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Relationship between the triglyceride-glucose index and risk of cardiovascular diseases and mortality in the general population: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index is a new alternative measure for insulin resistance. This meta-analysis was conducted to assess the associations of the TyG index with the risks of cardiovascular diseases and mortality in the general population.

Methods

The PubMed, Cochrane Library and Embase databases were searched for randomized controlled trials or observational cohort studies reporting associations of the TyG index with cardiovascular diseases and mortality from inception to April 16, 2022. Effect sizes were pooled using random-effects models. Robust error meta-regression methods were applied to fit nonlinear dose-response associations. Evidence quality levels and recommendations were assessed using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation system (GRADE).

Results

Twelve cohort studies (6 prospective and 6 retrospective cohorts) involving 6,354,990 participants were included in this meta-analysis. Compared with the lowest TyG index category, the highest TyG index was related to a higher incidence of coronary artery disease (CAD) (3 studies; hazard ratio [HR] = 2.01; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.68-2.40; I² = 0%), myocardial infarction (MI) (2 studies; HR = 1.36; 95% CI 1.18-1.56; I² = 35%), and composite cardiovascular disease (CVD) (5 studies; HR = 1.46; 95% CI 1.23-1.74; I² = 82%). However, there was no association between the TyG index and mortality (cardiovascular mortality [3 studies; HR = 1.10; 95% CI 0.82-1.47; I² = 76%] or all-cause mortality [4 studies; HR = 1.08; 95% CI 0.92-1.27; I² = 87%]). In the dose-response analysis, there was a linear association of the TyG index with the risk of CAD (P_nonlinear = 0.3807) or CVD (P_nonlinear = 0.0612). GRADE assessment indicated very low certainty for CVD, MI, cardiovascular mortality and all-cause mortality, and moderate certainty for CAD.

Conclusions

Based on our current evidence, a higher TyG index may be associated with an increased incidence of CAD (moderate certainty), MI (very low certainty) and CVD (very low certainty) in the general population. There is a potential linear association of the TyG index with CAD and the composite CVD incidence. Further prospective studies (especially in non-Asians) are needed to confirm our findings.

SUBMITTER: Liu X

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9250255 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:BackgroundPrevious studies has shown a significant relationship between baseline triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and subsequent cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, the effect of longitudinal changes in TyG index on the risk of CVD remains uncertain. This study aimed to investigate the association between change in TyG index and the risk of CVD in the general population.MethodsThe current study included 62,443 Chinese population who were free of CVD. The TyG index was calculated as ln [fasting triglyceride (mg/dL) × fasting glucose (mg/dL)/2], and change in TyG index was defined as the difference between the TyG index in 2010 and that in 2006. Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazard models and restricted cubic spline analysis were used to examine the association between change in TyG index and the risk of CVD.ResultsDuring a median follow-up of 7.01 years, 2530 (4.05%) incident CVD occurred, including 2018 (3.23%) incident stroke and 545 (0.87%) incident myocardial infarction (MI). The risk of developing CVD increased with the quartile of change in TyG index, after adjustment for multiple potential confounders, the hazard ratios for the Q4 group versus the Q1 group were 1.37 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.21-1.54) for the overall CVD, 1.38 (95% CI, 1.19-1.60) for stroke, and 1.36 (95% CI, 1.05-1.76) for MI. Restricted cubic spline analysis also showed a cumulative increase in the risk of CVD with increases in the magnitude of change in TyG index. The addition of change in TyG index to a baseline risk model for CVD improved the C-statistics (P = 0.0097), integrated discrimination improvement value (P < 0.0001), and category-free net reclassification improvement value (P < 0.0001). Similar results were observed for stroke and MI.ConclusionsSubstantial changes in TyG index independently predict the risk of CVD in the general population. Monitoring long-term changes in TyG may assist with in the early identification of individuals at high risk of CVD.

Project description:BackgroundTriglyceride-glucose (TyG) index was recently suggested to be a reliable surrogate marker of insulin resistance. We aim to investigate the associations between baseline and long-term TyG index with subsequent stroke and its subtypes in a community-based cohort.MethodsA total of 97,653 participants free of history of stroke in the Kailuan Study were included. TyG index was calculated as ln (fasting triglyceride [mg/dL] × fasting glucose [mg/dL]/2). Baseline TyG index was measured during 2006-2007. Updated cumulative average TyG index used all available TyG index from baseline to the outcome events of interest or the end of follow up. The outcome was the first occurrence of stroke, including ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage and subarachnoid hemorrhage. The associations of TyG index with outcomes were explored with Cox regression.ResultsDuring a median of 11.02 years of follow-up, 5122 participants developed stroke of whom 4277 were ischemic stroke, 880 intracerebral hemorrhage, and 144 subarachnoid hemorrhage. After adjusting for confounding variables, compared with participants in the lowest quartile of baseline TyG index, those in the third and fourth quartile were associated with an increased risk of stroke (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.22, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.12-1.33, and adjusted HR 1.32, 95% CI 1.21-1.44, respectively, P for trend < 0.001). We also found a linear association between baseline TyG index with stroke. Similar results were found for ischemic stroke. However, no significant associations were observed between baseline TyG index and risk of intracranial hemorrhage. Parallel results were observed for the associations of updated cumulative average TyG index with outcomes.ConclusionsElevated levels of both baseline and long-term updated cumulative average TyG index can independently predict stroke and ischemic stroke but not intracerebral hemorrhage in the general population during an 11-year follow-up.

Project description:Background: Insulin resistance (IR) represents a critical regulator in the development and progress of coronary artery disease (CAD). Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index, a novel surrogate biomarker of IR, has been implicated in several cardiovascular diseases. Accordingly, we conduct a meta-analysis to elucidate the relationship between TyG index and adverse cardiovascular events in patients with CAD. Methods: To identify the studies examining the predictive capacity of the TyG index for adverse cardiovascular events in the setting of CAD, we performed a comprehensive literature retrieval of Scopus, PubMed, EMBASE, and Web of Science, from the inception of databases to October 5, 2021. We pooled the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) along with 95% CI using a random-effects model. The primary outcome was a composite of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), including all-cause death, cardiovascular death (CV death), myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, hospitalization for unstable angina or heart failure, and revascularization. The secondary outcomes were all-cause death, CV death, MI, stroke, and revascularization. Additionally, we conducted subgroup analyses stratified by diabetes status, age, body mass index (BMI), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), category of TyG index, sample size, follow-up duration, and study design. Results: About 12 studies involving 28,795 patients with CAD were finally taken into the quantitative analysis. Our findings showed that there was a 2.14-fold higher risk of MACEs among CAD populations in the highest TyG group compared with those in the lowest TyG group (HR: 2.14, 95% CI: 1.69-2.71, P < 0.001). A greater risk of MACEs was observed in participants with higher BMI than those with lower BMI (P = 0.03 for interaction). In the analysis of secondary outcomes, we also observed a markedly increased risk of MI, stroke, and revascularization in the highest TyG group compared with the lowest TyG group. No evidence of a significant association between TyG index and CV mortality or all-cause mortality in patients with CAD was identified. Conclusions: The elevated TyG index is a promising predictive factor of adverse cardiovascular events in patients with CAD. Systematic Review Registration: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO, identifier: CRD42021228521.