Network-based machine learning approach to predict immunotherapy response in cancer patients.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Kong J
PROVIDER: S-EPMC9240063 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:PurposeSeveral biomarkers of response to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) show potential but are not yet scalable to the clinic. We developed a pipeline that integrates deep learning on histology specimens with clinical data to predict ICI response in advanced melanoma.Experimental designWe used a training cohort from New York University (New York, NY) and a validation cohort from Vanderbilt University (Nashville, TN). We built a multivariable classifier that integrates neural network predictions with clinical data. A ROC curve was generated and the optimal threshold was used to stratify patients as high versus low risk for progression. Kaplan-Meier curves compared progression-free survival (PFS) between the groups. The classifier was validated on two slide scanners (Aperio AT2 and Leica SCN400).ResultsThe multivariable classifier predicted response with AUC 0.800 on images from the Aperio AT2 and AUC 0.805 on images from the Leica SCN400. The classifier accurately stratified patients into high versus low risk for disease progression. Vanderbilt patients classified as high risk for progression had significantly worse PFS than those classified as low risk (P = 0.02 for the Aperio AT2; P = 0.03 for the Leica SCN400).ConclusionsHistology slides and patients' clinicodemographic characteristics are readily available through standard of care and have the potential to predict ICI treatment outcomes. With prospective validation, we believe our approach has potential for integration into clinical practice.
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Project description:Machine learning (ML) is largely used to develop automatic predictors in migraine classification but automatic predictors for medication overuse (MO) in migraine are still in their infancy. Thus, to understand the benefits of ML in MO prediction, we explored an automated predictor to estimate MO risk in migraine. To achieve this objective, a study was designed to analyze the performance of a customized ML-based decision support system that combines support vector machines and Random Optimization (RO-MO). We used RO-MO to extract prognostic information from demographic, clinical and biochemical data. Using a dataset of 777 consecutive migraine patients we derived a set of predictors with discriminatory power for MO higher than that observed for baseline SVM. The best four were incorporated into the final RO-MO decision support system and risk evaluation on a five-level stratification was performed. ROC analysis resulted in a c-statistic of 0.83 with a sensitivity and specificity of 0.69 and 0.87, respectively, and an accuracy of 0.87 when MO was predicted by at least three RO-MO models. Logistic regression analysis confirmed that the derived RO-MO system could effectively predict MO with ORs of 5.7 and 21.0 for patients classified as probably (3 predictors positive), or definitely at risk of MO (4 predictors positive), respectively. In conclusion, a combination of ML and RO - taking into consideration clinical/biochemical features, drug exposure and lifestyle - might represent a valuable approach to MO prediction in migraine and holds the potential for improving model precision through weighting the relative importance of attributes.
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Project description:Breast cancer (BC) is the most common malignancy worldwide and neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) plays an important role in the treatment of patients with early BC. However, only a subset of BC patients can achieve pathological complete response (pCR) and benefit from NAT. It is therefore necessary to predict the responses to NAT. Although many models to predict the response to NAT based on gene expression determined by the microarray platform have been proposed, their applications in clinical practice are limited due to the data normalization methods during model building and the disadvantages of the microarray platform compared with the RNA-seq platform. In this study, we first reconfirmed the correlation between immune profiles and pCR in an RNA-seq dataset. Then, we employed multiple machine learning algorithms and a model stacking strategy to build an immunological gene based model (Ipredictor model) and an immunological gene and receptor status based model ICpredictor model) in the RNA-seq dataset. The areas under the receiver operator characteristic curves for the Ipredictor model and ICpredictor models were 0.745 and 0.769 in an independent external test set based on the RNA-seq platform, and were 0.716 and 0.752 in another independent external test set based on the microarray platform. Furthermore, we found that the predictive score of the Ipredictor model was correlated with immune microenvironment and genomic aberration markers. These results demonstrated that the models can accurately predict the response to NAT for BC patients and will contribute to individualized therapy.
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Project description:This SuperSeries is composed of the SubSeries listed below.
2021-01-26 | GSE161019 | GEO
Project description:The immune cells play an increasingly vital role in influencing the proliferation, progression, and metastasis of lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) cells. However, the potential of immune cells' specific genes-based model remains largely unknown. In the current study, by analysing single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) data and bulk RNA sequencing data, the tumour-infiltrating immune cell (TIIC) associated signature was developed based on a total of 26 machine learning (ML) algorithms. As a result, the TIIC signature score could predict survival outcomes of LUAD patients across five independent datasets. The TIIC signature score showed superior performance to 168 previously established signatures in LUAD. Moreover, the TIIC signature score developed by the immunofluorescence staining of the tissue array of LUAD patients showed a prognostic value. Our research revealed a solid connection between TIIC signature score and tumour immunity as well as metabolism. Additionally, it has been discovered that the TIIC signature score can forecast genomic change, chemotherapeutic drug susceptibility, and-most significantly-immunotherapeutic response. As a newly demonstrated biomarker, the TIIC signature score facilitated the selection of the LUAD population who would benefit from future clinical stratification.
| S-EPMC10068958 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundThe mechanism of action for most cancer drugs is not clear. Large-scale pharmacogenomic cancer cell line datasets offer a rich resource to obtain this knowledge. Here, we present an analysis strategy for revealing biological pathways that contribute to drug response using publicly available pharmacogenomic cancer cell line datasets.MethodsWe present a custom machine-learning based approach for identifying biological pathways involved in cancer drug response. We test the utility of our approach with a pan-cancer analysis of ML210, an inhibitor of GPX4, and a melanoma-focused analysis of inhibitors of BRAFV600. We apply our approach to reveal determinants of drug resistance to microtubule inhibitors.ResultsOur method implicated lipid metabolism and Rac1/cytoskeleton signaling in the context of ML210 and BRAF inhibitor response, respectively. These findings are consistent with current knowledge of how these drugs work. For microtubule inhibitors, our approach implicated Notch and Akt signaling as pathways that associated with response.ConclusionsOur results demonstrate the utility of combining informed feature selection and machine learning algorithms in understanding cancer drug response.
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Project description:Early prediction of the occurrence of ventricular tachyarrhythmia (VTA) has a potential to save patients' lives. VTA includes ventricular tachycardia (VT) and ventricular fibrillation (VF). Several studies have achieved promising performances in predicting VT and VF using traditional heart rate variability (HRV) features. However, as VTA is a life-threatening heart condition, its prediction performance requires further improvement. To improve the performance of predicting VF, we used the QRS complex shape features, and traditional HRV features were also used for comparison. We extracted features from 120-s-long HRV and electrocardiogram (ECG) signals (QRS complex signed area and R-peak amplitude) to predict the VF onset 30 s before its occurrence. Two artificial neural network (ANN) classifiers were trained and tested with two feature sets derived from HRV and the QRS complex shape based on a 10-fold cross-validation. The prediction accuracy estimated using 11 HRV features was 72%, while that estimated using four QRS complex shape features yielded a high prediction accuracy of 98.6%. The QRS complex shape could play a significant role in performance improvement of predicting the occurrence of VF. Thus, the results of our study can be considered by the researchers who are developing an application for an implantable cardiac defibrillator (ICD) when to begin ventricular defibrillation.
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Project description:Deep venous thrombosis (DVT) is associated with significant morbidity, mortality, and increased healthcare costs. Standard scoring systems for DVT risk stratification often provide insufficient stratification of hospitalized patients and are unable to accurately predict which inpatients are most likely to present with DVT. There is a continued need for tools which can predict DVT in hospitalized patients. We performed a retrospective study on a database collected from a large academic hospital, comprised of 99,237 total general ward or ICU patients, 2,378 of whom experienced a DVT during their hospital stay. Gradient boosted machine learning algorithms were developed to predict a patient's risk of developing DVT at 12- and 24-hour windows prior to onset. The primary outcome of interest was diagnosis of in-hospital DVT. The machine learning predictors obtained AUROCs of 0.83 and 0.85 for DVT risk prediction on hospitalized patients at 12- and 24-hour windows, respectively. At both 12 and 24 hours before DVT onset, the most important features for prediction of DVT were cancer history, VTE history, and internal normalized ratio (INR). Improved risk stratification may prevent unnecessary invasive testing in patients for whom DVT cannot be ruled out using existing methods. Improved risk stratification may also allow for more targeted use of prophylactic anticoagulants, as well as earlier diagnosis and treatment, preventing the development of pulmonary emboli and other sequelae of DVT.
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Project description:Opioids play a critical role in acute postoperative pain management. Our objective was to develop machine learning models to predict postoperative opioid requirements in patients undergoing ambulatory surgery. To develop the models, we used a perioperative dataset of 13,700 patients (≥ 18 years) undergoing ambulatory surgery between the years 2016-2018. The data, comprising of patient, procedure and provider factors that could influence postoperative pain and opioid requirements, was randomly split into training (80%) and validation (20%) datasets. Machine learning models of different classes were developed to predict categorized levels of postoperative opioid requirements using the training dataset and then evaluated on the validation dataset. Prediction accuracy was used to differentiate model performances. The five types of models that were developed returned the following accuracies at two different stages of surgery: 1) Prior to surgery-Multinomial Logistic Regression: 71%, Naïve Bayes: 67%, Neural Network: 30%, Random Forest: 72%, Extreme Gradient Boost: 71% and 2) End of surgery-Multinomial Logistic Regression: 71%, Naïve Bayes: 63%, Neural Network: 32%, Random Forest: 72%, Extreme Gradient Boost: 70%. Analyzing the sensitivities of the best performing Random Forest model showed that the lower opioid requirements are predicted with better accuracy (89%) as compared with higher opioid requirements (43%). Feature importance (% relative importance) of model predictions showed that the type of procedure (15.4%), medical history (12.9%) and procedure duration (12.0%) were the top three features contributing to model predictions. Overall, the contribution of patient and procedure features towards model predictions were 65% and 35% respectively. Machine learning models could be used to predict postoperative opioid requirements in ambulatory surgery patients and could potentially assist in better management of their postoperative acute pain.
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Project description:Mechanical stresses generated at the cell-cell level and cell-substrate level have been suggested to be important in a host of physiological and pathological processes. However, the influence various chemical compounds have on the mechanical stresses mentioned above is poorly understood, hindering the discovery of novel therapeutics, and representing a barrier in the field. To overcome this barrier, we implemented two approaches: 1) monolayer boundary predictor and 2) discretized window predictor utilizing either stepwise linear regression or quadratic support vector machine machine learning model to predict the dose-dependent response of tractions and intercellular stresses to chemical perturbation. We used experimental traction and intercellular stress data gathered from samples subject to 0.2 or 2 μg/mL drug concentrations along with cell morphological properties extracted from the bright-field images as predictors to train our model. To demonstrate the predictive capability of our machine learning models, we predicted tractions and intercellular stresses in response to 0 and 1 μg/mL drug concentrations which were not utilized in the training sets. Results revealed the discretized window predictor trained just with four samples (292 images) to best predict both intercellular stresses and tractions using the quadratic support vector machine and stepwise linear regression models, respectively, for the unseen sample images.
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