Dataset Information

Development and validation of a prognostic scoring model to risk stratify childhood acute myeloid leukaemia.

ABSTRACT: To create a personal prognostic model and modify the risk stratification of paediatric acute myeloid leukaemia, we downloaded the clinical data of 597 patients from the Therapeutically Applicable Research to Generate Effective Treatments (TARGET) database as a training set and included 189 patients from our centre as a validation set. In the training set, age at diagnosis, -7/del(7q) or -5/del(5q), core binding factor fusion genes, FMS-like tyrosine kinase 3-internal tandem duplication (FLT3-ITD)/nucleophosmin 1 (NPM1) status, Wilms tumour 1 (WT1) mutation, biallelic CCAAT enhancer binding protein alpha (CEBPA) mutation were strongly correlated with overall survival and included to construct the model. The prognostic model demonstrated excellent discriminative ability with the Harrell's concordance index of 0.68, 3- and 5-year area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.71 and 0.72 respectively. The model was validated in the validation set and outperformed existing prognostic systems. Additionally, patients were stratified into three risk groups (low, intermediate and high risk) with significantly distinct prognosis, and the model successfully identified candidates for haematopoietic stem cell transplantation. The newly developed prognostic model showed robust ability and utility in survival prediction and risk stratification, which could be helpful in modifying treatment selection in clinical routine.

SUBMITTER: Li J

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9543487 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Development and validation of a prognostic scoring model to risk stratify childhood acute myeloid leukaemia.

Li Jun J Liu Lipeng L Zhang Ranran R Wan Yang Y Gong Xiaowen X Zhang Li L Yang Wenyu W Chen Xiaojuan X Zou Yao Y Chen Yumei Y Guo Ye Y Ruan Min M Zhu Xiaofan X

British journal of haematology 20220725 6

To create a personal prognostic model and modify the risk stratification of paediatric acute myeloid leukaemia, we downloaded the clinical data of 597 patients from the Therapeutically Applicable Research to Generate Effective Treatments (TARGET) database as a training set and included 189 patients from our centre as a validation set. In the training set, age at diagnosis, -7/del(7q) or -5/del(5q), core binding factor fusion genes, FMS-like tyrosine kinase 3-internal tandem duplication (FLT3-ITD ...[more]

PMID: 35880261

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Project description:Background: Emerging evidence has proven that ferroptosis plays an important role in the development of acute myeloid leukemia (AML), whereas the exact role of ferroptosis-associated genes in AML patients' prognosis remained unclear. Materials and Methods: Gene expression profiles and corresponding clinical information of AML cases were obtained from the TCGA (TCGA-LAML), GEO (GSE71014), and TARGET databases (TARGET-AML). Patients in the TCGA cohort were well-grouped into two clusters based on ferroptosis-related genes, and differentially expressed genes were screened between the two clusters. Univariate Cox and LASSO regression analyses were applied to select prognosis-related genes for the construction of a prognostic risk-scoring model. Survival analysis was analyzed by Kaplan-Meier and receiver operator characteristic curves. Furthermore, we explored the correlation of the prognostic risk-scoring model with immune infiltration and chemotherapy response. Risk gene expression level was detected by quantitative reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction. Results: Eighteen signature genes, including ZSCAN4, ASTN1, CCL23, DLL3, EFNB3, FAM155B, FOXL1, HMX2, HRASLS, LGALS1, LHX6, MXRA5, PCDHB12, PRINS, TMEM56, TWIST1, ZFPM2, and ZNF560, were developed to construct a prognostic risk-scoring model. AML patients could be grouped into high- and low-risk groups, and low-risk patients showed better survival than high-risk patients. Area under the curve values of 1, 3, and 5 years were 0.81, 0.827, and 0.786 in the training set, respectively, indicating a good predictive efficacy. In addition, age and risk score were the independent prognostic factors after univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. A nomogram containing clinical factors and prognostic risk-scoring model was constructed to better estimate individual survival. Further analyses demonstrated that risk score was associated with the immune infiltration and response to chemotherapy. Our experiment data revealed that LGALS1 and TMEM56 showed notably decreased expression in AML samples than that of the normal samples. Conclusion: Our study shows that the prognostic risk-scoring model and key risk gene may provide potential prognostic biomarkers and therapeutic option for AML patients.

Project description:Risk classification in pediatric acute myeloid leukemia (P-AML) is crucial for personalizing treatments. Thus, we aimed to establish a risk-stratification tool for P-AML patients and eventually guide individual treatment. A total of 256 P-AML patients with accredited mRNA-seq data from the TARGET database were divided into training and internal validation datasets. A gene-expression-based prognostic score was constructed for overall survival (OS), by using univariate Cox analysis, LASSO regression analysis, Kaplan-Meier (K-M) survival, and multivariate Cox analysis. A P-AML-5G prognostic score bioinformatically derived from expression levels of 5 genes (ZNF775, RNFT1, CRNDE, COL23A1, and TTC38), clustered P-AML patients in training dataset into high-risk group (above optimal cut-off) with shorter OS, and low-risk group (below optimal cut-off) with longer OS (p < 0.0001). Meanwhile, similar results were obtained in internal validation dataset (p = 0.005), combination dataset (p < 0.001), two treatment sub-groups (p < 0.05), intermediate-risk group defined with the Children's Oncology Group (COG) (p < 0.05) and an external Japanese P-AML dataset (p = 0.005). The model was further validated in the COG study AAML1031(p = 0.001), and based on transcriptomic analysis of 943 pediatric patients and 70 normal bone marrow samples from this dataset, two genes in the model demonstrated significant differential expression between the groups [all log2(foldchange) > 3, p < 0.001]. Independent of other prognostic factors, the P-AML-5G groups presented the highest concordance-index values in training dataset, chemo-therapy only treatment subgroups of the training and internal validation datasets, and whole genome-sequencing subgroup of the combined dataset, outperforming two Children's Oncology Group (COG) risk stratification systems, 2022 European LeukemiaNet (ELN) risk classification tool and two leukemic stem cell expression-based models. The 5-gene prognostic model generated by a single assay can further refine the current COG risk stratification system that relies on numerous tests and may have the potential for the risk judgment and identification of the high-risk pediatric AML patients receiving chemo-therapy only treatment.

Dataset Information

Development and validation of a prognostic scoring model to risk stratify childhood acute myeloid leukaemia.

Publications

Development and validation of a prognostic scoring model to risk stratify childhood acute myeloid leukaemia.

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