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Impact of regional heterogeneity on the severity of COVID-19.


ABSTRACT: The main objective of the study is to assess the impact of regional heterogeneity on the severity of COVID-19 in Japan. We included 27,865 cases registered between January 2020 and February 2021 in the COVID-19 Registry of Japan, to examine the relationship between the National Early Warning Score (NEWS) of COVID-19 patients on the day of admission and the prefecture where the patients live. A hierarchical Bayesian model was used to examine the random effect of each prefecture in addition to the patients' backgrounds. Additionally, we compared the results of two models; one model included the number of beds secured for COVID-19 patients in each prefecture as one of the fixed effects, and the other model did not. The results indicated that the prefecture had a substantial impact on the severity of COVID-19 on admission, even when considering the effect of the number of beds separately. Our analysis revealed a possible association between regional heterogeneity and increased/decreased risk of severe COVID-19 infection on admission. This heterogeneity was derived not only from the number of beds secured in each prefecture but also from other factors.

SUBMITTER: Tsuzuki S 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8730489 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Impact of regional heterogeneity on the severity of COVID-19.

Tsuzuki Shinya S   Asai Yusuke Y   Matsunaga Nobuaki N   Ishioka Haruhiko H   Akiyama Takayuki T   Ohmagari Norio N  

Journal of infection and chemotherapy : official journal of the Japan Society of Chemotherapy 20220105 4


The main objective of the study is to assess the impact of regional heterogeneity on the severity of COVID-19 in Japan. We included 27,865 cases registered between January 2020 and February 2021 in the COVID-19 Registry of Japan, to examine the relationship between the National Early Warning Score (NEWS) of COVID-19 patients on the day of admission and the prefecture where the patients live. A hierarchical Bayesian model was used to examine the random effect of each prefecture in addition to the  ...[more]

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