The evolutionary origin of Bayesian heuristics and finite memory.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Lo AW
PROVIDER: S-EPMC8340130 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:Bayesian inference is widely used nowadays and relies largely on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. Evolutionary biology has greatly benefited from the developments of MCMC methods, but the design of more complex and realistic models and the ever growing availability of novel data is pushing the limits of the current use of these methods.We present a parallel Metropolis-Hastings (M-H) framework built with a novel combination of enhancements aimed towards parameter-rich and complex models. We show on a parameter-rich macroevolutionary model increases of the sampling speed up to 35 times with 32 processors when compared to a sequential M-H process. More importantly, our framework achieves up to a twentyfold faster convergence to estimate the posterior probability of phylogenetic trees using 32 processors when compared to the well-known software MrBayes for Bayesian inference of phylogenetic trees.https://bitbucket.org/XavMeyer/hogan.nicolas.salamin@unil.ch.Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.
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Project description:BackgroundThe translational efficiency of an mRNA can be modulated by upstream open reading frames (uORFs) present in certain genes. A uORF can attenuate translation of the main ORF by interfering with translational reinitiation at the main start codon. uORFs also occur by chance in the genome, in which case they do not have a regulatory role. Since the sequence determinants for functional uORFs are not understood, it is difficult to discriminate functional from spurious uORFs by sequence analysis.ResultsWe have used comparative genomics to identify novel uORFs in yeast with a high likelihood of having a translational regulatory role. We examined uORFs, previously shown to play a role in regulation of translation in Saccharomyces cerevisiae, for evolutionary conservation within seven Saccharomyces species. Inspection of the set of conserved uORFs yielded the following three characteristics useful for discrimination of functional from spurious uORFs: a length between 4 and 6 codons, a distance from the start of the main ORF between 50 and 150 nucleotides, and finally a lack of overlap with, and clear separation from, neighbouring uORFs. These derived rules are inherently associated with uORFs with properties similar to the GCN4 locus, and may not detect most uORFs of other types. uORFs with high scores based on these rules showed a much higher evolutionary conservation than randomly selected uORFs. In a genome-wide scan in S. cerevisiae, we found 34 conserved uORFs from 32 genes that we predict to be functional; subsequent analysis showed the majority of these to be located within transcripts. A total of 252 genes were found containing conserved uORFs with properties indicative of a functional role; all but 7 are novel. Functional content analysis of this set identified an overrepresentation of genes involved in transcriptional control and development.ConclusionEvolutionary conservation of uORFs in yeasts can be traced up to 100 million years of separation. The conserved uORFs have certain characteristics with respect to length, distance from each other and from the main start codon, and folding energy of the sequence. These newly found characteristics can be used to facilitate detection of other conserved uORFs.
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Project description:The study of evolutionary dynamics increasingly relies on computational methods, as more and more cases outside the range of analytical tractability are explored. The computational methods for simulation and numerical approximation of the relevant quantities are diverging without being compared for accuracy and performance. We thoroughly investigate these algorithms in order to propose a reliable standard. For expositional clarity we focus on symmetric 2 × 2 games leading to one-dimensional processes, noting that extensions can be straightforward and lessons will often carry over to more complex cases. We provide time-complexity analysis and systematically compare three families of methods to compute fixation probabilities, fixation times and long-term stationary distributions for the popular Moran process. We provide efficient implementations that substantially improve wall times over naive or immediate implementations. Implications are also discussed for the Wright-Fisher process, as well as structured populations and multiple types.
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Project description:Imagination, the driving force of creativity, and primary psychosis are human-specific, since we do not observe behaviors in other species that would convincingly suggest they possess the same traits. Both these traits have been linked to the function of the prefrontal cortex, which is the most evolutionarily novel region of the human brain. A number of evolutionarily novel genetic and epigenetic changes that determine the human brain-specific structure and function have been discovered in recent years. Among them are genomic loci subjected to increased rates of single nucleotide substitutions in humans, called human accelerated regions. These mostly regulatory regions are involved in brain development and sometimes contain genetic variants that confer a risk for schizophrenia. On the other hand, neuroimaging data suggest that mind wandering and related phenomena (as a proxy of imagination) are in many ways similar to rapid eye movement dreaming, a function also present in non-human species. Furthermore, both functions are similar to psychosis in several ways: for example, the same brain areas are activated both in dreams and visual hallucinations. In the present Perspective we hypothesize that imagination is an evolutionary adaptation of dreaming, while primary psychosis results from deficient control by higher-order brain areas over imagination. In the light of this, human accelerated regions might be one of the key drivers in evolution of human imagination and the pathogenesis of psychotic disorders.
| S-EPMC9894884 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundCentral monitoring (CM), in which data across all clinical sites are monitored, has an important role in risk-based monitoring. Several statistical methods have been proposed to compare patient outcomes among the sites for detecting atypical sites that have different trends in observed data. These methods assume that the number of clinical sites is not small, e.g., 100 or more. In addition, the proportion of atypical sites is assumed to be relatively small. However, in actuality, the central statistical monitoring (CSM) has to be implemented in small or moderate sized clinical trials such as small phase II clinical trials. The number of sites is no longer large in such situations. Therefore, it is of concern that existing methods may not work efficiently in CM of small or moderate sized clinical trials. In the light of this problem, we propose a Bayesian CSM method to detect atypical sites as the robust method against the existence of atypical sites.MethodsWe use Bayesian finite mixture models (FMM) to model patient outcome values of both atypical and typical sites. In the method, the distributions of outcome values in normal sites are determined by choosing the body distribution, which has the largest mixture parameter value of finite mixture models based on the assumption that normal sites are in the majority. Atypical sites are detected by the criterion based on the posterior predictive distribution of normal site's outcome values derived from only the chosen body distribution.ResultsProposed method is evaluated by cumulative detection probability and type I error averaged over sites every round of CSM under the various scenarios, being compared with the conventional type analysis. If the total number of patients enrolled is 48, the proposed method is superior at least 10% for any shift sizes at the 2nd and the 3rd rounds. If the total number of patients is 96, both methods show similar detection probability for only one atypical site and large shift size. However, the proposed method is superior for the other scenarios. It is observed that all the type I errors averaged over sites are little difference between the methods at all the scenarios.ConclusionWe propose a Bayesian CSM method which works efficiently in a practical use of CM. It is shown that our method detects atypical sites with high probability regardless of the proportion of the atypical sites under the small clinical trial settings which is the target of our proposed method.
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Project description:BackgroundThe evolutionary analysis of molecular sequence variation is a statistical enterprise. This is reflected in the increased use of probabilistic models for phylogenetic inference, multiple sequence alignment, and molecular population genetics. Here we present BEAST: a fast, flexible software architecture for Bayesian analysis of molecular sequences related by an evolutionary tree. A large number of popular stochastic models of sequence evolution are provided and tree-based models suitable for both within- and between-species sequence data are implemented.ResultsBEAST version 1.4.6 consists of 81000 lines of Java source code, 779 classes and 81 packages. It provides models for DNA and protein sequence evolution, highly parametric coalescent analysis, relaxed clock phylogenetics, non-contemporaneous sequence data, statistical alignment and a wide range of options for prior distributions. BEAST source code is object-oriented, modular in design and freely available at http://beast-mcmc.googlecode.com/ under the GNU LGPL license.ConclusionBEAST is a powerful and flexible evolutionary analysis package for molecular sequence variation. It also provides a resource for the further development of new models and statistical methods of evolutionary analysis.
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