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Incremental Values of T1 Mapping in the Prediction of Sudden Cardiac Death Risk in Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy: A Comparison With Two Guidelines.

ABSTRACT: Background: MRI native T1 mapping and extracellular volume fraction (ECV) are quantitative values that could reflect various myocardial tissue characterization. The role of these parameters in predicting the risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is still poorly understood. Aim: This study aims to investigate the ability of native T1 mapping and ECV values to predict major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in HCM, and its incremental values over the 2014 European Society of Cardiology (ESC) and enhanced American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) guidelines. Methods: Between July 2016 and October 2020, HCM patients and healthy individuals with sex and age matched who underwent cardiac MRI were prospectively enrolled. The native T1 and ECV parameters were measured. The SCD risk was evaluated by the 2014 ESC guidelines and enhanced ACC/AHA guidelines. MACE included cardiac death, transplantation, heart failure admission, and implantable cardioverter-defibrillator implantation. Results: A total of 203 HCM patients (54.2 ± 14.9 years) and 101 healthy individuals (53.2 ± 14.7 years) were evaluated. During a median follow-up of 15 months, 25 patients (12.3%) had MACE. In multivariate Cox regression analysis, global native T1 mapping (hazard ratio (HR): 1.446; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.195-1.749; P < 0.001) and non-sustained ventricular tachycardia (NSVT) (HR: 4.949; 95% CI, 2.033-12.047; P < 0.001) were independently associated with MACE. Ten of 86 patients (11.6%) with low SCD risk assessed by the two guidelines had MACE. In this subgroup of patients, multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that global native T1 mapping was independently associated with MACE (HR: 1.532; 95% CI: 1.221-1.922; P < 0.001). In 85 patients with conflicting results assessed by the two guidelines, end-stage systolic dysfunction was independently associated with MACE (HR: 7.942, 95% CI: 1.322-47.707, P = 0.023). In 32 patients with high SCD risk assessed by the two guidelines, NSVT was independently associated with MACE (HR: 9.779, 95% CI: 1.953-48.964, P = 0.006). Conclusion: The global native T1 mapping could provide incremental values and serve as potential supplements to the current guidelines in the prediction of MACE.

SUBMITTER: Qin L

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8217449 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:BackgroundHypertrophic cardiomyopathy is the leading cause of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in children and young adults. Our objective was to develop and validate a SCD risk prediction model in pediatric hypertrophic cardiomyopathy to guide SCD prevention strategies.MethodsIn an international multicenter observational cohort study, phenotype-positive patients with isolated hypertrophic cardiomyopathy <18 years of age at diagnosis were eligible. The primary outcome variable was the time from diagnosis to a composite of SCD events at 5-year follow-up: SCD, resuscitated sudden cardiac arrest, and aborted SCD, that is, appropriate shock following primary prevention implantable cardioverter defibrillators. Competing risk models with cause-specific hazard regression were used to identify and quantify clinical and genetic factors associated with SCD. The cause-specific regression model was implemented using boosting, and tuned with 10 repeated 4-fold cross-validations. The final model was fitted using all data with the tuned hyperparameter value that maximizes the c-statistic, and its performance was characterized by using the c-statistic for competing risk models. The final model was validated in an independent external cohort (SHaRe [Sarcomeric Human Cardiomyopathy Registry], n=285).ResultsOverall, 572 patients met eligibility criteria with 2855 patient-years of follow-up. The 5-year cumulative proportion of SCD events was 9.1% (14 SCD, 25 resuscitated sudden cardiac arrests, and 14 aborted SCD). Risk predictors included age at diagnosis, documented nonsustained ventricular tachycardia, unexplained syncope, septal diameter z-score, left ventricular posterior wall diameter z score, left atrial diameter z score, peak left ventricular outflow tract gradient, and presence of a pathogenic variant. Unlike in adults, left ventricular outflow tract gradient had an inverse association, and family history of SCD had no association with SCD. Clinical and clinical/genetic models were developed to predict 5-year freedom from SCD. Both models adequately discriminated between patients with and without SCD events with a c-statistic of 0.75 and 0.76, respectively, and demonstrated good agreement between predicted and observed events in the primary and validation cohorts (validation c-statistic 0.71 and 0.72, respectively).ConclusionOur study provides a validated SCD risk prediction model with >70% prediction accuracy and incorporates risk factors that are unique to pediatric hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. An individualized risk prediction model has the potential to improve the application of clinical practice guidelines and shared decision making for implantable cardioverter defibrillator insertion. Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT0403679.

Project description:BackgroundMaximal left ventricular wall thickness (MLVWT) is a risk factor for sudden cardiac death (SCD) in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). In adults, the severity of left ventricular hypertrophy has a nonlinear relationship with SCD, but it is not known whether the same complex relationship is seen in childhood. The aim of this study was to describe the relationship between left ventricular hypertrophy and SCD risk in a large international pediatric HCM cohort.MethodsThe study cohort comprised 1075 children (mean age, 10.2 years [±4.4]) diagnosed with HCM (1-16 years) from the International Paediatric Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy Consortium. Anonymized, noninvasive clinical data were collected from baseline evaluation and follow-up, and 5-year estimated SCD risk was calculated (HCM Risk-Kids).ResultsMLVWT Z score was <10 in 598 (58.1%), ≥10 to <20 in 334 (31.1%), and ≥20 in 143 (13.3%). Higher MLVWT Z scores were associated with heart failure symptoms, unexplained syncope, left ventricular outflow tract obstruction, left atrial dilatation, and nonsustained ventricular tachycardia. One hundred twenty-two patients (71.3%) with MLVWT Z score ≥20 had coexisting risk factors for SCD. Over a median follow-up of 4.9 years (interquartile range, 2.3-9.3), 115 (10.7%) had an SCD event. Freedom from SCD event at 5 years for those with MLVWT Z scores <10, ≥10 to <20, and ≥20 was 95.6%, 87.4%, and 86.0, respectively. The estimated SCD risk at 5 years had a nonlinear, inverted U-shaped relationship with MLVWT Z score, peaking at Z score +23. The presence of coexisting risk factors had a summative effect on risk.ConclusionsIn children with HCM, an inverted U-shaped relationship exists between left ventricular hypertrophy and estimated SCD risk. The presence of additional risk factors has a summative effect on risk. While MLVWT is important for risk stratification, it should not be used either as a binary variable or in isolation to guide implantable cardioverter defibrillator implantation decisions in children with HCM.

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Incremental Values of T1 Mapping in the Prediction of Sudden Cardiac Death Risk in Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy: A Comparison With Two Guidelines.

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