Application of a time-series deep learning model to predict cardiac dysrhythmias in electronic health records.
Ontology highlight
ABSTRACT: Background
Cardiac dysrhythmias (CD) affect millions of Americans in the United States (US), and are associated with considerable morbidity and mortality. New strategies to combat this growing problem are urgently needed.Objectives
Predicting CD using electronic health record (EHR) data would allow for earlier diagnosis and treatment of the condition, thus improving overall cardiovascular outcomes. The Guideline Advantage (TGA) is an American Heart Association ambulatory quality clinical data registry of EHR data representing 70 clinics distributed throughout the US, and has been used to monitor outpatient prevention and disease management outcome measures across populations and for longitudinal research on the impact of preventative care.Methods
For this study, we represented all time-series cardiovascular health (CVH) measures and the corresponding data collection time points for each patient by numerical embedding vectors. We then employed a deep learning technique-long-short term memory (LSTM) model-to predict CD from the vector of time-series CVH measures by 5-fold cross validation and compared the performance of this model to the results of deep neural networks, logistic regression, random forest, and Naïve Bayes models.Results
We demonstrated that the LSTM model outperformed other traditional machine learning models and achieved the best prediction performance as measured by the average area under the receiver operator curve (AUROC): 0.76 for LSTM, 0.71 for deep neural networks, 0.66 for logistic regression, 0.67 for random forest, and 0.59 for Naïve Bayes. The most influential feature from the LSTM model were blood pressure.Conclusions
These findings may be used to prevent CD in the outpatient setting by encouraging appropriate surveillance and management of CVH.
SUBMITTER: Guo A
PROVIDER: S-EPMC8437288 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Similar Datasets
Project description:BackgroundThe main goal of this study is to explore the use of features representing patient-level electronic health record (EHR) data, generated by the unsupervised deep learning algorithm autoencoder, in predictive modeling. Since autoencoder features are unsupervised, this paper focuses on their general lower-dimensional representation of EHR information in a wide variety of predictive tasks.MethodsWe compare the model with autoencoder features to traditional models: logistic model with least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and Random Forest algorithm. In addition, we include a predictive model using a small subset of response-specific variables (Simple Reg) and a model combining these variables with features from autoencoder (Enhanced Reg). We performed the study first on simulated data that mimics real world EHR data and then on actual EHR data from eight Advocate hospitals.ResultsOn simulated data with incorrect categories and missing data, the precision for autoencoder is 24.16% when fixing recall at 0.7, which is higher than Random Forest (23.61%) and lower than LASSO (25.32%). The precision is 20.92% in Simple Reg and improves to 24.89% in Enhanced Reg. When using real EHR data to predict the 30-day readmission rate, the precision of autoencoder is 19.04%, which again is higher than Random Forest (18.48%) and lower than LASSO (19.70%). The precisions for Simple Reg and Enhanced Reg are 18.70 and 19.69% respectively. That is, Enhanced Reg can have competitive prediction performance compared to LASSO. In addition, results show that Enhanced Reg usually relies on fewer features under the setting of simulations of this paper.ConclusionsWe conclude that autoencoder can create useful features representing the entire space of EHR data and which are applicable to a wide array of predictive tasks. Together with important response-specific predictors, we can derive efficient and robust predictive models with less labor in data extraction and model training.
| S-EPMC7043035 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Predictive modeling with electronic health record (EHR) data is anticipated to drive personalized medicine and improve healthcare quality. Constructing predictive statistical models typically requires extraction of curated predictor variables from normalized EHR data, a labor-intensive process that discards the vast majority of information in each patient's record. We propose a representation of patients' entire raw EHR records based on the Fast Healthcare Interoperability Resources (FHIR) format. We demonstrate that deep learning methods using this representation are capable of accurately predicting multiple medical events from multiple centers without site-specific data harmonization. We validated our approach using de-identified EHR data from two US academic medical centers with 216,221 adult patients hospitalized for at least 24?h. In the sequential format we propose, this volume of EHR data unrolled into a total of 46,864,534,945 data points, including clinical notes. Deep learning models achieved high accuracy for tasks such as predicting: in-hospital mortality (area under the receiver operator curve [AUROC] across sites 0.93-0.94), 30-day unplanned readmission (AUROC 0.75-0.76), prolonged length of stay (AUROC 0.85-0.86), and all of a patient's final discharge diagnoses (frequency-weighted AUROC 0.90). These models outperformed traditional, clinically-used predictive models in all cases. We believe that this approach can be used to create accurate and scalable predictions for a variety of clinical scenarios. In a case study of a particular prediction, we demonstrate that neural networks can be used to identify relevant information from the patient's chart.
| S-EPMC6550175 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundBleeding is associated with a significantly increased morbidity and mortality. Bleeding events are often described in the unstructured text of electronic health records, which makes them difficult to identify by manual inspection.ObjectivesTo develop a deep learning model that detects and visualizes bleeding events in electronic health records.Patients/methodsThree hundred electronic health records with International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision diagnosis codes for bleeding or leukemia were extracted. Each sentence in the electronic health record was annotated as positive or negative for bleeding. The annotated sentences were used to develop a deep learning model that detects bleeding at sentence and note level.ResultsOn a balanced test set of 1178 sentences, the best-performing deep learning model achieved a sensitivity of 0.90, specificity of 0.90, and negative predictive value of 0.90. On a test set consisting of 700 notes, of which 49 were positive for bleeding, the model achieved a note-level sensitivity of 1.00, specificity of 0.52, and negative predictive value of 1.00. By using a sentence-level model on a note level, the model can explain its predictions by visualizing the exact sentence in a note that contains information regarding bleeding. Moreover, we found that the model performed consistently well across different types of bleedings.ConclusionsA deep learning model can be used to detect and visualize bleeding events in the free text of electronic health records. The deep learning model can thus facilitate systematic assessment of bleeding risk, and thereby optimize patient care and safety.
| S-EPMC8114029 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundPreviously, we constructed a deep neural network (DNN) model to estimate low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C).ObjectiveTo routinely provide estimated LDL-C levels, we applied the aforementioned DNN model to an electronic health record (EHR) system in real time (deep LDL-EHR).MethodsThe Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey and the Wonju Severance Christian Hospital (WSCH) datasets were used as training and testing datasets, respectively. We measured our proposed model's performance by using 5 indices, including bias, root mean-square error, P10-P30, concordance, and correlation coefficient. For transfer learning (TL), we pretrained the DNN model using a training dataset and fine-tuned it using 30% of the testing dataset.ResultsBased on 5 accuracy criteria, deep LDL-EHR generated inaccurate results compared with other methods for LDL-C estimation. By comparing the training and testing datasets, we found an overfitting problem. We then revised the DNN model using the TL algorithms and randomly selected subdata from the WSCH dataset. Therefore, the revised model (DNN+TL) exhibited the best performance among all methods.ConclusionsOur DNN+TL is expected to be suitable for routine real-time clinical application for LDL-C estimation in a clinical laboratory.
| S-EPMC8371492 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundCardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of death in the United States (US). Better cardiovascular health (CVH) is associated with CVD prevention. Predicting future CVH levels may help providers better manage patients' CVH. We hypothesized that CVH measures can be predicted based on previous measurements from longitudinal electronic health record (EHR) data.MethodsThe Guideline Advantage (TGA) dataset was used and contained EHR data from 70 outpatient clinics across the United States (US). We studied predictions of 5 CVH submetrics: smoking status (SMK), body mass index (BMI), blood pressure (BP), hemoglobin A1c (A1C), and low-density lipoprotein (LDL). We applied embedding techniques and long short-term memory (LSTM) networks - to predict future CVH category levels from all the previous CVH measurements of 216,445 unique patients for each CVH submetric.ResultsThe LSTM model performance was evaluated by the area under the receiver operator curve (AUROC): the micro-average AUROC was 0.99 for SMK prediction; 0.97 for BMI; 0.84 for BP; 0.91 for A1C; and 0.93 for LDL prediction. Model performance was not improved by using all 5 submetric measures compared with using single submetric measures.ConclusionsWe suggest that future CVH levels can be predicted using previous CVH measurements for each submetric, which has implications for population cardiovascular health management. Predicting patients' future CVH levels might directly increase patient CVH health and thus quality of life, while also indirectly decreasing the burden and cost for clinical health system caused by CVD and cancers.
| S-EPMC7789405 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundDeep learning models have attracted significant interest from health care researchers during the last few decades. There have been many studies that apply deep learning to medical applications and achieve promising results. However, there are three limitations to the existing models: (1) most clinicians are unable to interpret the results from the existing models, (2) existing models cannot incorporate complicated medical domain knowledge (eg, a disease causes another disease), and (3) most existing models lack visual exploration and interaction. Both the electronic health record (EHR) data set and the deep model results are complex and abstract, which impedes clinicians from exploring and communicating with the model directly.ObjectiveThe objective of this study is to develop an interpretable and accurate risk prediction model as well as an interactive clinical prediction system to support EHR data exploration, knowledge graph demonstration, and model interpretation.MethodsA domain-knowledge-guided recurrent neural network (DG-RNN) model is proposed to predict clinical risks. The model takes medical event sequences as input and incorporates medical domain knowledge by attending to a subgraph of the whole medical knowledge graph. A global pooling operation and a fully connected layer are used to output the clinical outcomes. The middle results and the parameters of the fully connected layer are helpful in identifying which medical events cause clinical risks. DG-Viz is also designed to support EHR data exploration, knowledge graph demonstration, and model interpretation.ResultsWe conducted both risk prediction experiments and a case study on a real-world data set. A total of 554 patients with heart failure and 1662 control patients without heart failure were selected from the data set. The experimental results show that the proposed DG-RNN outperforms the state-of-the-art approaches by approximately 1.5%. The case study demonstrates how our medical physician collaborator can effectively explore the data and interpret the prediction results using DG-Viz.ConclusionsIn this study, we present DG-Viz, an interactive clinical prediction system, which brings together the power of deep learning (ie, a DG-RNN-based model) and visual analytics to predict clinical risks and visually interpret the EHR prediction results. Experimental results and a case study on heart failure risk prediction tasks demonstrate the effectiveness and usefulness of the DG-Viz system. This study will pave the way for interactive, interpretable, and accurate clinical risk predictions.
| S-EPMC7551124 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundIntraoperative physiological monitoring generates a large quantity of time-series data that might be associated with postoperative outcomes. Using a deep learning model based on intraoperative time-series monitoring data to predict postoperative quality of recovery has not been previously reported.MethodsPerioperative data from female patients having laparoscopic hysterectomy were prospectively collected. Deep learning, logistic regression, support vector machine, and random forest models were trained using different datasets and evaluated by 5-fold cross-validation. The quality of recovery on postoperative day 1 was assessed using the Quality of Recovery-15 scale. The quality of recovery was dichotomized into satisfactory if the score ≥122 and unsatisfactory if <122. Models' discrimination was estimated using the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC). Models' calibration was visualized using the calibration plot and appraised by the Brier score. The SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) approach was used to characterize different input features' contributions.ResultsData from 699 patients were used for modeling. When using preoperative data only, all four models exhibited poor performance (AUROC ranging from 0.65 to 0.68). The inclusion of the intraoperative intervention and/or monitoring data improved the performance of the deep leaning, logistic regression, and random forest models but not the support vector machine model. The AUROC of the deep learning model based on the intraoperative monitoring data only was 0.77 (95% CI, 0.72-0.81), which was indistinct from that based on the intraoperative intervention data only (AUROC, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.75-0.82) and from that based on the preoperative, intraoperative intervention, and monitoring data combined (AUROC, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.78-0.83). In contrast, when using the intraoperative monitoring data only, the logistic regression model had an AUROC of 0.72 (95% CI, 0.68-0.77), and the random forest model had an AUROC of 0.74 (95% CI, 0.73-0.76). The Brier score of the deep learning model based on the intraoperative monitoring data was 0.177, which was lower than that of other models.ConclusionsDeep learning based on intraoperative time-series monitoring data can predict post-hysterectomy quality of recovery. The use of intraoperative monitoring data for outcome prediction warrants further investigation.Trial registrationThis trial (Identifier: NCT03641625 ) was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov by the principal investigator, Lingzhong Meng, on August 22, 2018.
| S-EPMC8022389 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Deriving disease subtypes from electronic health records (EHRs) can guide next-generation personalized medicine. However, challenges in summarizing and representing patient data prevent widespread practice of scalable EHR-based stratification analysis. Here we present an unsupervised framework based on deep learning to process heterogeneous EHRs and derive patient representations that can efficiently and effectively enable patient stratification at scale. We considered EHRs of 1,608,741 patients from a diverse hospital cohort comprising a total of 57,464 clinical concepts. We introduce a representation learning model based on word embeddings, convolutional neural networks, and autoencoders (i.e., ConvAE) to transform patient trajectories into low-dimensional latent vectors. We evaluated these representations as broadly enabling patient stratification by applying hierarchical clustering to different multi-disease and disease-specific patient cohorts. ConvAE significantly outperformed several baselines in a clustering task to identify patients with different complex conditions, with 2.61 entropy and 0.31 purity average scores. When applied to stratify patients within a certain condition, ConvAE led to various clinically relevant subtypes for different disorders, including type 2 diabetes, Parkinson's disease, and Alzheimer's disease, largely related to comorbidities, disease progression, and symptom severity. With these results, we demonstrate that ConvAE can generate patient representations that lead to clinically meaningful insights. This scalable framework can help better understand varying etiologies in heterogeneous sub-populations and unlock patterns for EHR-based research in the realm of personalized medicine.
| S-EPMC7367859 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Medical data are often tricky to get mined for patterns even by the generally demonstrated successful modern methodologies of deep learning. This paper puts forward such a medical classification task, where patient registers of two of the categories are sometimes hard to be distinguished because of samples showing characteristics of both labels in turn in several repetitions of the screening procedure. To this end, the current research appoints a pre-processing clustering step (through self-organizing maps) to group the data based on shape similarity and relabel it accordingly. Subsequently, a deep learning approach (a tandem of convolutional and long short-term memory networks) performs the training classification phase on the 'cleaned' samples. The dual methodology was applied for the computational diagnosis of electrooculography tests within spino-cerebral ataxia of type 2. The accuracy obtained for the discrimination into three classes was of 78.24%. The improvement that this duo brings over the deep learner alone does not stem from significantly higher accuracy results when the performance is considered for all classes. The major finding of this combination is that half of the presymptomatic cases were correctly found, in opposition to the single deep model, where this category was sacrificed by the learner in favor of a good accuracy overall. A high accuracy in general is desirable for any medical task, however the correct identification of cases before the symptoms become evident is more important.
| S-EPMC7373280 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Image segmentation is the pixel-by-pixel detection of objects, which is the most challenging but informative in the fundamental tasks of machine learning including image classification and object detection. Pixel-by-pixel segmentation is required to apply machine learning to support fetal cardiac ultrasound screening; we have to detect cardiac substructures precisely which are small and change shapes dynamically with fetal heartbeats, such as the ventricular septum. This task is difficult for general segmentation methods such as DeepLab v3+, and U-net. Hence, here we proposed a novel segmentation method named Cropping-Segmentation-Calibration (CSC) that is specific to the ventricular septum in ultrasound videos in this study. CSC employs the time-series information of videos and specific section information to calibrate the output of U-net. The actual sections of the ventricular septum were annotated in 615 frames from 421 normal fetal cardiac ultrasound videos of 211 pregnant women who were screened. The dataset was assigned a ratio of 2:1, which corresponded to a ratio of the training to test data, and three-fold cross-validation was conducted. The segmentation results of DeepLab v3+, U-net, and CSC were evaluated using the values of the mean intersection over union (mIoU), which were 0.0224, 0.1519, and 0.5543, respectively. The results reveal the superior performance of CSC.
| S-EPMC7695246 | biostudies-literature