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Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on liver disease-related mortality rates in the United States.


ABSTRACT:

Background

The pandemic has resulted in an increase of deaths not directly related to COVID-19 infection. We aimed to use a national death dataset to determine the impact of the pandemic on people with liver disease in the U.S, focusing on alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD).

Methods

Using data from the National Vital Statistic System from the CDC WONDER platform and ICD-10 codes, we identified deaths associated with liver disease. We evaluated observed versus predicted mortality for 2020-2021 based on trends from 2010-2019 with joinpoint and prediction modeling analysis.

Results

Among 626,090 chronic liver disease-related deaths between 2010 and 2021, Age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) for ALD dramatically increased between 2010-2019 and 2020-2021 (annual percentage change [APC] 3.5% to 17.6%, P<0.01), leading to a higher observed ASMR (per 100,000 persons) than predicted for 2020 (15.67 vs.13.04) and 2021 (17.42 vs.13.41). ASMR for NAFLD also increased during the pandemic (APC:14.5%), while the rates for hepatitis B and C decreased. Notably, the ASMR rise for ALD was most pronounced in non-Hispanic Whites, Blacks, and Alaska Indians/Native Americans (APC: 11.7%, 10.8%, 18.0%, all P<0.05), with similar but less critical findings for NAFLD while rates were steady for non-Hispanic Asians throughout 2010-2021 (APC: 4.9%). The ASMR rise for ALD was particularly severe for the 25-44 age group (APC: 34.6%, versus 13.7% and 12.6% for 45-64 and ≥65, all P<0.01), which were also all higher than pre-COVID-19 rates (all P<0.01).

Conclusions

ASMR for ALD and NAFLD increased at an alarming rate during the COVID-19 pandemic with the largest disparities among the young, non-Hispanic White, and Alaska Indian/Native American populations.

Lay summary

The impact of the pandemic on people with liver disease in the U.S remains unclear. This study indicated that age-standardized mortality rates for alcohol associated liver disease and non-alcohol fatty liver disease greatly accelerated during the COVID-19 pandemic with the largest disparities among the young, non-Hispanic White, and Alaska Indian/Native American populations. Increasing awareness about the care importance of chronic liver disease in specific populations must be prioritized.

SUBMITTER: Gao X 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9611810 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on liver disease-related mortality rates in the United States.

Gao Xu X   Lv Fan F   He Xinyuan X   Zhao Yunyu Y   Liu Yi Y   Zu Jian J   Henry Linda L   Wang Jinhai J   Yeo Yee Hui YH   Ji Fanpu F   Nguyen Mindie H MH  

Journal of hepatology 20220818 1


<h4>Background & aims</h4>The pandemic has resulted in an increase of deaths not directly related to COVID-19 infection. We aimed to use a national death dataset to determine the impact of the pandemic on people with liver disease in the USA, focusing on alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD).<h4>Methods</h4>Using data from the National Vital Statistic System from the Center for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologi  ...[more]

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