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A general pattern of trade-offs between ecosystem resistance and resilience to tropical cyclones.


ABSTRACT: Tropical cyclones drive coastal ecosystem dynamics, and their frequency, intensity, and spatial distribution are predicted to shift with climate change. Patterns of resistance and resilience were synthesized for 4138 ecosystem time series from n = 26 storms occurring between 1985 and 2018 in the Northern Hemisphere to predict how coastal ecosystems will respond to future disturbance regimes. Data were grouped by ecosystems (fresh water, salt water, terrestrial, and wetland) and response categories (biogeochemistry, hydrography, mobile biota, sedentary fauna, and vascular plants). We observed a repeated pattern of trade-offs between resistance and resilience across analyses. These patterns are likely the outcomes of evolutionary adaptation, they conform to disturbance theories, and they indicate that consistent rules may govern ecosystem susceptibility to tropical cyclones.

SUBMITTER: Patrick CJ 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8890713 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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A general pattern of trade-offs between ecosystem resistance and resilience to tropical cyclones.

Patrick Christopher J CJ   Kominoski John S JS   McDowell William H WH   Branoff Benjamin B   Lagomasino David D   Leon Miguel M   Hensel Enie E   Hensel Marc J S MJS   Strickland Bradley A BA   Aide T Mitchell TM   Armitage Anna A   Campos-Cerqueira Marconi M   Congdon Victoria M VM   Crowl Todd A TA   Devlin Donna J DJ   Douglas Sarah S   Erisman Brad E BE   Feagin Rusty A RA   Geist Simon J SJ   Hall Nathan S NS   Hardison Amber K AK   Heithaus Michael R MR   Hogan J Aaron JA   Hogan J Derek JD   Kinard Sean S   Kiszka Jeremy J JJ   Lin Teng-Chiu TC   Lu Kaijun K   Madden Christopher J CJ   Montagna Paul A PA   O'Connell Christine S CS   Proffitt C Edward CE   Kiel Reese Brandi B   Reustle Joseph W JW   Robinson Kelly L KL   Rush Scott A SA   Santos Rolando O RO   Schnetzer Astrid A   Smee Delbert L DL   Smith Rachel S RS   Starr Gregory G   Stauffer Beth A BA   Walker Lily M LM   Weaver Carolyn A CA   Wetz Michael S MS   Whitman Elizabeth R ER   Wilson Sara S SS   Xue Jianhong J   Zou Xiaoming X  

Science advances 20220302 9


Tropical cyclones drive coastal ecosystem dynamics, and their frequency, intensity, and spatial distribution are predicted to shift with climate change. Patterns of resistance and resilience were synthesized for 4138 ecosystem time series from <i>n</i> = 26 storms occurring between 1985 and 2018 in the Northern Hemisphere to predict how coastal ecosystems will respond to future disturbance regimes. Data were grouped by ecosystems (fresh water, salt water, terrestrial, and wetland) and response c  ...[more]

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