Dataset Information

A New Predictive Model for the Prognosis of MDA5⁺ DM-ILD.

ABSTRACT:

Purpose

The purpose of this study is to analyze clinical information and combine significant parameters to generate a predictive model and achieve a better prognosis prediction of dermatomyositis-associated interstitial lung disease with positive melanoma differentiation-associated gene 5 antibody (MDA5⁺ DM-ILD) and stratify patients according to prognostic risk factors appropriately.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed 63 patients MDA5⁺ DM-ILD who were treated in our hospital from January 2018 to January 2021. Our study incorporated most clinical characteristics in clinical practice to explore the associations and predictive functions of clinical characteristics and prognosis. Student's t-test, Mann-Whitney U-test, chi-squared test, Pearson correlation analysis, Cox regression analysis, R, receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC curves), and Kaplan-Meier survival curves were performed to identify independent predictors for the prognosis of MDA5⁺DM-ILD.

Results

In all the 63 patients with MDA5⁺DM-ILD, 44 improved but 19 did not. Poor prognosis was found more frequently in patients who were older, clinically amyopathic variant of dermatomyositis (CADM), and/or with short duration, short interval of DM and ILD, long length of stay, fever, dyspnea, non-arthralgia, pulmonary infection, pleural effusion (PE), high total computed tomography scores (TCTs), ground-glass opacity (GGO), consolidation score, reticular score and fibrosis score, decreased forced vital capacity (FVC), forced expiratory volume in 1s (FEV1), albumin, A/G, glomerular filtration rate (GFR) and tumor necrosis factor α (TNFα), high titer of anti-MDA5, proteinuria, high levels of monocyte, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), ferritin (FER), neuron specific enolase (NSE) and glucocorticoid, antibiotic, antiviral, and non-invasive positive pressure ventilation (NPPV). The multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that duration, fever, PE, TCTs and aspartate transaminase (AST) were independent predictors of poor prognosis in patients with MDA5⁺DM-ILD. The nomogram model quantified the risk of 400-day death as: duration ≤ 4 months (5 points), fever (88 points), PE (21 points), TCTs ≥10 points (22 points), and AST ≥200 U/L (100 points) with high predictive accuracy and convenience. The ROC curves possessed good discriminative ability for combination of fever, PE, TCTs, and AST, as reflected by the area under curve (AUC) being.954, 95% CI 0.902-1.000, and sensitivity and specificity being 84.2 and 94.6%, respectively.

Conclusion

We demonstrated that duration, fever, PE, TCTs, and AST could be integrated together to be independent predictors of poor prognosis in MDA5⁺ DM-ILD with highly predictive accuracy.

SUBMITTER: Niu Q

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9240232 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:BackgroundSystemic sclerosis (SSc) is a rare connective tissue disease associated with rapid evolving interstitial lung disease (SSc-ILD), driving its mortality. Specific biomarkers associated with the evolution of the lung disease are highly needed. We aimed to identify specific biomarkers of SSc-ILD to predict the evolution of the disease. Nucleosomes are stable DNA/protein complexes that are shed into the blood stream making them ideal candidates for biomarkers.MethodsWe studied circulating cell-free nucleosomes (cf-nucleosomes) in SSc patients, 31 with ILD (SSc-ILD) and 67 without ILD. We analyzed plasma levels for cf-nucleosomes and investigated whether global circulating nucleosome levels in association with or without other biomarkers of interest for systemic sclerosis or lung fibrosis (e.g., serum growth factors: IGFBP-1 and the MMP enzyme: MMP-9), could be suitable potential biomarkers for the correct identification of SSc-ILD disease.ResultsWe found that H3.1 nucleosome levels were significantly higher in patients with SSc-ILD compared SSc patients without ILD (p < 0.05) and levels of MMP-9 were significantly increased in patients with SSc-ILD compared to SSc patients without ILD (p < 0.05). Conversely, IGFBP-1 was significantly reduced in patients with SSc-ILD compared to SSc without ILD (p < 0.001). The combination of cf-nucleosomes H3.1 coupled to MMP-9 and IGFBP-1 increased the sensitivity for the differential detection of SSc-ILD. High levels of accuracy were reached with this combined model: its performances are strong with 68.4% of positive predictive value and 77.2% of negative predictive value for 90% of specificity. With our model, we identified a significant negative correlation with FVC % pred (r = -0.22) and TLC % pred (r = -0.31). The value of our model at T1 (baseline) has a predictive power over the Rodnan score at T2 (after 6-18 months), showed by a significant linear regression with R2 = 19% (p = 0.013). We identified in the sole group of SSc-ILD patients a significant linear regression with a R2 = 54.4% with the variation of DLCO between T1 and T2 (p < 0.05).ConclusionIn our study, we identified a new blood-based model with nucleosomic biomarker in order to diagnose SSc-ILD in a SSc cohort. This model is correlated with TLC and FVC at baseline and predictive of the skin evolution and the DLCO. Further longitudinal exploration studies should be performed in order to evaluate the potential of such diagnostic and predictive model.

Project description:ObjectiveN6-methyladenosine (m6A) mRNA modification triggers malignant behaviors of tumor cells and thereby drives malignant progression in gastric cancer (GC). However, data regarding the prognostic values of m6A RNA methylation-related long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) in GC are very limited in the literature. We aimed to investigate the prognostic potential of m6A-related lncRNAs in predicting prognosis and monitoring immunotherapy efficacy in GC patients.MethodsTranscriptome and clinical data were obtained from GC biopsies from Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). M6A-related lncRNAs associated with GC were identified by constructing a co-expression network, and the gene pairs differentially expressed in GC were selected using univariate analysis. We constructed a risk model based on prognosis-related lncRNA pairs selected using the LASSO algorithm and quantified the best cutoff by comparing the area under the curve (AUC) for risk stratification. A risk model with the optimal discrimination between high- and low-risk GC patients was established. Its feasibility for overall survival prediction and discrimination of clinicopathological features, tumor-infiltrating immune cells, and biomarkers of immune checkpoint inhibitors between high- and low-risk groups were assessed.ResultsFinally, we identified 11 m6A-related lncRNA pairs associated with GC prognosis based on transcriptome analysis of 375 GC specimens and 32 normal tissues. A risk model was constructed with an AUC of 0.8790. We stratified GC patients into high- and low-risk groups at a cutoff of 1.442. As expected, patients in the low-risk group had longer overall survival versus the high-risk group. Infiltration of cancer-associated fibroblasts, endothelial cells, macrophages, particularly M2 macrophages, and monocytes was more severe in high-risk patients than low-risk individuals, who exhibited high CD4+ Th1 cell infiltration in GC. Altered expressions of immune-related genes were observed in both groups. PD-1 and LAG3 expressions were found higher in low-risk patients than high-risk patients. Immunotherapy, either single or combined use of PD-1 or CTLA4 inhibitors, had better efficacy in low-risk patients than high-risk patients.ConclusionThe new risk model based on a 11-m6A-related lncRNA signature can serve as an independent predictor for GC prognosis prediction and may aid in the development of personalized immunotherapy strategies for patients.

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A New Predictive Model for the Prognosis of MDA5⁺ DM-ILD.

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Methods

Results

Conclusion

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A New Predictive Model for the Prognosis of MDA5⁺ DM-ILD.