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Cost-effectiveness microsimulation of catheter-directed thrombolysis in submassive pulmonary embolism using a right ventricular function model.

ABSTRACT: Approximately 30-50% of hemodynamically stable patients presenting with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) have evidence of right ventricular (RV) dysfunction. These patients are classified as submassive PE and the role of reperfusion therapy remains unclear. We sought to identify the circumstances under which catheter-directed thrombolysis (CDT) would represent high-value care for submassive PE. We used a computer-based, individual-level, state-transition model with one million simulated patients to perform a cost-effectiveness analysis comparing the treatment of submassive PE with CDT followed by anticoagulation to treatment with anticoagulation alone. Because RV function impacts prognosis and is commonly used in PE outcomes research, our model used RV dysfunction to differentiate health states. One-way, two-way, and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were used to quantify model uncertainty. Our base case analysis generated an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $119,326 per quality adjusted life year. Sensitivity analyses resulted in ICERs consistent with high-value care when CDT conferred a reduction in the absolute probability of RV dysfunction of 3.5% or more. CDT yielded low-value ICERs if the absolute reduction was less than 1.56%. Our model suggests that catheter-directed thrombolytics represents high-value care compared to anticoagulation alone when CDT offers an absolute improvement in RV dysfunction of 3.5% or more, but there is substantial uncertainly around these results. We estimated the monetary value of clarifying the costs and consequences surrounding RV dysfunction after submassive PE to be approximately $268 million annually, suggesting further research in this area could be highly valuable.

SUBMITTER: Mason SE

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8314388 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:BackgroundThe benefit of catheter-directed therapy (CDT) for submassive pulmonary embolism (sPE) has been the subject of debate. We sought to determine the short- and long-term mortality and outcomes of CDT compared with anticoagulation for patients with sPE.MethodsWe performed a single healthcare network, multihospital, retrospective cohort study of hospitalizations for sPE from 2012 to 2019. sPE was defined as the presence of right heart strain or elevated biomarkers (troponin I or B-type natriuretic peptide). Patients with massive PE and those who had undergone systemic thrombolysis were excluded. The sPE groups included therapeutic anticoagulation alone or anticoagulation plus CDT (ie, thrombolysis or suction thrombectomy). The primary outcome was mortality at 1, 3, and 5 years. The other measured outcomes included PE-related death, short term mortality (30 days and 3 and 6 months), 30-day treatment-related complications (eg, bleeding, transfusion, stroke), chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension, and 6-minute walk test at 1 year. After 1:1 nearest-neighbor propensity score matching, Kaplan-Meier survival plots were generated, and the treatment groups were compared using log-rank testing. We used Cox multivariate analysis to evaluate the outcomes after clustering at the hospital level, generating matched hazard ratios (mHRs) with associated 95% confidence intervals (CIs).ResultsOf 6746 sPE hospitalizations, the patients who had received CDT were younger (age, 58.9 ± 15.5 years vs 61.5 ± 17.4 years; P = .004), were more frequently White (92.5% vs 85.7%; P < .001), and had presented with a higher mean heart rate (104.6 bpm vs 94.9 bpm; P < .001), lower median systolic blood pressure (129 mm Hg vs 135 mm Hg; P < .001), and a greater incidence of right heart strain (79.2% vs 20.3%; P < .001). A total of 470 patients were matched, with 235 in the CDT group and 235 in the anticoagulation-only group. CDT was associated with a lower risk of mortality compared with anticoagulation at 1 year (7.6% vs 9.8%; mHR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.65-0.92; P = .004), 3 years (11.1% vs 16.6%; mHR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.55-0.73; P < .001), and 5 years (14.5% vs 19.1%; mHR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.66-0.77; P < .001). Anticoagulation alone resulted in a greater incidence of PE-related deaths at 1, 3, and 5 years. The mortality at 30 days and 3 months was similar; however, CDT had resulted in better survival at 6 months (mHR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.68-0.97; P = .02). No differences were found between the two groups in the incidence of bleeding complications at 30 days, development of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension, or the mean walking distance at 1 year.ConclusionsCDT plus anticoagulation for sPE was associated with improved long-term survival compared with anticoagulation alone, with a lower incidence of PE-related death and a low complication rate. CDT should be considered for select patients with sPE given its survival benefit.

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Cost-effectiveness microsimulation of catheter-directed thrombolysis in submassive pulmonary embolism using a right ventricular function model.

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