Dataset Information

13 C-Methacetin Breath Test Predicts Survival in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma Undergoing Transarterial Chemoembolization.

ABSTRACT:

Introduction

The 13 C-methacetin breath test ( 13 C-MBT) is a dynamic method for assessing liver function. This proof-of-concept study aimed to investigate the association between 13 C-MBT values and outcomes in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).

Methods

A total of 30 patients with HCC were prospectively recruited. Of these, 25 were included in baseline and 20 in longitudinal analysis. 13 C-MBTs were performed before the first and second TACE session. Patients were followed for at least 1 year.

Results

At baseline, the median 13 C-MBT value was 261 μg/kg/hr (interquartile range 159-387). 13 C-MBT, albumin-bilirubin, Child-Pugh, and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease scores were associated with overall survival in extended univariable Cox regression ( 13 C-MBT: standardized hazard ratio [sHR] 0.297, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.111-0.796; albumin-bilirubin score: sHR 4.051, 95% CI 1.813-9.052; Child-Pugh score: sHR 2.616, 95% CI 1.450-4.719; Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score: sHR 2.781, 95% CI 1.356-5.703). Using a cutoff of 140 μg/kg/hr at baseline, 13 C-MBT was associated with prognosis (median overall survival 28.5 months [95% CI 0.0-57.1] vs 3.5 months [95% CI 0.0-8.1], log-rank P < 0.001). Regarding prediction of 90-day mortality after second 13 C-MBT, the relative change in 13 C-MBT values yielded an area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve of 1.000 ( P = 0.007).

Discussion

Baseline and longitudinal 13 C-MBT values predict survival of patients with HCC undergoing TACE. The relative change in 13 C-MBT values predicts short-term mortality and may assist in identifying patients who will not benefit from further TACE treatment.

SUBMITTER: Gairing SJ

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9624494 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

13 C-Methacetin Breath Test Predicts Survival in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma Undergoing Transarterial Chemoembolization.

Gairing Simon Johannes SJ Kuchen Robert R Müller Lukas L Cankaya Alper A Weerts Jan J Kapucu Akin A Sachse Simon S Zimpel Carolin C Stoehr Fabian F Pitton Michael B MB Mittler Jens J Straub Beate Katharina BK Marquardt Jens Uwe JU Schattenberg Jörn M JM Labenz Christian C Kloeckner Roman R Weinmann Arndt A Galle Peter Robert PR Wörns Marcus-Alexander MA Foerster Friedrich F

Clinical and translational gastroenterology 20221001 10

<h4>Introduction</h4>The 13 C-methacetin breath test ( 13 C-MBT) is a dynamic method for assessing liver function. This proof-of-concept study aimed to investigate the association between 13 C-MBT values and outcomes in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).<h4>Methods</h4>A total of 30 patients with HCC were prospectively recruited. Of these, 25 were included in baseline and 20 in longitudinal analysis. 13 C-MBTs were performed before the ...[more]

PMID: 36087052

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Project description:Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is the mainstay of treatment for patients with intermediate/advanced stage or unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Despite the palliative nature of TACE treatment, embolizing the tumor feeding vessels and leading to progressive tumor necrosis, complete response (CR) after TACE could still be observed in a certain population. Thus, this study aimed to investigate both the predictors for CR and the long-term prognosis of the patients with CR after TACE. The study recruited new diagnosed HCC patients initially treated with TACE from 2010 to 2013. Post TACE response was assessed by scheduled image studies according to the modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (mRECIST). Then, pre-TACE factors were compared between patients with and without CR. After the first session of TACE, 22.3% of the 669 TACE treated patients achieved CR. During a median of 26.6 months follow-up, patients with CR had better overall survival than those without (median: 35.8 vs. 24.0 months, P<0.001). By multivariate logistic regression analysis, Child-Turcotte-Pugh class B (OR: 0.419, P=0.005), tumor burden beyond up-to-7 criteria (OR: 0.118, P<0.001), bilobar tumor extent (OR: 0.236, P<0.001), higher alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level (≥20 ng/ml, OR: 0.614, P=0.039) and higher platelet counts (>150 k/μl, OR: 0.482, P=0.002) were unfavorable predictors for CR after first TACE. In addition, macrovascular invasion (HR: 3.113, P=0.001) and higher AFP levels (≥15 ng/ml, HR: 2.601, P=0.007) were predictors for early HCC recurrence whereas diabetes mellitus (DM) (HR: 2.166, P=0.006) was the only significant predictor for late HCC recurrence in CR patients. In conclusion, more than one-fifth of HCC patients achieved CR after first TACE and these patients had favorable prognosis. Furthermore, tailored post-TACE follow-up strategies shall be considered in patients with different risk factors of early or late recurrence after CR.

Project description:Patients with HCC receiving TACE have various clinical outcomes. Several prognostic models have been proposed to predict clinical outcomes for patients with hepatocellular carcinomas (HCC) undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE), but establishing an accurate prognostic model remains necessary. We aimed to develop a radiomics signature from pretreatment CT to establish a combined radiomics-clinic (CRC) model to predict survival for these patients. We compared this CRC model to the existing prognostic models in predicting patient survival. This retrospective study included multicenter data from 162 treatment-naïve patients with unresectable HCC undergoing TACE as an initial treatment from January 2007 and March 2017. We randomly allocated patients to a training cohort (n = 108) and a testing cohort (n = 54). Radiomics features were extracted from intra- and peritumoral regions on both the arterial phase and portal venous phase CT images. A radiomics signature (Rad-signature) for survival was constructed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method in the training cohort. We used univariate and multivariate Cox regressions to identify associations between the Rad- signature and clinical factors of survival. From these, a CRC model was developed, validated, and further compared with previously published prognostic models including four-and-seven criteria, six-and-twelve score, hepatoma arterial-embolization prognostic scores, and albumin-bilirubin grade. The CRC model incorporated two variables: The Rad-signature (composed of features extracted from intra- and peritumoral regions on the arterial phase and portal venous phase) and tumor number. The CRC model performed better than the other seven well-recognized prognostic models, with concordance indices of 0.73 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.68-0.79] and 0.70 [95% CI 0.62-0.82] in the training and testing cohorts, respectively. Among the seven models tested, the six-and-12 score and four-and-seven criteria performed better than the other models, with C-indices of 0.64 [95% CI 0.58-0.70] and 0.65 [95% CI 0.55-0.75] in the testing cohort, respectively. The CT radiomics signature represents an independent biomarker of survival in patients with HCC undergoing TACE, and the CRC model displayed improved predictive performance.

Project description:IntroductionThe prognosis of patients undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is extremely variable, and a confounding factor is that TACE is often repeated several times. We retrospectively evaluated the accuracy of different prognostic scores and staging systems in estimating overall survival (OS) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).MethodsAn analysis considering prognostic models as time-varying variables was performed, calculating OS from the time of TACE to the time of the subsequent treatment. Total follow-up time for each patient was therefore split into several observation times accounting for each TACE procedure. Values of the likelihood ratio test (LRT) and Akaike information criterion (AIC) were used to compare different systems. Univariable and multivariable analyses were conducted to identify additional factors predictive of OS. We analyzed 1,610 TACE performed in 1,058 patients recorded in the Italian Liver Cancer database from 2008 through 2016.ResultsThe median OS of the enrolled patients was 41 months. According to LRT χ2 and AIC values based on the time-varying analysis, mHAP-III achieved the best values (41.72 and 4,625.49, respectively, p < 0.0001), indicating the highest predictive performance compared with all other scores (HAP, mHAP-II, ALBI, and pALBI) and staging systems (MELD, ITALICA, CLIP, MESH, MESIAH, JIS, HKLC, and BCLC). In the multivariable Cox proportional hazards model, mHAP-III maintained an independent effect on OS (hazard ratio 1.31, 95% CI: 1.10-1.55, p < 0.0001). Time-varying age, alcoholic etiology, radiologic response to TACE, and performing ablation or surgery after TACE were additional significant variables resulting from the multivariable model.ConclusionAn innovative time-varying analysis revealed that mHAP-III was the most accurate model in predicting OS in patients with HCC undergoing TACE. Other clinical pre- and post-TACE variables were also found to be relevant for this prediction.

Dataset Information

13 C-Methacetin Breath Test Predicts Survival in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma Undergoing Transarterial Chemoembolization.

Introduction

Methods

Results

Discussion

Publications

13 C-Methacetin Breath Test Predicts Survival in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma Undergoing Transarterial Chemoembolization.

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