Combination of a 15-SNP Polygenic Risk Score and Classical Risk Factors for the Prediction of Breast Cancer Risk in Cypriot Women.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Yiangou K
PROVIDER: S-EPMC8468424 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:The popular statistics-based Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have provided deep insights into the field of complex disorder genetics. However, its clinical applicability to predict disease/trait outcomes remains unclear as statistical models are not designed to make predictions. This study employs statistics-free machine-learning (ML)-optimized polygenic risk score (PRS) to complement existing GWAS and bring the prediction of disease/trait outcomes closer to clinical application. Rheumatoid Arthritis (RA) was selected as a model disease to demonstrate the robustness of ML in disease prediction as RA is a prevalent chronic inflammatory joint disease with high mortality rates, affecting adults at the economic prime. Early identification of at-risk individuals may facilitate measures to mitigate the effects of the disease. This study employs a robust ML feature selection algorithm to identify single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) that can predict RA from a set of training data comprising RA patients and population control samples. Thereafter, selected SNPs were evaluated for their predictive performances across 3 independent, unseen test datasets. The selected SNPs were subsequently used to generate PRS which was also evaluated for its predictive capacity as a sole feature. Through robust ML feature selection, 9 SNPs were found to be the minimum number of features for excellent predictive performance (AUC > 0.9) in 3 independent, unseen test datasets. PRS based on these 9 SNPs was significantly associated with (P < 1 × 10-16) and predictive (AUC > 0.9) of RA in the 3 unseen datasets. A RA ML-PRS calculator of these 9 SNPs was developed ( https://xistance.shinyapps.io/prs-ra/ ) to facilitate individualized clinical applicability. The majority of the predictive SNPs are protective, reside in non-coding regions, and are either predicted to be potentially functional SNPs (pfSNPs) or in high linkage disequilibrium (r2 > 0.8) with un-interrogated pfSNPs. These findings highlight the promise of this ML strategy to identify useful genetic features that can robustly predict disease and amenable to translation for clinical application.
| S-EPMC9903430 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Polygenic risk score (PRS) is useful for capturing an individual's genetic susceptibility. However, previous studies have not fully exploited the potential of the risk factor PRS (RFPRS) for disease prediction. We explored the potential of integrating disease-related RFPRSs with disease PRS to enhance disease prediction performance. We constructed 112 RFPRSs and analyzed the association of RFPRSs with diseases to identify disease-related RFPRSs in 700 diseases, using the UK Biobank dataset. We uncovered 6157 statistically significant associations between 247 diseases and 109 RFPRSs. We estimated the disease PRSs of 70 diseases that exhibited statistically significant heritability, to generate RFDiseasemetaPRS-a combined PRS integrating RFPRSs and disease PRS-and compare the prediction performance metrics between RFDiseasemetaPRS and disease PRS. RFDiseasemetaPRS showed better performance for Nagelkerke's pseudo-R2, odds ratio (OR) per 1 SD, net reclassification improvement (NRI) values and difference of R2 considered by variance of R2 in 31 out of 70 diseases. Additionally, we assessed risk classification between two models by examining OR between the top 10% and remaining 90% individuals for the 31 diseases; RFDiseasemetaPRS exhibited better R2, NRI and OR than disease PRS. These findings highlight the importance of utilizing RFDiseasemetaPRS, which can provide personalized healthcare and tailored prevention strategies.
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Project description:Endometriosis is a major health care challenge because many young women with endometriosis go undetected for an extended period, which may lead to pain sensitization. Clinical tools to better identify candidates for laparoscopy-guided diagnosis are urgently needed. Since endometriosis has a strong genetic component, there is a growing interest in using genetics as part of the clinical risk assessment. The aim of this work was to investigate the discriminative ability of a polygenic risk score (PRS) for endometriosis using three different cohorts: surgically confirmed cases from the Western Danish endometriosis referral Center (249 cases, 348 controls), cases identified from the Danish Twin Registry (DTR) based on ICD-10 codes from the National Patient Registry (140 cases, 316 controls), and replication analysis in the UK Biobank (2,967 cases, 256,222 controls). Patients with adenomyosis from the DTR (25 cases) and from the UK Biobank (1,883 cases) were included for comparison. The PRS was derived from 14 genetic variants identified in a published genome-wide association study with more than 17,000 cases. The PRS was associated with endometriosis in surgically confirmed cases [odds ratio (OR) = 1.59, p = 2.57× 10-7] and in cases from the DTR biobank (OR = 1.50, p = 0.0001). Combining the two Danish cohorts, each standard deviation increase in PRS was associated with endometriosis (OR = 1.57, p = 2.5× 10-11), as well as the major subtypes of endometriosis; ovarian (OR = 1.72, p = 6.7× 10-5), infiltrating (OR = 1.66, p = 2.7× 10-9), and peritoneal (OR = 1.51, p = 2.6 × 10-3). These findings were replicated in the UK Biobank with a much larger sample size (OR = 1.28, p < 2.2× 10-16). The PRS was not associated with adenomyosis, suggesting that adenomyosis is not driven by the same genetic risk variants as endometriosis. Our results suggest that a PRS captures an increased risk of all types of endometriosis rather than an increased risk for endometriosis in specific locations. Although the discriminative accuracy is not yet sufficient as a stand-alone clinical utility, our data demonstrate that genetics risk variants in form of a simple PRS may add significant new discriminatory value. We suggest that an endometriosis PRS in combination with classical clinical risk factors and symptoms could be an important step in developing an urgently needed endometriosis risk stratification tool.
| S-EPMC9580817 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Hereditary factors have a strong influence on prostate cancer (PC) risk and poorer outcomes, thus stratification by genetic factors addresses a critical need for targeted PC screening and risk-adapted follow-up. In this Finnish population-based retrospective study 2283 clinically diagnosed and 455 screen-detected patients from the Finnish Randomised Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (FinRSPC), 2400 healthy individuals have been involved. Individual genetic risk through establishment of a polygenic risk score based on 55 PC risk SNPs identified through the Finnish subset of the Collaborative Oncological Gene-Environment Study was assessed. Men with PC had significantly higher median polygenic risk score compared to the controls (6.59 vs. 3.83, P < 0.0001). The polygenic risk score above the control median was a significant predictor of PC (OR 2.13, 95% CI 1.90-2.39). The polygenic risk score predicted the risk of PC with an AUC of 0.618 (95% CI 0.60-0.63). Men in the highest polygenic risk score quartile were 2.8-fold (95% CI 2.4-3.30) more likely to develop PC compared with men in the lowest quartile. In the FinRSPC cohort, a significantly higher percentage of men had a PSA level of ≥ 4 ng/mL in polygenic risk score quartile four compared to quartile one (18.7% vs 8.3%, P < 0.00001). Adding the PRS to a PSA-only model contributed additional information in predicting PC in the FinRSPC model. Results strongly suggest that use of the polygenic risk score would facilitate the identification of men at increased risk for PC.
| S-EPMC7553910 | biostudies-literature
Project description: Not available
| S-EPMC9989952 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Polygenic risk scores (PRS) have been shown to predict breast cancer risk in European women, but their utility in Asian women is unclear. Here we evaluate the best performing PRSs for European-ancestry women using data from 17,262 breast cancer cases and 17,695 controls of Asian ancestry from 13 case-control studies, and 10,255 Chinese women from a prospective cohort (413 incident breast cancers). Compared to women in the middle quintile of the risk distribution, women in the highest 1% of PRS distribution have a ~2.7-fold risk and women in the lowest 1% of PRS distribution has ~0.4-fold risk of developing breast cancer. There is no evidence of heterogeneity in PRS performance in Chinese, Malay and Indian women. A PRS developed for European-ancestry women is also predictive of breast cancer risk in Asian women and can help in developing risk-stratified screening programmes in Asia.
| S-EPMC7395776 | biostudies-literature
Project description:We evaluated the joint associations between a new 313-variant PRS (PRS313) and questionnaire-based breast cancer risk factors for women of European ancestry, using 72 284 cases and 80 354 controls from the Breast Cancer Association Consortium. Interactions were evaluated using standard logistic regression and a newly developed case-only method for breast cancer risk overall and by estrogen receptor status. After accounting for multiple testing, we did not find evidence that per-standard deviation PRS313 odds ratio differed across strata defined by individual risk factors. Goodness-of-fit tests did not reject the assumption of a multiplicative model between PRS313 and each risk factor. Variation in projected absolute lifetime risk of breast cancer associated with classical risk factors was greater for women with higher genetic risk (PRS313 and family history) and, on average, 17.5% higher in the highest vs lowest deciles of genetic risk. These findings have implications for risk prevention for women at increased risk of breast cancer.
| S-EPMC7936056 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Genetic variations are associated with individual susceptibility to gastric cancer. Recently, polygenic risk score (PRS) models have been established based on genetic variants to predict the risk of gastric cancer. To assess the accuracy of current PRS models in the risk prediction, a systematic review was conducted. A total of eight eligible studies consisted of 544842 participants were included for evaluation of the performance of PRS models. The overall accuracy was moderate with Area under the curve values ranging from 0.5600 to 0.7823. Incorporation of epidemiological factors or Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) status increased the accuracy for risk prediction, while selection of single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) and number of SNPs appeared to have little impact on the model performance. To further improve the accuracy of PRS models for risk prediction of gastric cancer, we summarized the association between gastric cancer risk and H. pylori genomic variations, cancer associated bacteria members in the gastric microbiome, discussed the potentials for performance improvement of PRS models with these microbial factors. Future studies on comprehensive PRS models established with human SNPs, epidemiological factors and microbial factors are indicated.
| S-EPMC9994049 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Cataracts, characterized by crystalline lens opacities in human eyes, is the leading cause of blindness globally. Due to its multifactorial complexity, the molecular mechanisms remain poorly understood. Larger cohorts of genome-wide association studies (GWAS) are needed to investigate cataracts' genetic basis. In this study, a GWAS was performed on the largest Han population to date, analyzing a total of 7079 patients and 13,256 controls from the Taiwan Biobank (TWB) 2.0 cohort. Two cataract-associated SNPs with an adjustment of p < 1 × 10-7 in the older groups and nine SNPs with an adjustment of p < 1 × 10-6 in the younger group were identified. Except for the reported AGMO in animal models, most variations, including rs74774546 in GJA1 and rs237885 in OXTR, were not identified before this study. Furthermore, a polygenic risk score (PRS) was created for the young and old populations to identify high-risk cataract individuals, with areas under the receiver operating curve (AUROCs) of 0.829 and 0.785, respectively, after covariate adjustments. Younger individuals had 17.45 times the risk while older people had 10.97 times the risk when comparing individuals in the highest and lowest PRS quantiles. Validation analysis on an independent TWB1.0 cohort revealed AUROCs of 0.744 and 0.659.
| S-EPMC9406175 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Melanoma is one of the most commonly diagnosed cancers in the Western world: third in Australia, fifth in the USA and sixth in the European Union. Predicting an individual's personal risk of developing melanoma may aid them in undertaking effective risk reduction measures. The objective of this study was to use the UK Biobank to predict the 10-year risk of melanoma using a newly developed polygenic risk score (PRS) and an existing clinical risk model. We developed the PRS using a matched case-control training dataset ( N = 16 434) in which age and sex were controlled by design. The combined risk score was developed using a cohort development dataset ( N = 54 799) and its performance was tested using a cohort testing dataset ( N = 54 798). Our PRS comprises 68 single-nucleotide polymorphisms and had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.639 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.618-0.661]. In the cohort testing data, the hazard ratio per SD of the combined risk score was 1.332 (95% CI = 1.263-1.406). Harrell's C-index was 0.685 (95% CI = 0.654-0.715). Overall, the standardized incidence ratio was 1.193 (95% CI = 1.067-1.335). By combining a PRS and a clinical risk score, we have developed a risk prediction model that performs well in terms of discrimination and calibration. At an individual level, information on the 10-year risk of melanoma can motivate people to take risk-reduction action. At the population level, risk stratification can allow more effective population-level screening strategies to be implemented.
| S-EPMC10309112 | biostudies-literature