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Development and Validation of a Ferroptosis-Related Gene Signature and Nomogram for Predicting the Prognosis of Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

ABSTRACT: Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is a common malignant tumor with high mortality and poor prognosis. Ferroptosis is a newly discovered form of cell death induced by iron-catalyzed excessive peroxidation of polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFAs). However, the prognostic value of ferroptosis-related genes (FRGs) for ESCC remains unclear. Based on the ESCC dataset from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database, we identified 39 prognostic FRGs through univariate Cox regression analysis. After LASSO regression and multivariate Cox regression analyses, a multigene signature based on 10 prognostic FRGs was constructed and successfully divided ESCC patients into two risk groups. Patients in the low-risk group showed a significantly better prognosis than patients in the high-risk group. In addition, we combined the risk score with clinical predictors to construct a nomogram for ESCC. The predictive ability of the nomogram was further verified by ROC curves and calibration plots in both the training and validation sets. The predictive power of the nomogram was demonstrated to be better than that of either the risk score or clinical variable alone. Furthermore, functional analysis revealed that the 10-FRG signature was mainly associated with ferroptosis, differentiation and immune response. Connectivity map analysis identified potential compounds capable of targeting FRGs in ESCC. Finally, we demonstrated the prognostic value of SRC gene in ESCC using the clinical samples and found that SRC inhibition sensitized ESCC cells to ferroptosis inducers by in vitro experiments. In conclusion, we identified and verified a 10-FRG prognostic signature and a nomogram, which provide individualized prognosis prediction and provide insight into potential therapeutic targets for ESCC.

SUBMITTER: Ye J

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8576261 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is the most prevalent form of esophageal cancer in China and is closely associated with malignant biological characteristics and poor survival. Ferroptosis is a newly discovered iron-dependent mode of cell death that plays an important role in the biological behavior of ESCC cells. The clinical significance of ferroptosis-related long noncoding RNAs (FRLs) in ESCC remains unknown and warrants further research. The current study obtained RNA sequencing profiles and corresponding clinical data from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) databases, and FRLs were obtained through coexpression analysis. Consensus clustering was employed to divide the subjects into clusters, and immune-associated pathways were identified by functional analysis. The current study observed significant differences in the enrichment scores of immune cells among different clusters. Patients from TCGA-ESCC database were designated as the training cohort. A ten-FRL prediction signature was established using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression model and validated using the GEO cohort and our own independent validation database. Real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction was used to verify the expression of the ten FRLs, and the ssGSEA analysis was employed to evaluate their function. In addition, the IMvigor database was used to assess the predictive value of the signature in terms of immunotherapeutic responses. Multivariate Cox and stratification analyses revealed that the ten-FRL signature was an independent predictor of the overall survival (OS). Patients with ESCC in the high-risk group displayed worse survival, a characteristic tumor immune microenvironment, and low immunotherapeutic benefits compared to those in the low-risk group. Collectively, the risk model established in this study could serve as a promising predictor of prognosis and immunotherapeutic response in patients with ESCC.

Project description:BackgroundAutophagy, a highly conserved self-digesting process, has been deeply involved in the development and progression of oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC). However, the prognostic value of autophagy-related genes (ARGs) for OSCC still remains unclear. Our study set out to develop a multigene expression signature based on ARGs for individualized prognosis assessment in OSCC patients.MethodsBased on The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database, we identified prognosis-related ARGs through univariate COX regression analysis. Then we performed the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis to identify an optimal autophagy-related multigene signature with the subsequent validation in testing set, GSE41613 and GSE42743 datasets.ResultsWe identified 36 prognosis-related ARGs for OSCC. Subsequently, the multigene signature based on 13 prognostic ARGs was constructed and successfully divided OSCC patients into low and high-risk groups with significantly different overall survival in TCGA training set (p < 0.0001). The autophagy signature remained as an independent prognostic factor for OSCC in univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. The area under the curve (AUC) values of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for 1, 3, and 5-year survival were 0.758, 0.810, 0.798, respectively. Then the gene signature was validated in TCGA testing set, GSE41613 and GSE42743 datasets. Moreover, Gene Ontology (GO), Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) analysis, and single-sample gene set enrichment analysis (ssGSEA) revealed the underlying biological characteristics and signaling pathways associated with this signature in OSCC. Finally, we constructed a nomogram by combining the gene signature with multiple clinical parameters (age, gender, TNM-stage, tobacco, and alcohol history). The concordance index (C-index) and calibration plots demonstrated favorable predictive performance of our nomogram.ConclusionIn summary, we identified and verified a 13-ARGs prognostic signature and nomogram, which provide individualized prognosis evaluation and show insight for potential therapeutic targets for OSCC.

Project description:BackgroundThe prognosis of oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) patients is difficult to predict or describe due to its high-level heterogeneity and complex aetiologic factors. Ferroptosis is a novel form of iron-dependent cell death that is closely related to tumour growth and progression. This study aims to clarify the predictive value of ferroptosis-related genes (FRGs) on the overall survival(OS) of OSCC patients.MethodsThe mRNA expression profile of FRGs and clinical information of patients with OSCC were collected from the TCGA database. Candidate differentially expressed ferroptosis-related genes (DE-FRGs) were identified by analysing differences between OSCC and adjacent normal tissues. A gene signature of prognosis-related DE-FRGs was established by univariate Cox analysis and LASSO analysis in the training set. Patients were then divided into high- and low-risk groups according to the cut-off value of risk scores, A nomogram was constructed to quantify the contributions of gene signature and clinical parameters to OS. Then several bioinformatics analyses were used to verify the reliability and accuracy of the model in the validation set. Finally, single-sample gene set enrichment analysis (ssGSEA) was also performed to reveal the underlying differences in immune status between different risk groups.ResultsA prognostic model was constructed based on 10 ferroptosis-related genes. Patients in high-risk group had a significantly worse OS (p < 0.001). The gene signature was verified as an independent predictor for the OS of OSCC patients (HR > 1, p < 0.001). The receiver operating characteristic curve displayed the favour predictive performance of the risk model. The prediction nomogram successfully quantified each indicator's contribution to survival and the concordance index and calibration plots showed its superior predictive capacity. Finally, ssGSEA preliminarily indicated that the poor prognosis in the high-risk group might result from the dysregulation of immune status.ConclusionThis study established a 10-ferroptosis-releated gene signature and nomogram that can be used to predict the prognosis of OSCC patients, which provides new insight for future anticancer therapies based on potential FRG targets.

Project description:The lymphovascular invasion (LVI) status facilitates the determination of the optimal therapeutic strategy for superficial esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (SESCC), but in clinical practice, LVI must be confirmed by postoperative pathology. However, studies of the risk factors for LVI in SESCC are limited. Consequently, this study aimed to identify the risk factors for LVI and use these factors to establish a prediction model. The data of 516 patients who underwent radical esophagectomy between January 2007 and September 2019 were retrospectively collected (training set, n=361, January 2007 to May 2015; validation set, n=155, June 2015 to September 2019). In the training set, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and multivariate analyses were utilized to identify predictive factors for LVI in patients with SESCC. A nomogram was then developed using these predictors. The area under the curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve were used to evaluate the efficiency, accuracy, and clinical utility of the model. LASSO regression indicated that the tumor size, depth of invasion, tumor differentiation, lymph node metastasis (LNM), sex, circumferential extension, the presence of multiple lesions, and the resection margin were correlated with LVI. However, multivariate analysis revealed that only the tumor size, depth of invasion, tumor differentiation, and LNM were independent risk factors for LVI. Incorporating these four variables, model 1 achieved an AUC of 0.817 in predicting LVI. Adding circumferential extension to model 1 did not appreciably change the AUC and integrated discrimination improvement, but led to a significant increase in the net reclassification improvement (p=0.011). A final nomogram was constructed by incorporating tumor size, depth of invasion, tumor differentiation, LNM, and circumferential extension and showed good discrimination (training set, AUC=0.833; validation set, AUC=0.819) and good calibration in the training and validation sets. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the nomogram was clinically useful in both sets. Thus, it is possible to predict the status of LVI using this nomogram scoring system, which can aid the selection of an appropriate treatment plan.

Project description:BackgroundLung squamous cell carcinoma (LUSC) represents 30% of all non-small cell lung carcinoma. Targeted therapy is not sufficient for LUSC patients because of the low frequency of targeted-effective mutation in LUSC whereas immunotherapy offers more options for patients with LUSC. We explored a ferroptosis-related prognostic signature that can potentially assess the prognosis and immunotherapy efficacy of LUSC patients.MethodsA total of 502 LUSC patients were downloaded from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). The external validation data were obtained from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO): GSE73403. Then, we identified the candidate genes and constructed the prognostic signature through the Cox survival regression analyses and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). Risk score plot, Kaplan-Meier curve, and ROC curve were used to assess the prognostic power and performance of the model. The CIBERSORT algorithm estimated the fraction of immune cell types. TIDE was utilized to predict the response to immunotherapy. IMvigor210 was used to explore the association between the risk scores and immunotherapy outcomes. A nomogram combined selected clinical characteristics, and the risk scores were constructed.ResultsWe screened 132 differentially expressed ferroptosis-related genes. According to KEGG and GO pathway analyses, these genes were mainly engaged in the positive regulation of cytokine production, cytokine metabolic process, and oxidoreductase activity. We then constructed a prognostic model via LASSO regression. The proportions of CD8+ T cells, CD4+ activated T cells, and follicular helper T cells were significantly different between low-risk and high-risk groups. TIDE algorithm indicated that low-risk LUSC patients might profit more from immune checkpoint inhibitors. The predictive value of the ferroptosis gene model in immunotherapy response was further confirmed in IMvigor210. Finally, we combined the clinical characteristics with a LASSO regression model to construct a nomogram that could be easily applied in clinical practice.ConclusionWe identified a prognostic model that provides an accurate and objective basis for guiding individualized treatment decisions for LUSC.

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Development and Validation of a Ferroptosis-Related Gene Signature and Nomogram for Predicting the Prognosis of Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

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