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Risk Factors for Maternal and Fetal Mortality in Acute Fatty Liver of Pregnancy and New Predictive Models.

ABSTRACT: Acute fatty liver of pregnancy (AFLP) is a rare but potentially life-threatening hepatic disorder that leads to considerable maternal and fetal mortality. To explore the risk factors for maternal and fetal mortality in AFLP and develop new predictive models, through this retrospective study, we analyzed the demographic characteristics, clinical symptoms, and laboratory findings of 106 patients with AFLP who were admitted to Shandong Provincial Hospital. Risk factors for maternal and fetal mortality were analyzed by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. The new models based on the multivariate logistic regression analysis and the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) were tested in AFLP. The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was applied to compare the predictive efficiency, sensitivity, and specificity of the two models. Prenatal nausea (p = 0.037), prolonged prothrombin time (p = 0.003), and elevated serum creatinine (p = 0.003) were independent risk factors for maternal mortality. The ROC curve showed that the area under the curve (AUC) of the MELD was 0.948, with a sensitivity of 100% and a specificity of 83.3%. The AUC of the new model for maternal mortality was 0.926, with a sensitivity of 90% and a specificity of 94.8%. Hepatic encephalopathy (p = 0.016) and thrombocytopenia (p = 0.001) were independent risk factors for fetal mortality. Using the ROC curve, the AUC of the MELD was 0.694, yielding a sensitivity of 68.8% and a specificity of 64.4%. The AUC of the new model for fetal mortality was 0.893, yielding a sensitivity of 100% and a specificity of 73.3%. Both the new predictive model for maternal mortality and the MELD showed good predictive efficacy for maternal mortality in patients with AFLP (AUC = 0.926 and 0.948, respectively), and the new predictive model for fetal mortality was superior to the MELD in predicting fetal mortality (AUC = 0.893 and 0.694, respectively). The two new predictive models were more readily available, less expensive, and easier to implement clinically, especially in low-income countries.

SUBMITTER: Meng Z

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8374939 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:BackgroundLimited data exists regarding the pregnancy and infant outcomes of Acute Fatty Liver of Pregnancy (AFLP).MethodsRetrospectively collected mothers with AFLP and mothers without AFLP in our center from 1/2008 to 6/2018. The primary assessment was to analyze and compare the frequency of negative maternal and fetal outcomes. The secondary assessment was to investigate the role of intrauterine balloon tamponade in reducing negative maternal outcomes.ResultsCompared to 220 matched mothers, 55 AFLP mothers were younger (P <?0.001), with fewer pregnancies (P =?0.033), complicated with more pregnancy induced hypertension (P <?0.001), twins(P =?0.002), fetal growth restriction (P =?0.044) and male fetus (P?<?0.001). 3 (5.5%) of AFLP patients were diagnosed in the postpartum period. Mean gestational week of AFLP diagnosis was 35.25?±?5.80?weeks. Jaundice (89.1%), nausea or vomiting (58.2%), anorexia (49.1%), fatigue (45.5%) and polydipsia (30.9%) were the main prodromal symptoms. The median duration from diagnosis to delivery was 1.55?±?4.62?days and 75% (39/52) pregnancy were terminated the pregnancy at the day of diagnosis. 78.8% (41/52) patients received cesarean section, 53.6% (22/41) of which received preventive plasma transfusion before surgery and no one received artificial liver support during the treatment. In comparison, higher frequency of 16 maternal complications, severe negative outcomes (27.3% vs. 0.9%) and newborn asphyxia (24.6% vs.0.9%) were observed in AFLP population. 3 mothers (mortality rates: 5.5%) died of multiple organ system failure and 6 fetus/infants (death rates: 9.8%) died of distress. When compared to those without negative outcomes, patients with negative fetal outcomes were younger (P =?0.042), had more singleton rates (p =?0.041), increased mean value of ALT(P =?0.011) and T-Bilirubin (P =?0.014), decreased prothrombin activity (P?=?0.011). Although no statistical significance for the small sample size, there were less refractory postpartum hemorrhage (0% vs.31.3%), hysterectomy (0% vs.12.5%), negative maternal outcomes (16.7% vs.56.3%) in patients underwent intrauterine balloon tamponade when postpartum hemorrhage exceeded 500?ml.ConclusionsSeveral symptoms were found to be the main prodromal symptoms of AFLP. Higher frequency of adverse maternal and fetal outcomes was observed in mothers with AFLP than mothers without AFLP. We found five potential risk factors of negative fetal outcomes.

Project description:BackgroundMaternal infection with cholera may negatively affect pregnancy outcomes. The objective of this research is to systematically review the literature and determine the risk of fetal, neonatal and maternal death associated with cholera during pregnancy.Materials and methodsMedline, Global Health Library, and Cochrane Library databases were searched using the key terms cholera and pregnancy for articles published in any language and at any time before August 2013 to quantitatively summarize estimates of fetal, maternal, and neonatal mortality. 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated for each selected study. Random-effect non-linear logistic regression was used to calculate pooled rates and 95% CIs by time period. Studies from the recent period (1991-2013) were compared with studies from 1969-1990. Relative risk (RR) estimates and 95% CIs were obtained by comparing mortality of selected recent studies with published national normative data from the closest year.ResultsThe meta-analysis included seven studies that together involved 737 pregnant women with cholera from six countries. The pooled fetal death rate for 4 studies during 1991-2013 was 7.9% (95% CIs 5.3-10.4), significantly lower than that of 3 studies from 1969-1990 (31.0%, 95% CIs 25.2-36.8). There was no difference in fetal death rate by trimester. The pooled neonatal death rate for 1991-2013 studies was 0.8% (95% CIs 0.0-1.6), and 6.4% (95% CIs 0.0-20.8) for 1969-1990. The pooled maternal death rate for 1991-2013 studies was 0.2% (95% CIs 0.0-0.7), and 5.0% (95% CIs 0.0-16.0) for 1969-1990. Compared with published national mortality estimates, the RR for fetal death of 5.8 (95% CIs 2.9-11.3) was calculated for Haiti (2013), 1.8 (95% CIs 0.3-10.4) for Senegal (2007), and 2.6 (95% CIs 0.5-14.9) for Peru (1991); there were no significant differences in the RR for neonatal or maternal death.ConclusionResults are limited by the inconsistencies found across included studies but suggest that maternal cholera is associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes, particularly fetal death. These findings can inform a research agenda on cholera in pregnancy and guidance for the timely management of pregnant women with cholera.

Project description:Acute leukemia during pregnancy (P-AL) is a rare disease with limited data regarding the management and outcomes of mothers and fetuses. We retrospectively analyzed the characteristics, pregnancy outcomes and maternal and neonatal prognoses of 52 patients with P-AL collected from January 2013 to December 2020 in our center. Seventeen (32.7%) patients received chemotherapy during pregnancy (exposed cohort), while 35 (67.3%) received chemotherapy after abortion/delivery (nonexposed cohort). Twenty-six (50.0%) pregnancies ended with abortion, and 26 (50.0%) babies were born through spontaneous delivery or cesarean section. Seven infants (26.9%) were born in the exposed cohort, while 19 infants (73.1%) were born in the nonexposed cohort. Fetuses in the exposed cohort had lower gestational ages (P=0.030) and birth weights (P=0.049). Considering the safety of the fetus, seven patients in the exposed cohort received low-dose chemotherapy, one patient received all-trans retinoic acid (ATRA) and one patient only received corticosteroids as induction therapy. Patients received low-dose chemotherapy as induction therapy had a lower complete remission (CR) rate (P=0.041), and more patients in this group received HSCT (P=0.010) than patients received intensive chemotherapy. Patients who delayed chemotherapy in the nonexposed cohort experienced a trend toward a higher mortality rate than patients who received timely chemotherapy (P=0.191). The CR (P = 0.488), OS (P=0.655), and DFS (P=0.453) were similar between the exposed and nonexposed cohorts. Overall, the 4-year overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) rates were estimated at 49.1% and 57.8%, respectively. All newborns were living, without deformities, or developmental and intellectual disabilities. Our study indicated that P-AL patients in the first trimester might tend to receive chemotherapy after abortion. Both the status of disease and patients' willingness should be taken into consideration when clinicians were planning treatment strategies in the second or third trimester. Low-dose or delayed chemotherapy might decrease the efficacy of induction therapy and survival rate of patients, but HSCT could improve the prognosis.

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Risk Factors for Maternal and Fetal Mortality in Acute Fatty Liver of Pregnancy and New Predictive Models.

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