in an unknown chemical entity requires the expertise of a skilled spectroscopist to analyse and interpret Fourier transform infra-red (FTIR), mass spectroscopy (MS) and/or nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) data. This process can be time-consuming and error-prone, especially for complex chemical entities that are poorly characterised in the literature, or inefficient to use with synthetic robots producing molecules at an accelerated rate. Herein, we introduce a fast, multi-label deep neural network for accurately identifying all the functional groups of unknown compounds using a combination of FTIR and MS spectra. We do not use any database, pre-established rules, procedures, or peak-matching methods. Our trained neural network reveals patterns typically used by human chemists to identify standard groups. Finally, we experimentally validated our neural network, trained on single compounds, to predict functional groups in compound mixtures. Our methodology showcases practical utility for future use in autonomous analytical detection.
| S-EPMC8152587 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundHepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treatment currently lacks adjuvant therapy with a high level of supporting evidence to reduce recurrence after hepatectomy. This study aimed to assess the safety and efficacy of camrelizumab plus apatinib in the adjuvant therapy of patients with HCC with microvascular invasion (MVI).MethodsData were retrospectively collected on consecutive patients with HCC who underwent radical resection and were diagnosed with MVI-positive tumors between October 2019 and June 2022 at four centers. The association between adjuvant therapy and prognosis [recurrence-free survival (RFS), overall survival (OS)] was evaluated by propensity score matching (PSM), the log-rank test, Cox regression analysis, and subgroup analysis. Furthermore, grade 3 or 4 treatment-related adverse events (TRAEs) of adjuvant therapy were reported.ResultsAmong the 111 patients in the adjuvant therapy group and 276 patients in the observation group at enrolment, there were 99 and 172 in the adjuvant therapy and observation groups after PSM, respectively. RFS was better in the adjuvant therapy group [hazard ratio (HR) 0.52; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.39 to 0.69; P<0.001], whereas OS was not (HR 0.62; 95% CI: 0.39 to 0.99; P=0.079). These results were confirmed after PSM. Subgroup analyses were generally consistent in favour of adjuvant camrelizumab plus apatinib with better RFS. Grade 3 or 4 TRAEs accounted for 20.7% during adjuvant therapy; the most common TRAEs included hypertension and proteinuria.ConclusionsPostoperative adjuvant camrelizumab plus apatinib significantly improved the RFS benefits with acceptable toxicities in patients with HCC with MVI.
| S-EPMC11336524 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundModels predicting future macrovascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma are constructed to assist timely interventions.MethodsA total of 366 HCC cases were retrospectively collected from five Chinese hospitals between April 2007 and November 2016: the training dataset comprised 281 patients from four hospitals; the external validation dataset comprised 85 patients from another hospital. Multi-task deep learning network-based models were constructed to predict future macrovascular invasion. The discrimination, calibration, and decision curves were compared to identify the best model. We compared the time to macrovascular invasion and overall survival using the best model and related image heterogeneity scores (H-score). Then, we determined the need for a segmentation subnet or the replacement deep learning algorithm by logistic regression in screening clinical/radiological factors. Finally, an applet was constructed for future application.FindingsThe best model combined clinical/radiological factors and radiomic features. It achieved best discrimination (areas under the curve: 0·877 in the training dataset and 0·836 in the validation dataset), calibration, and decision curve. Its performance was not affected by the treatments and disease stages. The subgroups had statistical significance for time to macrovascular invasion (training: hazard ratio [HR] = 0·073, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0·032-0·167, p < 0·001 and validation: HR = 0·090, 95%CI: 0·022-0·366, p < 0·001) and overall survival (training: HR = 0·344, 95%CI: 0·246-0·547, p < 0·001 and validation: HR = 0·489, 95%CI: 0·279 - 0·859, p = 0·003). Similar results were achieved when the patients were subdivided by the H-score. The subnet for segmentation and end-to-end deep learning algorithms improved the performance of the model.InterpretationOur multi-task deep learning network-based model successfully predicted future macrovascular invasion. In high-risk populations, besides the current first-line treatments, more therapies may be explored for macrovascular invasion.
| S-EPMC8668827 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundMicrovascular invasion (MVI) is highly associated with poor prognosis in patients with liver cancer. Predicting MVI before surgery is helpful for surgeons to better make surgical plan. In this study, we aim at establishing a nomogram to preoperatively predict the occurrence of microvascular invasion in liver cancer.MethodA total of 405 patients with postoperative pathological reports who underwent curative hepatocellular carcinoma resection in the Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University from 2013 to 2015 were collected in this study. Among these patients, 290 were randomly assigned to the development group while others were assigned to the validation group. The MVI predictive factors were selected by Lasso regression analysis. Nomogram was established to preoperatively predict the MVI risk in HCC based on these predictive factors. The discrimination, calibration, and effectiveness of nomogram were evaluated by internal validation.ResultsLasso regression analysis revealed that discomfort of right upper abdomen, vascular invasion, lymph node metastases, unclear tumor boundary, tumor necrosis, tumor size, higher alkaline phosphatase were predictive MVI factors in HCC. The nomogram was established with the value of AUROC 0.757 (0.716-0.809) and 0.768 (0.703-0.814) in the development and the validation groups. Well-fitted calibration was in both development and validation groups. Decision curve analysis confirmed that the predictive model provided more benefit than treat all or none patients. The predictive model demonstrated sensitivity of 58.7%, specificity of 80.7% at the cut-off value of 0.312.ConclusionNomogram was established for predicting preoperative risk of MVI in HCC. Better treatment plans can be formulated according to the predicted results.
| S-EPMC7970183 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Accurate prediction of postoperative mortality is important for not only successful postoperative patient care but also for information-based shared decision-making with patients and efficient allocation of medical resources. This study aimed to create a machine-learning prediction model for 30-day mortality after a non-cardiac surgery that adapts to the manageable amount of clinical information as input features and is validated against multi-centered rather than single-centered data. Data were collected from 454,404 patients over 18 years of age who underwent non-cardiac surgeries from four independent institutions. We performed a retrospective analysis of the retrieved data. Only 12-18 clinical variables were used for model training. Logistic regression, random forest classifier, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and deep neural network methods were applied to compare the prediction performances. To reduce overfitting and create a robust model, bootstrapping and grid search with tenfold cross-validation were performed. The XGBoost method in Seoul National University Hospital (SNUH) data delivers the best performance in terms of the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) (0.9376) and the area under the precision-recall curve (0.1593). The predictive performance was the best when the SNUH model was validated with Ewha Womans University Medical Center data (AUROC, 0.941). Preoperative albumin, prothrombin time, and age were the most important features in the model for each hospital. It is possible to create a robust artificial intelligence prediction model applicable to multiple institutions through a light predictive model using only minimal preoperative information that can be automatically extracted from each hospital.
| S-EPMC9276734 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BACKGROUND:Neuropsychological tests (NPTs) are important tools for informing diagnoses of cognitive impairment (CI). However, interpreting NPTs requires specialists and is thus time-consuming. To streamline the application of NPTs in clinical settings, we developed and evaluated the accuracy of a machine learning algorithm using multi-center NPT data. METHODS:Multi-center data were obtained from 14,926 formal neuropsychological assessments (Seoul Neuropsychological Screening Battery), which were classified into normal cognition (NC), mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and Alzheimer's disease dementia (ADD). We trained a machine learning model with artificial neural network algorithm using TensorFlow (https://www.tensorflow.org) to distinguish cognitive state with the 46-variable data and measured prediction accuracies from 10 randomly selected datasets. The features of the NPT were listed in order of their contribution to the outcome using Recursive Feature Elimination. RESULTS:The ten times mean accuracies of identifying CI (MCI and ADD) achieved by 96.66 ± 0.52% of the balanced dataset and 97.23 ± 0.32% of the clinic-based dataset, and the accuracies for predicting cognitive states (NC, MCI or ADD) were 95.49 ± 0.53 and 96.34 ± 1.03%. The sensitivity to the detection CI and MCI in the balanced dataset were 96.0 and 96.0%, and the specificity were 96.8 and 97.4%, respectively. The 'time orientation' and '3-word recall' score of MMSE were highly ranked features in predicting CI and cognitive state. The twelve features reduced from 46 variable of NPTs with age and education had contributed to more than 90% accuracy in predicting cognitive impairment. CONCLUSIONS:The machine learning algorithm for NPTs has suggested potential use as a reference in differentiating cognitive impairment in the clinical setting.
| S-EPMC6873409 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Microvascular invasion (MVI) is a significant risk factor for early recurrence after resection or transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Knowledge of MVI status would help guide treatment recommendations, but is generally identified after operation. This study aims to predict MVI preoperatively using quantitative image analysis.One hundred and twenty patients from 2 institutions underwent resection of HCC from 2003 to 2015 were included. The largest tumor from preoperative CT was subjected to quantitative image analysis, which uses an automated computer algorithm to capture regional variation in CT enhancement patterns. Quantitative imaging features by automatic analysis, qualitative radiographic descriptors by 2 radiologists, and preoperative clinical variables were included in multivariate analysis to predict histologic MVI.Histologic MVI was identified in 19 (37%) patients with tumors ?5 cm and 34 (49%) patients with tumors >5 cm. Among patients with tumors ?5 cm, none of the clinical findings or radiographic descriptors were associated with MVI; however, quantitative features based on angle co-occurrence matrix predicted MVI with an area under curve of 0.80, positive predictive value of 63%, and negative predictive value of 85%. In patients with tumors >5 cm, higher ?-fetoprotein level, larger tumor size, and viral hepatitis history were associated with MVI, and radiographic descriptors were not. However, a multivariate model combining ?-fetoprotein, tumor size, hepatitis status, and quantitative feature based on local binary pattern predicted MVI with area under curve of 0.88, positive predictive value of 72%, and negative predictive value of 96%.This study reveals the potential importance of quantitative image analysis as a predictor of MVI.
| S-EPMC5705269 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundRadiomics has emerged as a new approach that can help identify imaging information associated with tumor pathophysiology. We developed and validated a radiomics nomogram for preoperative prediction of microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).MethodsTwo hundred and eight patients with pathologically confirmed HCC (training cohort: n = 146; validation cohort: n = 62) who underwent preoperative gadoxetic acid-enhanced magnetic resonance (MR) imaging were included. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression was applied to select features and construct signatures derived from MR images. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify the significant clinicoradiological variables and radiomics signatures associated with MVI, which were then incorporated into the predictive nomogram. The performance of the radiomics nomogram was evaluated by its calibration, discrimination, and clinical utility.ResultsHigher α-fetoprotein level (p = 0.046), nonsmooth tumor margin (p = 0.003), arterial peritumoral enhancement (p < 0.001), and the radiomics signatures of hepatobiliary phase (HBP) T1-weighted images (p < 0.001) and HBP T1 maps (p < 0.001) were independent risk factors of MVI. The predictive model that incorporated the clinicoradiological factors and the radiomic features derived from HBP images outperformed the combination of clinicoradiological factors in the training cohort (area under the curves [AUCs] 0.943 vs. 0.850; p = 0.002), though the validation did not have a statistical significance (AUCs 0.861 vs. 0.759; p = 0.111). The nomogram based on the model exhibited C-index of 0.936 (95% CI 0.895-0.976) and 0.864 (95% CI 0.761-0.967) in the training and validation cohort, fitting well in calibration curves (p > 0.05). Decision curve analysis further confirmed the clinical usefulness of the nomogram.ConclusionsThe nomogram incorporating clinicoradiological risk factors and radiomic features derived from HBP images achieved satisfactory preoperative prediction of the individualized risk of MVI in patients with HCC.
| S-EPMC6873064 | biostudies-literature