Simultaneous estimation of bi-directional causal effects and heritable confounding from GWAS summary statistics.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Darrous L
PROVIDER: S-EPMC8671515 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:To infer a causal relationship between two traits, several correlation-based causal direction (CD) methods have been proposed with the use of SNPs as instrumental variables (IVs) based on GWAS summary data for the two traits; however, none of the existing CD methods can deal with SNPs with correlated pleiotropy. Alternatively, reciprocal Mendelian randomization (MR) can be applied, which however may perform poorly in the presence of (unknown) invalid IVs, especially for bi-directional causal relationships. In this paper, first, we propose a CD method that performs better than existing CD methods regardless of the presence of correlated pleiotropy. Second, along with a simple but yet effective IV screening rule, we propose applying a closely related and state-of-the-art MR method in reciprocal MR, showing its almost identical performance to that of the new CD method when their model assumptions hold; however, if the modeling assumptions are violated, the new CD method is expected to better control type I errors. Notably bi-directional causal relationships impose some unique challenges beyond those for uni-directional ones, and thus requiring special treatments. For example, we point out for the first time several scenarios where a bi-directional relationship, but not a uni-directional one, can unexpectedly cause the violation of some weak modeling assumptions commonly required by many robust MR methods. We also offer some numerical support and a modeling justification for the application of our new methods (and more generally MR) to binary traits. Finally we applied the proposed methods to 12 risk factors and 4 common diseases, confirming mostly well-known uni-directional causal relationships, while identifying some novel and plausible bi-directional ones such as between body mass index and type 2 diabetes (T2D), and between diastolic blood pressure and stroke.
| S-EPMC9135345 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) remain the main cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. The pathological mechanism and underlying biological processes of these diseases with metabolites remain unclear. In this study, we conducted a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis to evaluate the causal effect of metabolites on these diseases by making full use of the latest GWAS summary statistics for 486 metabolites and six major CVDs. Extensive sensitivity analyses were implemented to validate our MR results. We also conducted linkage disequilibrium score regression (LDSC) and colocalization analysis to investigate whether MR findings were driven by genetic similarity or hybridization between LD and disease-associated gene loci. We identified a total of 310 suggestive associations across all metabolites and CVDs, and finally obtained four significant associations, including bradykinin, des-arg(9) (odds ratio [OR] = 1.160, 95% confidence intervals [CIs]: 1.080-1.246, false discovery rate [FDR] = 0.022) on ischemic stroke, N-acetylglycine (OR = 0.946, 95%CIs: 0.920-0.973, FDR = 0.023), X-09026 (OR = 0.845, 95%CIs: 0.779-0.916, FDR = 0.021) and X-14473 (OR = 0.938, 95%CIs = 0.907-0.971, FDR = 0.040) on hypertension. Sensitivity analyses showed that these causal associations were robust, the LDSC and colocalization analyses demonstrated that the identified associations were unlikely confused by LD. Moreover, we identified 15 important metabolic pathways might be involved in the pathogenesis of CVDs. Overall, our work identifies several metabolites that have a causal relationship with CVDs, and improves our understanding of the pathogenesis and treatment strategies for these diseases.
| S-EPMC8554206 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Background: Neurodegenerative diseases (NDDs) are the leading cause of disability worldwide while their metabolic pathogenesis is unclear. Genome-wide association studies (GWASs) offer an unprecedented opportunity to untangle the relationship between metabolites and NDDs. Methods: By leveraging two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) approaches and relying on GWASs summary statistics, we here explore the causal association between 486 metabolites and five NDDs including Alzheimer's Disease (AD), amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), frontotemporal dementia (FTD), Parkinson's disease (PD), and multiple sclerosis (MS). We validated our MR results with extensive sensitive analyses including MR-PRESSO and MR-Egger regression. We also performed linkage disequilibrium score regression (LDSC) and colocalization analyses to distinguish causal metabolite-NDD associations from genetic correlation and LD confounding of shared causal genetic variants. Finally, a metabolic pathway analysis was further conducted to identify potential metabolite pathways. Results: We detected 164 metabolites which were suggestively associated with the risk of NDDs. Particularly, 2-methoxyacetaminophen sulfate substantially affected ALS (OR = 0.971, 95%CIs: 0.961 ∼ 0.982, FDR = 1.04E-4) and FTD (OR = 0.924, 95%CIs: 0.885 ∼ 0.964, FDR = 0.048), and X-11529 (OR = 1.604, 95%CIs: 1.250 ∼ 2.059, FDR = 0.048) and X-13429 (OR = 2.284, 95%CIs: 1.457 ∼ 3.581, FDR = 0.048) significantly impacted FTD. These associations were further confirmed by the weighted median and maximum likelihood methods, with MR-PRESSO and the MR-Egger regression removing the possibility of pleiotropy. We also observed that ALS or FTD can alter the metabolite levels, including ALS and FTD on 2-methoxyacetaminophen sulfate. The LDSC and colocalization analyses showed that none of the identified associations could be driven by genetic correlation or confounding by LD with common causal loci. Multiple metabolic pathways were found to be involved in NDDs, such as "urea cycle" (P = 0.036), "arginine biosynthesis" (P = 0.004) on AD and "phenylalanine, tyrosine and tryptophan biosynthesis" (P = 0.046) on ALS. Conclusion: our study reveals robust bidirectional causal associations between servaral metabolites and neurodegenerative diseases, and provides a novel insight into metabolic mechanism for pathogenesis and therapeutic strategies of these diseases.
| S-EPMC8695771 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Identifying phenotypic correlations between complex traits and diseases can provide useful etiological insights. Restricted access to much individual-level phenotype data makes it difficult to estimate large-scale phenotypic correlation across the human phenome. Two state-of-the-art methods, metaCCA and LD score regression, provide an alternative approach to estimate phenotypic correlation using only genome-wide association study (GWAS) summary results. Here, we present an integrated R toolkit, PhenoSpD, to use LD score regression to estimate phenotypic correlations using GWAS summary statistics and to utilize the estimated phenotypic correlations to inform correction of multiple testing for complex human traits using the spectral decomposition of matrices (SpD). The simulations suggest that it is possible to identify nonindependence of phenotypes using samples with partial overlap; as overlap decreases, the estimated phenotypic correlations will attenuate toward zero and multiple testing correction will be more stringent than in perfectly overlapping samples. Also, in contrast to LD score regression, metaCCA will provide approximate genetic correlations rather than phenotypic correlation, which limits its application for multiple testing correction. In a case study, PhenoSpD using UK Biobank GWAS results suggested 399.6 independent tests among 487 human traits, which is close to the 352.4 independent tests estimated using true phenotypic correlation. We further applied PhenoSpD to an estimated 5,618 pair-wise phenotypic correlations among 107 metabolites using GWAS summary statistics from Kettunen's publication and PhenoSpD suggested the equivalent of 33.5 independent tests for these metabolites. PhenoSpD extends the use of summary-level results, providing a simple and conservative way to reduce dimensionality for complex human traits using GWAS summary statistics. This is particularly valuable in the age of large-scale biobank and consortia studies, where GWAS results are much more accessible than individual-level data.
| S-EPMC6109640 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Rates of sharing of genome-wide association studies (GWAS) summary statistics are historically low, limiting potential for scientific discovery. Here we show, using GWAS Catalog data, that GWAS papers that share data get on average 81.8% more citations, an effect that is sustained over time. A review of citation rates from genomic studies in the GWAS Catalog suggests that sharing summary statistics results, on average, in ~81.8% more citations, highlighting a benefit of publicly sharing GWAS summary statistics.
| S-EPMC9884206 | biostudies-literature
Project description:For over a decade, genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have been a major tool for detecting genetic variants underlying complex traits. Recent studies have demonstrated that the same variant or gene can be associated with multiple traits, and such associations are termed cross-phenotype (CP) associations. CP association analysis can improve statistical power by searching for variants that contribute to multiple traits, which is often relevant to pleiotropy. In this chapter, we discuss existing statistical methods for analyzing association between a single marker and multivariate phenotypes, we introduce a general approach, CPASSOC, to detect the CP associations, and explain how to conduct the analysis in practice.
| S-EPMC6417431 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundAssociations between type 2 diabetes (T2D) and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) were discovered in observational studies in both European and East Asian populations. However, whether such associations are causal remains largely unknown.MethodsWe employed a two-sample Mendelian randomization approach to evaluate the causal relationship of T2D with the risk of ALS in both European and East Asian populations. Our analysis was implemented using summary statistics obtained from large-scale genome-wide association studies with ~660,000 individuals for T2D and ~81,000 individuals for ALS in the European population, and ~191,000 individuals for T2D and ~4100 individuals for ALS in the East Asian population. The causal relationship between T2D and ALS in both populations was estimated using the inverse-variance-weighted methods and was further validated through extensive complementary and sensitivity analyses.ResultsUsing multiple instruments that were strongly associated with T2D, a negative association between T2D and ALS was identified in the European population with the odds ratio (OR) estimated to be 0.93 (95% CI 0.88-0.99, p = 0.023), while a positive association between T2D and ALS was observed in the East Asian population with OR = 1.28 (95% CI 0.99-1.62, p = 0.058). These results were robust against instrument selection, various modeling misspecifications, and estimation biases, with the Egger regression and MR-PRESSO ruling out the possibility of horizontal pleiotropic effects of instruments. However, no causal association was found between T2D-related exposures (including glycemic traits) and ALS in the European population.ConclusionOur results provide new evidence supporting the causal neuroprotective role of T2D on ALS in the European population and provide empirically suggestive evidence of increasing risk of T2D on ALS in the East Asian population. Our results have an important implication on ALS pathology, paving ways for developing therapeutic strategies across multiple populations.
| S-EPMC6892209 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) have wide applications in human genetics research, but often include tuning parameters which are difficult to optimize in practice due to limited access to individual-level data. Here, we introduce PUMAS, a novel method to fine-tune PRS models using summary statistics from genome-wide association studies (GWASs). Through extensive simulations, external validations, and analysis of 65 traits, we demonstrate that PUMAS can perform various model-tuning procedures using GWAS summary statistics and effectively benchmark and optimize PRS models under diverse genetic architecture. Furthermore, we show that fine-tuned PRSs will significantly improve statistical power in downstream association analysis.
| S-EPMC8419981 | biostudies-literature
Project description:In complex trait genetics, the ability to predict phenotype from genotype is the ultimate measure of our understanding of genetic architecture underlying the heritability of a trait. A complete understanding of the genetic basis of a trait should allow for predictive methods with accuracies approaching the trait's heritability. The highly polygenic nature of quantitative traits and most common phenotypes has motivated the development of statistical strategies focused on combining myriad individually non-significant genetic effects. Now that predictive accuracies are improving, there is a growing interest in the practical utility of such methods for predicting risk of common diseases responsive to early therapeutic intervention. However, existing methods require individual-level genotypes or depend on accurately specifying the genetic architecture underlying each disease to be predicted. Here, we propose a polygenic risk prediction method that does not require explicitly modeling any underlying genetic architecture. We start with summary statistics in the form of SNP effect sizes from a large GWAS cohort. We then remove the correlation structure across summary statistics arising due to linkage disequilibrium and apply a piecewise linear interpolation on conditional mean effects. In both simulated and real datasets, this new non-parametric shrinkage (NPS) method can reliably allow for linkage disequilibrium in summary statistics of 5 million dense genome-wide markers and consistently improves prediction accuracy. We show that NPS improves the identification of groups at high risk for breast cancer, type 2 diabetes, inflammatory bowel disease, and coronary heart disease, all of which have available early intervention or prevention treatments.
| S-EPMC7332650 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Estimating the phenotypic correlations between complex traits and diseases based on their genome-wide association summary statistics has been a useful technique in genetic epidemiology and statistical genetics inference. Two state-of-the-art strategies, Z-score correlation across null-effect single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and LD score regression intercept, were widely applied to estimate phenotypic correlations. Here, we propose an improved Z-score correlation strategy based on SNPs with low minor allele frequencies (MAFs), and show how this simple strategy can correct the bias generated by the current methods. The low MAF estimator improves phenotypic correlation estimation, thus it is beneficial for methods and applications using phenotypic correlations inferred from summary association statistics.
| S-EPMC8421683 | biostudies-literature