Long-term cancer survival prediction using multimodal deep learning.
Ontology highlight
ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Vale-Silva LA
PROVIDER: S-EPMC8242026 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:BackgroundExisting risk scores appear insufficient to assess the individual survival risk of patients with advanced pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and do not take advantage of the variety of parameters that are collected during clinical care.MethodsIn this retrospective study, we built a random survival forest model from clinical data of 203 patients with advanced PDAC. The parameters were assessed before initiation of systemic treatment and included age, CA19-9, C-reactive protein, metastatic status, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and total serum protein level. Separate models including imaging and molecular parameters were built for subgroups.ResultsOver the entire cohort, a model based on clinical parameters achieved a c-index of 0.71. Our approach outperformed the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system and the modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) in the identification of high- and low-risk subgroups. Inclusion of the KRAS p.G12D mutational status could further improve the prediction, whereas radiomics data of the primary tumor only showed little benefit. In an external validation cohort of PDAC patients with liver metastases, our model achieved a c-index of 0.67 (mGPS: 0.59).ConclusionsThe combination of multimodal data and machine-learning algorithms holds potential for personalized prognostication in advanced PDAC already at diagnosis.
| S-EPMC9588888 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Abstract Motivation Use of multi-omics data carrying comprehensive signals about the disease is strongly desirable for understanding and predicting disease progression, cancer particularly as a serious disease with a high mortality rate. However, recent methods currently fail to effectively utilize the multi-omics data for cancer survival prediction and thus significantly limiting the accuracy of survival prediction using omics data. Results In this work, we constructed a deep learning model with multimodal representation and integration to predict the survival of patients using multi-omics data. We first developed an unsupervised learning part to extract high-level feature representations from omics data of different modalities. Then, we used an attention-based method to integrate feature representations, produced by the unsupervised learning part, into a single compact vector and finally we fed the vector into fully connected layers for survival prediction. We used multimodal data to train the model and predict pancancer survival, and the results show that using multimodal data can lead to higher prediction accuracy compared to using single modal data. Furthermore, we used the concordance index and the 5-fold cross-validation method for comparing our proposed method with current state-of-the-art methods and our results show that our model achieves better performance on the majority of cancer types in our testing datasets. Availability and implementation https://github.com/ZhangqiJiang07/MultimodalSurvivalPrediction. Supplementary information Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.
| S-EPMC9945067 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Gliomas are the most common primary brain malignancies. Accurate and robust tumor segmentation and prediction of patients' overall survival are important for diagnosis, treatment planning and risk factor identification. Here we present a deep learning-based framework for brain tumor segmentation and survival prediction in glioma, using multimodal MRI scans. For tumor segmentation, we use ensembles of three different 3D CNN architectures for robust performance through a majority rule. This approach can effectively reduce model bias and boost performance. For survival prediction, we extract 4,524 radiomic features from segmented tumor regions, then, a decision tree and cross validation are used to select potent features. Finally, a random forest model is trained to predict the overall survival of patients. The 2018 MICCAI Multimodal Brain Tumor Segmentation Challenge (BraTS), ranks our method at 2nd and 5th place out of 60+ participating teams for survival prediction tasks and segmentation tasks respectively, achieving a promising 61.0% accuracy on the classification of short-survivors, mid-survivors and long-survivors.
| S-EPMC6707136 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Deriving interpretable prognostic features from deep-learning-based prognostic histopathology models remains a challenge. In this study, we developed a deep learning system (DLS) for predicting disease-specific survival for stage II and III colorectal cancer using 3652 cases (27,300 slides). When evaluated on two validation datasets containing 1239 cases (9340 slides) and 738 cases (7140 slides), respectively, the DLS achieved a 5-year disease-specific survival AUC of 0.70 (95% CI: 0.66-0.73) and 0.69 (95% CI: 0.64-0.72), and added significant predictive value to a set of nine clinicopathologic features. To interpret the DLS, we explored the ability of different human-interpretable features to explain the variance in DLS scores. We observed that clinicopathologic features such as T-category, N-category, and grade explained a small fraction of the variance in DLS scores (R2 = 18% in both validation sets). Next, we generated human-interpretable histologic features by clustering embeddings from a deep-learning-based image-similarity model and showed that they explained the majority of the variance (R2 of 73-80%). Furthermore, the clustering-derived feature most strongly associated with high DLS scores was also highly prognostic in isolation. With a distinct visual appearance (poorly differentiated tumor cell clusters adjacent to adipose tissue), this feature was identified by annotators with 87.0-95.5% accuracy. Our approach can be used to explain predictions from a prognostic deep learning model and uncover potentially-novel prognostic features that can be reliably identified by people for future validation studies.
| S-EPMC8055695 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundClear-cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) is common and associated with substantial mortality. TNM stage and histopathological grading have been the sole determinants of a patient's prognosis for decades and there are few prognostic biomarkers used in clinical routine. Management of ccRCC involves multiple disciplines such as urology, radiology, oncology, and pathology and each of these specialties generates highly complex medical data. Here, artificial intelligence (AI) could prove extremely powerful to extract meaningful information to benefit patients.ObjectiveIn the study, we developed and evaluated a multimodal deep learning model (MMDLM) for prognosis prediction in ccRCC.Design setting and participantsTwo mixed cohorts of non-metastatic and metastatic ccRCC patients were used: (1) The Cancer Genome Atlas cohort including 230 patients and (2) the Mainz cohort including 18 patients with ccRCC. For each of these patients, we trained the MMDLM on multiscale histopathological images, CT/MRI scans, and genomic data from whole exome sequencing.Outcome measurements and statistical analysisOutcome measurements included Harrell's concordance index (C-index) and also various performance parameters for predicting the 5-year survival status (5YSS). Different visualization techniques were used to make our model more transparent.ResultsThe MMDLM showed great performance in predicting the prognosis of ccRCC patients with a mean C-index of 0.7791 and a mean accuracy of 83.43%. Training on a combination of data from different sources yielded significantly better results compared to when only one source was used. Furthermore, the MMDLM's prediction was an independent prognostic factor outperforming other clinical parameters.InterpretationMultimodal deep learning can contribute to prognosis prediction in ccRCC and potentially help to improve the clinical management of this disease.Patient summaryAn AI-based computer program can analyze various medical data (microscopic images, CT/MRI scans, and genomic data) simultaneously and thereby predict the survival time of patients with renal cancer.
| S-EPMC8651560 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Most deep-learning algorithms that use Hematoxylin- and Eosin-stained whole slide images (WSIs) to predict cancer survival incorporate image patches either with the highest scores or a combination of both the highest and lowest scores. In this study, we hypothesize that incorporating wholistic patch information can predict colorectal cancer (CRC) cancer survival more accurately. As such, we developed a distribution-based multiple-instance survival learning algorithm (DeepDisMISL) to validate this hypothesis on two large international CRC WSIs datasets called MCO CRC and TCGA COAD-READ. Our results suggest that combining patches that are scored based on percentile distributions together with the patches that are scored as highest and lowest drastically improves the performance of CRC survival prediction. Including multiple neighborhood instances around each selected distribution location (e.g., percentiles) could further improve the prediction. DeepDisMISL demonstrated superior predictive ability compared to other recently published, state-of-the-art algorithms. Furthermore, DeepDisMISL is interpretable and can assist clinicians in understanding the relationship between cancer morphological phenotypes and a patient's cancer survival risk.
| S-EPMC9689861 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundIdentifying individuals with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) at risk of progressing to Alzheimer's disease (AD) provides a unique opportunity for early interventions. Therefore, accurate and long-term prediction of the conversion from MCI to AD is desired but, to date, remains challenging. Here, we developed an interpretable deep learning model featuring a novel design that incorporates interaction effects and multimodality to improve the prediction accuracy and horizon for MCI-to-AD progression.MethodsThis multi-center, multi-cohort retrospective study collected structural magnetic resonance imaging (sMRI), clinical assessments, and genetic polymorphism data of 252 patients with MCI at baseline from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) database. Our deep learning model was cross-validated on the ADNI-1 and ADNI-2/GO cohorts and further generalized in the ongoing ADNI-3 cohort. We evaluated the model performance using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and F1 score.ResultsOn the cross-validation set, our model achieved superior results for predicting MCI conversion within 4 years (AUC, 0.962; accuracy, 92.92%; sensitivity, 88.89%; specificity, 95.33%) compared to all existing studies. In the independent test, our model exhibited consistent performance with an AUC of 0.939 and an accuracy of 92.86%. Integrating interaction effects and multimodal data into the model significantly increased prediction accuracy by 4.76% (P = 0.01) and 4.29% (P = 0.03), respectively. Furthermore, our model demonstrated robustness to inter-center and inter-scanner variability, while generating interpretable predictions by quantifying the contribution of multimodal biomarkers.ConclusionsThe proposed deep learning model presents a novel perspective by combining interaction effects and multimodality, leading to more accurate and longer-term predictions of AD progression, which promises to improve pre-dementia patient care.
| S-EPMC10926590 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Providing prognostic information at the time of cancer diagnosis has important implications for treatment and monitoring. Although cancer staging, histopathological assessment, molecular features, and clinical variables can provide useful prognostic insights, improving risk stratification remains an active research area. We developed a deep learning system (DLS) to predict disease specific survival across 10 cancer types from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). We used a weakly-supervised approach without pixel-level annotations, and tested three different survival loss functions. The DLS was developed using 9,086 slides from 3,664 cases and evaluated using 3,009 slides from 1,216 cases. In multivariable Cox regression analysis of the combined cohort including all 10 cancers, the DLS was significantly associated with disease specific survival (hazard ratio of 1.58, 95% CI 1.28-1.70, p<0.0001) after adjusting for cancer type, stage, age, and sex. In a per-cancer adjusted subanalysis, the DLS remained a significant predictor of survival in 5 of 10 cancer types. Compared to a baseline model including stage, age, and sex, the c-index of the model demonstrated an absolute 3.7% improvement (95% CI 1.0-6.5) in the combined cohort. Additionally, our models stratified patients within individual cancer stages, particularly stage II (p = 0.025) and stage III (p<0.001). By developing and evaluating prognostic models across multiple cancer types, this work represents one of the most comprehensive studies exploring the direct prediction of clinical outcomes using deep learning and histopathology images. Our analysis demonstrates the potential for this approach to provide significant prognostic information in multiple cancer types, and even within specific pathologic stages. However, given the relatively small number of cases and observed clinical events for a deep learning task of this type, we observed wide confidence intervals for model performance, thus highlighting that future work will benefit from larger datasets assembled for the purposes for survival modeling.
| S-EPMC7299324 | biostudies-literature
Project description:MotivationAccurately predicting cancer survival is crucial for helping clinicians to plan appropriate treatments, which largely improves the life quality of cancer patients and spares the related medical costs. Recent advances in survival prediction methods suggest that integrating complementary information from different modalities, e.g. histopathological images and genomic data, plays a key role in enhancing predictive performance. Despite promising results obtained by existing multimodal methods, the disparate and heterogeneous characteristics of multimodal data cause the so-called modality gap problem, which brings in dramatically diverse modality representations in feature space. Consequently, detrimental modality gaps make it difficult for comprehensive integration of multimodal information via representation learning and therefore pose a great challenge to further improvements of cancer survival prediction.ResultsTo solve the above problems, we propose a novel method called cross-aligned multimodal representation learning (CAMR), which generates both modality-invariant and -specific representations for more accurate cancer survival prediction. Specifically, a cross-modality representation alignment learning network is introduced to reduce modality gaps by effectively learning modality-invariant representations in a common subspace, which is achieved by aligning the distributions of different modality representations through adversarial training. Besides, we adopt a cross-modality fusion module to fuse modality-invariant representations into a unified cross-modality representation for each patient. Meanwhile, CAMR learns modality-specific representations which complement modality-invariant representations and therefore provides a holistic view of the multimodal data for cancer survival prediction. Comprehensive experiment results demonstrate that CAMR can successfully narrow modality gaps and consistently yields better performance than other survival prediction methods using multimodal data.Availability and implementationCAMR is freely available at https://github.com/wxq-ustc/CAMR.Supplementary informationSupplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.
| S-EPMC9857974 | biostudies-literature
Project description:PurposeMost radiomic studies use the features extracted from the manually drawn tumor contours for classification or survival prediction. However, large interobserver segmentation variations lead to inconsistent features and hence introduce more challenges in constructing robust prediction models. Here, we proposed an automatic workflow for glioblastoma (GBM) survival prediction based on multimodal magnetic resonance (MR) images.Methods and materialsTwo hundred eighty-five patients with glioma (210 GBM, 75 low-grade glioma) were included. One hundred sixty-three of the patients with GBM had overall survival data. Every patient had 4 preoperative MR images and manually drawn tumor contours. A 3-dimensional convolutional neural network, VGG-Seg, was trained and validated using 122 patients with glioma for automatic GBM segmentation. The trained VGG-Seg was applied to the remaining 163 patients with GBM to generate their autosegmented tumor contours. The handcrafted and deep learning (DL)-based radiomic features were extracted from the autosegmented contours using explicitly designed algorithms and a pretrained convolutional neural network, respectively. One hundred sixty-three patients with GBM were randomly split into training (n = 122) and testing (n = 41) sets for survival analysis. Cox regression models were trained to construct the handcrafted and DL-based signatures. The prognostic powers of the 2 signatures were evaluated and compared.ResultsThe VGG-Seg achieved a mean Dice coefficient of 0.86 across 163 patients with GBM for GBM segmentation. The handcrafted signature achieved a C-index of 0.64 (95% confidence interval, 0.55-0.73), whereas the DL-based signature achieved a C-index of 0.67 (95% confidence interval, 0.57-0.77). Unlike the handcrafted signature, the DL-based signature successfully stratified testing patients into 2 prognostically distinct groups.ConclusionsThe VGG-Seg generated accurate GBM contours from 4 MR images. The DL-based signature achieved a numerically higher C-index than the handcrafted signature and significant patient stratification. The proposed automatic workflow demonstrated the potential of improving patient stratification and survival prediction in patients with GBM.
| S-EPMC8377554 | biostudies-literature