Dataset Information

Community versus individual risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection in two municipalities of Louisiana, USA: An assessment of Area Deprivation Index (ADI) paired with seroprevalence data over time.

ABSTRACT:

Objective

Determine whether an individual is at greater risk of severe acute respiratory distress syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection because of their community or their individual risk factors.

Study design and setting

4,752 records from two large prevalence studies in New Orleans and Baton Rouge, Louisiana were used to assess whether zip code tabulation areas (ZCTA)-level area deprivation index (ADI) or individual factors accounted for risk of infection. Logistic regression models assessed associations of individual-level demographic and socioeconomic factors and the zip code-level ADI with SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Results

In the unadjusted model, there were increased odds of infection among participants residing in high versus low ADI (both cities) and high versus mid-level ADI (Baton Rouge only) zip codes. When individual-level covariates were included, the odds of infection remained higher only among Baton Rouge participants who resided in high versus mid-level ADI ZCTAs. Several individual factors contributed to infection risk. After adjustment for ADI, race and age (Baton Rouge) and race, marital status, household size, and comorbidities (New Orleans) were significant.

Conclusions

While higher ADI was associated with higher risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection, individual-level participant characteristics accounted for a significant proportion of this association. Additionally, stage of the pandemic may affect individual risk factors for infection.

SUBMITTER: Feehan AK

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8631658 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:The COVID-19 pandemic and its associated mitigation strategies have significant psychosocial, behavioral, socioeconomic, and health impacts, particularly in vulnerable US populations. Different factors have been identified as influencers of the transmission rate; however, the effects of area deprivation index (as a measure of social determinants of health, SDoH) as a factor on COVID-19 disease early dynamics have not been established. We determined the effects of area deprivation index (ADI) and demographic factors on COVID-19 outcomes in Washington, D.C. This retrospective study used publicly available data on COVID-19 cases and mortality of Washington, D.C., during March 31st-July 4th, 2020. The main predictors included area deprivation index (ADI), age, and race/ethnicity. The ADI of each census block groups in D.C. (n=433) were obtained from Neighborhood Atlas map. Using a machine learning-based algorithm, the outcome variables were partitioned into time intervals: time duration (Pi, days), rate of change coefficient (Ei), and time segment load (Pi×Ei) for transmission rate and mortality. Correlation analysis and multiple linear regression models were used to determine associations between predictors and outcome variables. COVID-19 early transmission rate (E1) was highly correlated with ADI (SDoH; r= 0.88, p=0.0044) of the Washington, D.C. community. We also found positive association between ADI, age (0-17 years, r=0.91, p=0.0019), and race (African American/Black, r=0.86; p=0.0068) and COVID-19 outcomes. There was high variability in early transmission across the geographic regions (i.e., wards) of Washington, D.C., and this variability was driven by race/ethnic composition and ADI. Understanding the association of COVID-19 disease early transmission and mortality dynamics and key socio-demographic risk factors such as age, race, and ADI, as a measure of social determinants, will contribute to health equity/equality and distribution of economic resources/assistance and is essential for future predictive modeling of the COVID-19 pandemic to limit morbidity and mortality.

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