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Personalized Atrophy Risk Mapping in Age-Related Macular Degeneration.

ABSTRACT: To develop and validate an automatic retinal pigment epithelial and outer retinal atrophy (RORA) progression prediction model for nonexudative age-related macular degeneration (AMD) cases in optical coherence tomography (OCT) scans. Longitudinal OCT data from 129 eyes/119 patients with RORA was collected and separated into training and testing groups. RORA was automatically segmented in all scans and additionally manually annotated in the test scans. OCT-based features such as layers thicknesses, mean reflectivity, and a drusen height map served as an input to the deep neural network. Based on the baseline OCT scan or the previous visit OCT, en face RORA predictions were calculated for future patient visits. The performance was quantified over time with the means of Dice scores and square root area errors. The average Dice score for segmentations at baseline was 0.85. When predicting progression from baseline OCTs, the Dice scores ranged from 0.73 to 0.80 for total RORA area and from 0.46 to 0.72 for RORA growth region. The square root area error ranged from 0.13 mm to 0.33 mm. By providing continuous time output, the model enabled creation of a patient-specific atrophy risk map. We developed a machine learning method for RORA progression prediction, which provides continuous-time output. It was used to compute atrophy risk maps, which indicate time-to-RORA-conversion, a novel and clinically relevant way of representing disease progression. Application of recent advances in artificial intelligence to predict patient-specific progression of atrophic AMD.

SUBMITTER: Gigon A

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8590159 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:PurposeTo describe risk factors for geographic atrophy (GA) in the Comparison of Age-related Macular Degeneration Treatments Trials (CATT).DesignCohort within a randomized clinical trial.ParticipantsWe analyzed 1024 CATT patients with no GA visible on color fundus photographs (CFPs) and/or fluorescein angiograms (FAs) at enrollment.MethodsEyes were assigned to ranibizumab (0.5 mg) or bevacizumab (1.25 mg) treatment and to a 2-year monthly or pro re nata (PRN) injection regimen, or monthly injections for 1 year and PRN for 1 year. Demographic, genetic, and baseline ocular characteristics and lesion features of CFP/FA and optical coherence tomography (OCT) were evaluated as risk factors for GA through 2 years of follow-up. Time-dependent Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs).Main outcome measuresDevelopment of GA.ResultsBy 2 years, GA developed in 187 of 1024 patients (18.3%). Baseline risk factors for GA development included baseline visual acuity (VA) ≤20/200 (aHR, 2.65; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.43-4.93), retinal angiomatous proliferation (RAP; aHR, 1.69; 95% CI, 1.16-2.47), GA in the fellow eye (aHR, 2.07; 95% CI, 1.40-3.08), and intraretinal fluid at the foveal center (aHR, 2.10; 95% CI, 1.34-3.31). Baseline factors associated with lower risk for GA development included blocked fluorescence (aHR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.29-0.82), OCT measurements of subretinal fluid thickness of >25 μ (aHR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.35-0.78), subretinal tissue complex thickness of >275 compared with ≤75 μ (aHR, 0.31; 95% CI, 0.19-0.50), and vitreomacular attachment (aHR, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.31-0.97). Ranibizumab compared with bevacizumab had a higher risk (aHR, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.06-1.93), and monthly dosing had a higher risk (aHR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.17-2.16) than PRN dosing. There were no strong associations between development of GA and the presence of risk alleles for CFH, ARMS 2, HTRA1, C3, or TLR3.ConclusionsApproximately one fifth of CATT patients developed GA within 2 years of treatment. Independent baseline risk factors included poor VA, RAP, foveal intraretinal fluid, monthly dosing, and treatment with ranibizumab. Anti-vascular endothelial growth factor therapy may have a role in the development of GA.

Project description:ImportanceSensitive outcome measures for disease progression are needed for treatment trials in geographic atrophy (GA) secondary to age-related macular degeneration (AMD).ObjectiveTo quantify photoreceptor degeneration outside regions of GA in eyes with nonexudative AMD, to evaluate its association with future GA progression, and to characterize its spatio-temporal progression.Design, setting, and participantsMonocenter cohort study (Directional Spread in Geographic Atrophy [NCT02051998]) and analysis of data from a normative data study at a tertiary referral center. One hundred fifty-eight eyes of 89 patients with a mean (SD) age of 77.7 (7.1) years, median area of GA of 8.87 mm2 (IQR, 4.09-15.60), and median follow-up of 1.1 years (IQR, 0.52-1.7 years), as well as 93 normal eyes from 93 participants.ExposuresLongitudinal spectral-domain optical coherence tomography (SD-OCT) volume scans (121 B-scans across 30° × 25°) were segmented with a deep-learning pipeline and standardized in a pointwise manner with age-adjusted normal data (z scores). Outer nuclear layer (ONL), photoreceptor inner segment (IS), and outer segment (OS) thickness were quantified along evenly spaced contour lines surrounding GA lesions. Linear mixed models were applied to assess the association between photoreceptor-related imaging features and GA progression rates and characterize the pattern of photoreceptor degeneration over time.Main outcomes and measuresAssociation of ONL thinning with follow-up time (after adjusting for age, retinal topography [z score], and distance to the GA boundary).ResultsThe study included 158 eyes of 89 patients (51 women and 38 men) with a mean (SD) age of 77.7 (7.1) years. The fully automated B-scan segmentation was accurate (dice coefficient, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.80-0.85; compared with manual markings) and revealed a marked interpatient variability in photoreceptor degeneration. The ellipsoid zone (EZ) loss-to-GA boundary distance and OS thickness were prognostic for future progression rates. Outer nuclear layer and IS thinning over time was significant even when adjusting for age and proximity to the GA boundary (estimates of -0.16 μm/y; 95% CI, -0.30 to -0.02; and -0.17 μm/y; 95% CI, -0.26 to -0.09).Conclusions and relevanceDistinct and progressive alterations of photoreceptor laminae (exceeding GA spatially) were detectable and quantifiable. The degree of photoreceptor degeneration outside of regions of retinal pigment epithelium atrophy varied markedly between eyes and was associated with future GA progression. Macula-wide photoreceptor laminae thinning represents a potential candidate end point to monitor treatment effects beyond mere GA lesion size progression.

Project description:PurposeTo report the natural history of untreated neovascular age-related macular degeneration (nAMD) regarding subsequent macular atrophy.DesignProspective cohort within a randomized, controlled trial of oral micronutrient supplements.ParticipantsAge-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) participants (55-80 years) who demonstrated nAMD during follow-up (1992-2005), prior to anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) therapy.MethodsColor fundus photographs were collected at annual study visits and graded centrally for late age-related macular degeneration (AMD). Incident macular atrophy after nAMD was examined by Kaplan-Meier analysis and proportional hazards regression.Main outcome measuresIncident macular atrophy after nAMD.ResultsOf the 4757 AREDS participants, 708 eyes (627 participants) demonstrated nAMD during follow-up and were eligible. The cumulative risks of incident macular atrophy after untreated nAMD were 9.6% (standard error, 1.2%), 31.4% (standard error, 2.2%), 43.1% (standard error, 2.6%), and 61.5% (standard error, 4.3%) at 2, 5, 7, and 10 years, respectively. This corresponded to a linear risk of 6.5% per year. The cumulative risk of central involvement was 30.4% (standard error, 3.2%), 43.4% (standard error, 3.8%), and 57.0% (standard error, 4.8%) at first appearance of atrophy, 2 years, and 5 years, respectively. Geographic atrophy (GA) in the fellow eye was associated with increased risk of macular atrophy (hazard ratio [HR], 1.70; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.17-2.49; P = 0.006). However, higher 52-single nucleotide polymorphism AMD genetic risk score was not associated with increased risk of macular atrophy (HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.90-1.17; P = 0.67). Similarly, no significant differences were observed according to SNPs at CFH, ARMS2, or C3.ConclusionsThe rate of incident macular atrophy after untreated nAMD is relatively high, increasing linearly over time and affecting half of eyes by 8 years. Hence, factors other than anti-VEGF therapy are involved in atrophy development, including natural progression to GA. Comparison with studies of treated nAMD suggests it may not be necessary to invoke a large effect of anti-VEGF therapy on inciting macular atrophy, although a contribution remains possible. Central involvement is present in one third of eyes at the outset (similar to pure GA) and increases linearly to half at 3 years.

Project description:PurposeWe sought to determine whether genotype is associated with rate of growth of geographic atrophy (GA) in eyes with age-related macular degeneration (AMD).DesignProspective analysis of participants in a randomized controlled clinical trial.ParticipantsWe included 114 eyes of 114 participants in the Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS).MethodsFundus photographs from AREDS participants with GA from whom a DNA specimen had been obtained and serial photographs had been taken over a minimum of 2 years were evaluated for progression as determined by change in cumulative area of GA. All fundus photographs were scanned, digitized, and centrally graded longitudinally for area of GA. The relationship of GA progression with previously identified genetic variants associated with AMD was assessed.Main outcome measuresGenotype frequencies and change in cumulative area of GA.ResultsThe mean growth rate of GA for the 114 eyes was 1.79 mm(2)/year (range, 0.17-4.76). No association between growth rate and genotype was present for variants in the CFH, C2, C3, APOE, and TLR3 genes. For the single nucleotide polymorphism rs10490924 in LOC387715/ARMS2, there was a significant association of GA growth rate, both adjusted and unadjusted for initial lesion size, with the homozygous risk genotype as compared with the homozygous nonrisk genotype (unadjusted P = 0.002; Bonferroni-corrected P = 0.014) and for allelic association (Bonferroni-corrected P value = 0.011). Analyses of other measures of GA progression (progression to central GA from extrafoveal GA and development of bilateral GA in those initially with unilateral GA) showed no statistically significant association between progression and the LOC387715/ARMS2/HTRA1 genotype.ConclusionsGrowth rates of GA calculated from digitized serial fundus photographs showed no association with variants in the CFH, C2, C3, APOE, or TLR3 genes. There was a nominally significant association with the LOC387715/ARMS2/HTRA1 genotype, although this finding was not supported by analyses of secondary measures of GA progression. Replication in other populations is needed to establish the existence of an association.

Project description:PURPOSE:In an eye with geographic atrophy (GA) secondary to age-related macular degeneration, we correlated ex vivo histologic features with findings recorded in vivo using optical coherence tomography (OCT), near-infrared reflectance imaging, and fundus autofluorescence. METHODS:In the left eye of an 86-year-old white woman, in vivo near-infrared reflectance and eye-tracked OCT B-scans at each of 6 clinic visits and a baseline fundus autofluorescence image were correlated with high-resolution histologic images of the preserved donor eye. RESULTS:Clinical imaging showed a small parafoveal multilobular area of GA, subfoveal soft drusen, refractile drusen, hyperreflective lines near the Bruch membrane, subretinal drusenoid deposit (reticular pseudodrusen), and absence of hyperautofluorescent foci at the GA margin. By histology, soft drusen end-stages included avascular fibrosis with highly reflective cholesterol crystals. These accounted for hyperreflective lines near the Bruch membrane in OCT and plaques in near-infrared reflectance imaging. Subretinal drusenoid deposit was thick, continuous, extracellular, extensive outside the fovea, and associated with distinctive retinal pigment epithelium dysmorphia and photoreceptor degeneration. A hyporeflective wedge corresponded to ordered Henle fibers without cellular infiltration. The external limiting membrane descent, which delimits GA, was best visualized in high-quality OCT B-scans. Retinal pigment epithelium and photoreceptor changes at the external limiting membrane descent were consistent with our recent histologic survey of donor eyes. CONCLUSION:This case informs on the extent, topography, and lifecycle of extracellular deposits. High-quality OCT scans are required to reveal all tissue features relevant to age-related macular degeneration progression to GA, especially the external limiting membrane descent. Histologically validated signatures of structural OCT B-scans can serve as references for other imaging modalities.

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Personalized Atrophy Risk Mapping in Age-Related Macular Degeneration.

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