Impact of pre-event testing and quarantine on reducing the risk of COVID-19 epidemic rebound: a modelling study.

ABSTRACT:

Background

With the evolving growth of the COVID-19 epidemic, travel restriction policies would need to be adjusted accordingly. Prohibition of mass event may be relaxed for social and economic benefits when virus transmission stops but could bear the risk of epidemic rebound. Against the background of the varied SARS-CoV-2 prevalence internationally, we modelled the potential impacts of pre-event interventions on epidemic risk of holding a mass event when COVID-19 is under control.

Methods

We developed a mathematical model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Guangdong Province, China, where local virus transmission ceased to occur. A large-scale international trade fair was assumed to be held, with influx of people from overseas and rest of China over a short period of time, who

SUBMITTER: Wong NS 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8785033 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature