Dataset Information

Prognostic score based on physical frailty in patients with heart failure: a multicenter prospective cohort study (FLAGSHIP).

ABSTRACT:

Background

In patients with heart failure (HF), physical frailty should be assessed to enable risk stratification. No conventional frailty criteria have so far been developed considering HF-specific outcomes. This study aimed to propose a frailty-based prognostic score using a nationwide cohort study of Japanese patients with HF.

Methods

We analysed 2721 patients hospitalized for HF and capable of walking at discharge (median age: 76 years [interquartile range 67-83], men: 60.5%). Physical frailty was evaluated at discharge using four quantitative measures: usual walking speed, grip strength, Performance Measure for Activities of Daily Living-8 (PMADL-8), and Self-Efficacy for Walking-7 (SEW-7). The primary outcome was a composite of HF rehospitalization and all-cause mortality within 2 years. A cut-off point was identified for each measure using receiver operating characteristic analysis in a derivation cohort (n = 1778). Cox proportional hazards model was used to assign a score to each frailty domain according to the correlation with the endpoint. Patients were divided into four categories according to the sum score, and survival was compared by analysing the Kaplan-Meier curve and Cox proportional hazards model. Cumulative incidences of the events according to frailty categories were compared between the derivation cohort and a validation cohort (n = 943).

Results

The cut-off value and assigned score of each indicator was determined as follows: usual walking speed < 0.98 m/s = 4 points; grip strength < 30.0 kg (men) or 17.5 kg (women) = 5 points; PMADL-8 ≥ 21 points = 2 points; SEW-7 ≤ 20 points = 3 points. We stratified patients into four categories according to the sum score: Category I, ≤3 points; Categories II, 4-8 points; Category III, 9-13 points; and Category IV, 14 points. The prevalence and cumulative incidence of the composite outcome for Categories I to IV in the derivation cohort were 27.4%, 25.2%, 26.4%, and 21.0%, and 9.5, 16.3, 26.3, and 36.8/100 person-years, respectively. Similar results were confirmed in the validation cohort. In Cox proportional hazards model, frailty categories were associated with the composite outcome independent of potential confounders (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] in reference to Category I: Categories II, 1.51 [0.84-2.72], P = 0.169; Category III, 2.37 [1.32-4.23], P = 0.004; Category IV, 2.66 [1.45-4.89], P = 0.002).

Conclusions

The frailty-based prognostic score proposed in this study was well associated with prognosis and will serve for risk stratification in patients with HF.

SUBMITTER: Yamada S

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8718028 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Similar Datasets

Project description:ImportanceThe Pooled Cohort Equations to Prevent Heart Failure (PCP-HF) estimate the 10-year risk for symptomatic heart failure (HF) from routine clinical data. The PCP-HF score should detect asymptomatic individuals with cardiac maladaptation preceding HF symptoms for it to be a useful HF prediction tool in primary prevention.ObjectiveTo assess the concordance between PCP-HF risk scoring and the presence of subclinical cardiac maladaptation in the community.Design, setting, and participantsThis cross-sectional analysis included participants enrolled in the Flemish Study on Environment, Genes and Health Outcomes who underwent a clinical examination including echocardiography between May 2005 and January 2015. Participants younger than 30 years, older than 79 years, had prevalent cardiovascular disease, and/or had suboptimal echocardiographic imaging quality were excluded. Analysis began February 2020 and ended April 2020.ExposuresTen-year HF risk as calculated from routine clinical data using the PCP-HF. Based on tertile limits, participants were categorized as having low (≤0.4%), intermediate (0.4%-2.4%), and high (≥2.4%) 10-year HF risk score.Main outcomes and measuresEchocardiographic profiles of subclinical heart remodeling and dysfunction.ResultsA total of 1020 individuals were analyzed (mean [SD] age, 52.8 [11.4] years; 541 female [53.0%]). The prevalence of left ventricular (LV) remodeling and dysfunction was significantly higher from low to intermediate and high 10-year HF risk score. A doubling in 10-year HF risk score was associated with higher odds for LV concentric remodeling (odds ratio [OR], 1.48; 95% CI, 1.36-1.61; P < .001), LV hypertrophy (OR, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.51-1.83; P < .001), abnormal LV longitudinal strain (OR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.05-1.19; P < .001), and LV diastolic dysfunction (OR, 2.28; 95% CI, 1.94-2.69; P < .001). Moreover, the PCP-HF score detected echocardiographic abnormalities with an accuracy of 74% (LV concentric remodeling), 78% (LV hypertrophy), 59% (abnormal LV longitudinal strain), and 87% (LV diastolic dysfunction). The likelihood of LV concentric remodeling, hypertrophy, and diastolic dysfunction were 3.1, 3.8, and 9.4 times higher in participants with high 10-year HF risk score than the average population risk, respectively (P < .001). Of all PCP-HF score components, age, body mass index, and systolic blood pressure were key correlates of echocardiographic abnormalities in multivariable-adjusted analysis.Conclusions and relevancePCP-HF risk scoring adequately detected individuals with subclinical heart maladaptation that precedes HF symptoms by years. Thus, it may be a valuable HF prediction tool in primary prevention.

Project description:AimsFrailty is associated with prognosis of cardiovascular diseases. However, the significance of frailty in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) remains to be elucidated. The purpose of this study was to examine the prognostic significance of the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) in real-world patients with HFpEF using data from a prospective multicentre observational study of patients with HFpEF (PURSUIT-HFpEF study).Method and resultsWe classified 842 patients with HFpEF enrolled in the PURSUIT-HFpEF study into two groups using CFS. The registry enrolled patients hospitalized with a diagnosis of decompensated heart failure. Median age was 82 [interquartile range: 77, 87], and 45% of the patients were male. Of 842 patients, 406 were classified as high CFS (CFS ≥ 4, 48%) and 436 as low CFS (CFS ≤ 3, 52%). The primary endpoint was the composite of all-cause mortality and heart failure admission. Secondary endpoints were all-cause mortality and heart failure admission. Patients with high CFS were older (85 vs. 79 years, P < 0.001), predominantly female (65% vs. 46%, P < 0.001) and more likely to have New York Heart Association (NYHA) ≥ 2 (75% vs. 53%, P < 0.001) and a higher level of NT-proBNP (1360 vs 838 pg/mL, P < 0.001) than those with low CFS. Patients with high CFS had a significantly greater risk of composite endpoint (Kaplan-Meier estimated 1-year event rate 39% vs. 23%, log-rank P < 0.001), all-cause mortality (Kaplan-Meier estimated 1-year event rate 17% vs. 7%, log-rank P < 0.001) and heart failure admission (Kaplan-Meier estimated 1-year event rate 28% vs. 19%, log-rank P = 0.002) than those with low CFS. Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that high CFS was significantly associated with composite endpoint (adjusted HR 1.92, 95% CI 1.35-2.73, P < 0.001), all-cause mortality (adjusted HR 2.54, 95% CI 1.39-4.66, P = 0.003) and heart failure admission (adjusted HR 1.55, 95% CI 1.03-2.32, P = 0.035) even after adjustment for covariates. Moreover, change in CFS grade was also significantly associated with composite endpoint (adjusted HR 1.23, 95% CI 1.11-1.36, P < 0.001), all-cause mortality (adjusted HR 1.32, 95% CI 1.13-1.55, P = 0.001) and heart failure admission (adjusted HR 1.15, 95% CI 1.02-1.30, P = 0.021).ConclusionsFrailty assessed by the CFS was associated with poor prognosis in patients with HFpEF.

Project description:BackgroundFrailty is common in patients with heart failure (HF) and can adversely impact outcomes.ObjectivesThis study examined the prevalence of frailty among Asian patients with HF, its association with 1-year outcomes, and if race-ethnicity, HF subtypes, and sex modify this relationship.MethodsIn the multinational ASIAN-HF (Asian Sudden Cardiac Death in Heart Failure) registry, a baseline frailty index (FI) was constructed using a cumulative deficits approach with 48 baseline variables, and patients were followed for the 1-year primary outcome of all-cause death or HF hospitalization.ResultsAmong 3,881 participants (age 61 ± 13 years, 27% female), the mean FI was 0.28 ± 0.11, and 69% were frail (FI >0.21). Higher FI was associated with older age, Malay ethnicity, and Southeast Asian residency. While comorbidities were more frequent in frail patients (by definition), body mass index was not different across frailty classes. Compared with FI class 1 (<0.21, nonfrail), FI class 2 (0.21-0.31) and FI class 3 (>0.31) had increased risk of the 1-year composite outcome (hazard ratios of 1.84 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.42-2.38] and 4.51 [95% CI: 3.59-5.67], respectively), even after multivariable adjustment (adjusted hazard ratios of 1.49 [95% CI: 1.13-1.97] and 2.69 [95% CI: 2.06-3.50], respectively). Race-ethnicity modified the association of frailty with the composite outcome (P interaction = 0.0097), wherein the impact of frailty was strongest among Chinese patients. The association between frailty and outcomes did not differ between men and women (P interaction = 0.186) or for HF with reduced ejection fraction versus HF with preserved ejection fraction (P interaction = 0.094).ConclusionsMost Asian patients with HF are frail despite relatively young age. Our results reveal specific ethnic (Malay) and regional (Southeast Asia) predisposition to frailty and highlight its prognostic importance, especially in Chinese individuals. (ASIAN HF Registry, A Prospective Observational Study [ASIANHF]; NCT01633398).

Project description:BackgroundAtrial fibrillation (AF) is the most commonly encountered arrhythmia and is associated with an elevated risk of stroke. Improving the identification of patients with the highest risk for AF to enable appropriate surveillance and treatment, if necessary, is critical to reducing AF-associated morbidity and mortality. Multiple common single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) are unequivocally associated with the lifetime risk of AF. In the current study we aimed to prospectively validate an AF genetic risk score (GRS) in previously undiagnosed patients at risk for AF.Methods and findingsIndividuals 40 years of age or older with 1 clinical risk factor for AF, presenting with symptoms of AF, or with a first diagnosis of AF, were enrolled for genetic testing and ambulatory cardiac rhythm monitoring with an adhesive patch monitor or a long-term Holter monitor (mean wear time 10 days 21 hours and 13 days 18 hours, respectively). An AF event was the first diagnosis of AF by ECG, patch monitor, or long-term Holter monitor. The AF GRS was determined for each participant based on the weighted contribution of 12 genetic risk loci. Of 904 participants, 85 manifested AF. Their mean age was 66.2 (SD 11.8) years; 38% of participants were male. Participants in the highest quintile of AF GRS were more likely (odds ratio 3.11; 95% CI 1.27-7.58; p = 0.01) to have had an AF event than participants in the lowest quintile after adjusting for age, sex, smoking status, BMI, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, heart failure, and prior myocardial infarction. Study limitations included an ethnically homogenous population, a restricted rhythm monitoring period, and the evolving discovery of SNPs associated with AF.ConclusionsProspective assessment of a GRS for AF identified participants with elevated risk of AF beyond established clinical criteria. Accordingly, a GRS for AF could be incorporated into overall risk assessment to better identify patients at the highest risk of developing AF, although further testing in larger populations is needed to confirm these findings.Trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov NCT01970969.