Real-time parameter estimation of Zika outbreaks using model averaging.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Sebrango-Rodriguez CR
PROVIDER: S-EPMC9148827 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Aug
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Publications
Real-time parameter estimation of Zika outbreaks using model averaging.
Sebrango-Rodríguez C R CR Martínez-Bello D A DA Sánchez-Valdés L L Thilakarathne P J PJ Del Fava E E VAN DER Stuyft P P López-Quílez A A Shkedy Z Z
Epidemiology and infection 20170601 11
Early prediction of the final size of any epidemic and in particular for Zika disease outbreaks can be useful for health authorities in order to plan the response to the outbreak. The Richards model is often been used to estimate epidemiological parameters for arboviral diseases based on the reported cumulative cases in single- and multi-wave outbreaks. However, other non-linear models can also fit the data as well. Typically, one follows the so called post selection estimation procedure, i.e., ...[more]
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