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Informative predictors of pregnancy after first IVF cycle using eIVF practice highway electronic health records.

ABSTRACT: The aim of this study is to determine the most informative pre- and in-cycle variables for predicting success for a first autologous oocyte in-vitro fertilization (IVF) cycle. This is a retrospective study using 22,413 first autologous oocyte IVF cycles from 2001 to 2018. Models were developed to predict pregnancy following an IVF cycle with a fresh embryo transfer. The importance of each variable was determined by its coefficient in a logistic regression model and the prediction accuracy based on different variable sets was reported. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) on a validation patient cohort was the metric for prediction accuracy. Three factors were found to be of importance when predicting IVF success: age in three groups (38-40, 41-42, and above 42 years old), number of transferred embryos, and number of cryopreserved embryos. For predicting first-cycle IVF pregnancy using all available variables, the predictive model achieved an AUC of 68% + /- 0.01%. A parsimonious predictive model utilizing age (38-40, 41-42, and above 42 years old), number of transferred embryos, and number of cryopreserved embryos achieved an AUC of 65% + /- 0.01%. The proposed models accurately predict a single IVF cycle pregnancy outcome and identify important predictive variables associated with the outcome. These models are limited to predicting pregnancy immediately after the IVF cycle and not live birth. These models do not include indicators of multiple gestation and are not intended for clinical application.

SUBMITTER: Xu T

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8763861 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:BackgroundRoutine weight recording in electronic health records (EHRs) could assist general practitioners (GPs) in the identification, prevention, and management of overweight patients. However, the extent to which weight management is embedded in general practice in the Netherlands has not been investigated. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the frequency of weight recording in general practice in the Netherlands for patients who self-reported as being overweight. The specific objectives of this study were to assess whether weight recording varied according to patient characteristics, and to determine the frequency of weight recording over time for patients with and without a chronic condition related to being overweight.MethodsBaseline data from the Occupational and Environmental Health Cohort Study (2012) were combined with data from EHRs of general practices (2012-2015). Data concerned 3446 self-reported overweight patients who visited their GP in 2012, and 1516 patients who visited their GP every year between 2012 and 2015. Logistic multilevel regression analyses were performed to identify associations between patient characteristics and weight recording.ResultsIn 2012, weight was recorded in the EHRs of a quarter of patients who self-reported as being overweight. Greater age, lower education level, higher self-reported body mass index, and the presence of diabetes mellitus, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and/or cardiovascular disorders were associated with higher rates of weight recording. The strongest association was found for diabetes mellitus (adjusted OR = 10.3; 95% CI [7.3, 14.5]). Between 2012 and 2015, 90% of patients with diabetes mellitus had at least one weight measurement recorded in their EHR. In the group of patients without a chronic condition related to being overweight, this percentage was 33%.ConclusionsWeight was frequently recorded for overweight patients with a chronic condition, for whom regular weight measurement is recommended in clinical guidelines, and for which weight recording is a performance indicator as part of the payment system. For younger patients and those without a chronic condition related to being overweight, weight was less frequently recorded. For these patients, routine recording of weight in EHRs deserves more attention, with the aim to support early recognition and treatment of overweight.

Project description:IntroductionEndometrial trauma commonly known as endometrial scratch (ES) has been shown to improve pregnancy rates in women with a history of repeated implantation failure undergoing in vitro fertilisation (IVF), with or without intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI). However, the procedure has not yet been fully explored in women having IVF/ICSI for the first time. This study aims to examine the effect of performing an ES in the mid-luteal phase prior to a first-time IVF/ICSI cycle on the chances of achieving a clinical pregnancy and live birth. If ES can influence this success rate, there would be a significant cost saving to the National Health Service through decreasing the number of IVF/ICSI cycles necessary to achieve a pregnancy, increase the practice of single embryo transfer and consequently have a large impact on risks and costs associated with multiple pregnancies.Methods and analysisThis 30-month, UK, multicentre, parallel group, randomised controlled trial includes a 9-month internal pilot and health economic analysis recruiting 1044 women from 16 fertility units. It will follow up participants to identify if IVF/ICSI has been successful and live birth has occurred up to 6 weeks post partum. Primary analysis will be on an intention-to-treat basis. A substudy of endometrial samples obtained during the ES will assess the role of immune factors in embryo implantation. Main trial recruitment commenced on January 2017 and is ongoing.Participants randomised to the intervention group will receive the ES procedure in the mid-luteal phase of the preceding cycle prior to first-time IVF/ICSI treatment versus usual IVF/ICSI treatment in the control group, with 1:1 randomisation. The primary outcome is live birth rate after completed 24 weeks gestation.Ethics and disseminationSouth Central-Berkshire Research Ethics Committee approved the protocol. Findings will be submitted to peer-reviewed journals and abstracts to relevant national and international conferences.Trial registration numberISRCTN23800982; Pre-results.

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Informative predictors of pregnancy after first IVF cycle using eIVF practice highway electronic health records.

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