Dataset Information

Cognitive Trajectories in Community-Dwelling Older Adults and Incident Dementia, Disability and Death: A 10-Year Longitudinal Study

ABSTRACT:

Objective

The inter-individual variability in cognitive changes may be early indicators of major health events. We aimed to determine whether late-life cognitive trajectories were associated with incident dementia, persistent physical disability and all-cause mortality.

Methods

Data came from a cohort of older community-dwelling individuals aged 70 years or above in Australia and the United States. Global cognition, verbal fluency, episodic memory and psychomotor speed were assessed regularly at up to seven waves between 2010 and 2017. Dementia, disability in activities of daily living, and death were adjudicated between 2017 and 2020. Latent classes of cognitive trajectories over seven years were determined using group-based trajectory modeling. Multivariable logistic regression was used for the prospective associations between cognitive trajectories and these outcomes.

Results

Cognitive trajectories were defined for 16,174 participants (mean age: 78.9 years; 56.7% female) who were alive and without incident dementia or disability by 2017, among which 14,655 participants were included in the association analysis. Between three and five trajectory classes were identified depending on the cognitive test. Cognitive trajectories were strongly associated with the risk of dementia. For example, compared to those in the highest-functioning trajectory, the worst performers of episodic memory had a 37-fold increased risk of dementia (95% CI: 17.23–82.64). The lowest trajectories of both global cognition and episodic memory also predicted increased mortality risk (OR: 1.80, 95% CI: 1.28–2.52; OR: 1.61, 95% CI: 1.09–2.36, respectively), while only slow psychomotor speed was marginally associated with physical disability (OR: 2.39, 95% CI: 0.99–5.77).

Conclusions

In older individuals, cognitive trajectories appear to be early indicators of clinically relevant health outcomes. Systematic cognitive assessments as part of routine geriatric evaluation may facilitate early identification and interventions for those individuals at highest risk.

SUBMITTER: Wu Z

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9271785 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Similar Datasets

Project description:BackgroundAlthough multimorbidity is a risk factor for disability, the relationship between the accumulative patterns of multimorbidity and disability remains poorly understood. The objective of this study was to identify the latent groups of multimorbidity trajectories among mid to older age adults and to examine their associations with incident disability.MethodsWe included 5,548 participants aged ≥ 45 years who participated in the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study from 2011 to 2018 and had no multimorbidity (≥ 2 chronic conditions) at baseline. The group-based multi-trajectory modeling was used to identify distinct trajectory groups of multimorbidity based on the latent dimensions underlying 13 chronic conditions. The association between multimorbidity trajectories and incident disability was analyzed using the generalized estimating equation model adjusting for potential confounders.ResultsOf the 5,548 participants included in the current analysis, 2,407 (43.39%) developed multimorbidity during the follow-up. Among participants with new-onset multimorbidity, four trajectory groups were identified according to the combination of newly diagnosed diseases: "Cardiometabolic" (N = 821, 34.11%), "Digestive-arthritic" (N = 753, 31.28%), "Cardiometabolic/Brain" (N = 618, 25.68%), and "Respiratory" (N = 215, 8.93%). Compared to participants who did not develop multimorbidity, the risk of incident disability was most significantly increased in the "Cardiometabolic/Brain" trajectory group (OR = 2.05, 95% CI: 1.55-2.70), followed by the "Cardiometabolic" (OR = 1.96, 95% CI: 1.52 -2.53) and "Digestive-arthritic" (OR = 1.70, 95% CI: 1.31-2.20) trajectory groups.ConclusionsThe growing burden of multimorbidity, especially the comorbid of cardiometabolic and brain diseases, may be associated with a significantly increased risk of disability for mid to older age adults. These findings improve our understanding of multimorbidity patterns that affect the independence of living and inform the development of strategies for the primary prevention of disability.

Project description:ABSTRACT Age?related bone loss is common in older adults. However, the association of low bone mass with incident disability and mortality is not well established. A sample of 738 participants in the Rush Memory and Aging Project (MAP) was evaluated at baseline for bone mineral density (BMD) using quantitative ultrasound at the calcaneus. An annual interview assessed basic activities of daily living (BADL), instrumental activities of daily living (IADL), mobility disability, and history of hip fracture. The associations between baseline BMD and risk of death; incident BADL, IADL, and mobility disability; and hip fracture were investigated using Cox hazard models, adjusting for age, sex, education, race, and body mass index (BMI). The robustness of our findings was evaluated by adjusting for confounding factors and health conditions including joint pain, musculoskeletal medications, smoking status, motor function, global cognition, falls, cardiovascular events, and diabetes. Participants were on average (mean ± SD) 80.9 ±?7.0?years old, 72% female, and 3.8% black, with a baseline BMI of 27.3 ±?5.4 kg/m2, and a baseline of BMD of 0.44 ±?0.14?g/cm2. In models adjusted for age, sex, education, race, and BMI, lower BMD was associated with a higher rate of death (hazard ratio [HR] 1.20; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.08–1.33), incident BADL disability (HR 1.20; 95% CI, 1.05–1.37), and hip fracture (HR 2.57; 95% CI, 1.72–3.82), but not of IADL disability (HR 1.00; 95% CI, 0.85–1.17) or mobility disability (HR 1.13; 95% CI, 0.97–1.32). The association between BMD and mortality was not significant in fully adjusted models, but the BMD and BADL associations remained significant in models adjusting for both demographic variables and BMD?modifying health conditions. BMD is associated with incident disability in older adults. © 2020 The Authors. JBMR Plus published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.

Project description:BackgroundThe relationship between leisure activities (LA) in old age and prevention of disability has not been fully investigated, and age and gender differences of these relationships are unknown. This study aimed to investigate whether physical and cognitive LA predicted incident disability among community-dwelling older adults by age and gender.MethodsWe prospectively observed 8,275 residents aged 65 or above without disability at baseline for 3 years. Incident disability was defined as a new certification of the public long-term care insurance system. LA were classified into two types: physical LA and cognitive LA. The frequency of LA was categorized into frequent (i.e., once a week or more), moderate (i.e., monthly or yearly), and non-engagement. Covariates included age, gender, family number, education, perceived economic situation, body mass index, chronic medical conditions, alcohol consumption, smoking status, regular dental visits, depression, cognitive functioning, and social participation. Multivariable Poisson regression models were used to estimate adjusted cumulative incidence ratio (CIR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for incident disability. We performed stratified analyses by age groups (i.e., the young-old aged 65-74 and the old-old aged 75-97) and gender (i.e., men and women).ResultsThe 3-year cumulative incidence of disability was 7.5%. After adjustment for covariates and mutual adjustment for both types of LA, a significant dose-response relationship between more frequent LA and lower risk of incident disability was found in young-old physical LA (P-trend < 0.001), in old-old cognitive LA (P-trend = 0.012), in male cognitive LA (P-trend = 0.006), and in female physical LA (P-trend = 0.030). Compared with people without LA, adjusted CIR (95% CI) of frequent LA was 0.47 (0.30-0.74) in young-old physical, 0.75 (0.58-0.96) in old-old cognitive, 0.65 (0.46-0.89) in male cognitive, and 0.70 (0.52-0.95) in female physical. Regarding the effect modification according to age and gender, only interaction between age and physical LA significantly prevented incident disability (P for interaction = 0.019).ConclusionWe found age differences in the association of physical LA with incident disability among community-dwelling older adults. An effective measure to prevent long-term care in the community would be to recommend frequent physical LA for the young-old.

Project description:BackgroundAlthough multiple medications are often utilized to achieve optimal treatment outcomes, polypharmacy (use of five or more medications) among older population is associated with several detrimental effects. Trajectories of polypharmacy among older population over time has not been described.ObjectiveThis study estimated polypharmacy prevalence and clusters of individuals with similar patterns of change in polypharmacy among a cohort of older Australian women with and without dementia.MethodLongitudinal prospective cohort data from the oldest birth cohort (1921-1926) of the Australian Longitudinal Study on women's Health (ALSWH) were analysed. Survey data were linked with Pharmaceutical Benefit Schemes (PBS) data to obtain information about the type and number of prescription medications for each year 2003-2015. Group based trajectory modelling was used to identify distinct trajectory groups, based on the presence of polypharmacy for each year of observation. Trajectories were named based on distinctive and meaningful subgroups that followed approximately the same developmental course and probability assignment rule. Generalized estimating equation was used to identify factors associated with polypharmacy.ResultsA total of 10,372 women were eligible for the inclusion in the study. Prevalence of polypharmacy increased over time and reached as high as 71.19% and 71.29% in 2014 for women with and without dementia, respectively. Four distinct polypharmacy trajectories were identified: 'Consistent Polypharmacy' (55.88%);'Low Polypharmacy' (24.52%); 'Rapid Increasing Polypharmacy' (12.50%); and 'Moderate Polypharmacy' (7.12%). Dementia, Residential Aged Care (RAC), frailty and comorbid condition were the key drivers of polypharmacy in this cohort.ConclusionThe prevalence of polypharmacy among older women increased over time, with most women have a pattern of consistent polypharmacy or rapidly increasing polypharmacy. Appropriate, sustainable, and effective strategies for reducing medication use should be implemented for women as they age, and particularly for those with dementia and those in residential care.