Dataset Information

What happened during COVID-19 in African ICUs? An observational study of pulmonary co-infections, superinfections, and mortality in Morocco.

ABSTRACT:

Background

There is a growing literature showing that critically ill COVID-19 patients have an increased risk of pulmonary co-infections and superinfections. However, studies in developing countries, especially African countries, are lacking. The objective was to describe the prevalence of bacterial co-infections and superinfections in critically ill adults with severe COVID-19 pneumonia in Morocco, the micro-organisms involved, and the impact of these infections on survival.

Methods

This retrospective study included severe COVID-19 patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) between April 2020 and April 2021. The diagnosis of pulmonary co-infections and superinfections was based on the identification of pathogens from lower respiratory tract samples. Co-infection was defined as the identification of a respiratory pathogen, diagnosed concurrently with SARS-Cov2 pneumonia. Superinfections include hospital-acquired pneumonia (HAP) and ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP). A multivariate regression analysis was performed to identify factors independently associated with mortality.

Results

Data from 155 patients were analyzed. The median age was 68 years [62-72] with 87% of patients being male. A large proportion of patients (68%) received antibiotics before ICU admission. Regarding ventilatory management, the majority of patients (88%) underwent non-invasive ventilation (NIV). Sixty-five patients (42%) were placed under invasive mechanical ventilation, mostly after failure of NIV. The prevalence of co-infections, HAP and VAP was respectively 4%, 12% and 40% (64 VAP/1000 ventilation days). The most isolated pathogens were Enterobacterales for HAP and Acinetobacter sp. for VAP. The proportion of extra-drug resistant (XDR) bacteria was 78% for Acinetobacter sp. and 24% for Enterobacterales. Overall ICU mortality in this cohort was 64.5%. Patients with superinfection showed a higher risk of death (OR = 6.4, 95% CI: 1.8-22; p = 0.004).

Conclusions

In this single-ICU Moroccan COVID-19 cohort, bacterial co-infections were relatively uncommon. Conversely, high rates of superinfections were observed, with an increased frequency of antimicrobial resistance. Patients with superinfections showed a higher risk of death.

SUBMITTER: Aissaoui Y

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9714850 | biostudies-literature | 2022

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

What happened during COVID-19 in African ICUs? An observational study of pulmonary co-infections, superinfections, and mortality in Morocco.

Aissaoui Younes Y Ennassimi Youssef Y Myatt Ismail I El Bouhiaoui Mohammed M Nabil Mehdi M Bahi Mohammed M Arsalane Lamiae L Miloudi Mouhcine M Belhadj Ayoub A

PloS one 20221201 12

<h4>Background</h4>There is a growing literature showing that critically ill COVID-19 patients have an increased risk of pulmonary co-infections and superinfections. However, studies in developing countries, especially African countries, are lacking. The objective was to describe the prevalence of bacterial co-infections and superinfections in critically ill adults with severe COVID-19 pneumonia in Morocco, the micro-organisms involved, and the impact of these infections on survival.<h4>Methods< ...[more]

PMID: 36454978

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Project description:IntroductionIntensive Care Unit (ICU) risk prediction models are used to compare outcomes for quality improvement initiatives, benchmarking, and research. While such models provide robust tools in high-income countries, an ICU risk prediction model has not been validated in a low-income country where ICU population characteristics are different from those in high-income countries, and where laboratory-based patient data are often unavailable. We sought to validate the Mortality Probability Admission Model, version III (MPM0-III) in two public ICUs in Rwanda and to develop a new Rwanda Mortality Probability Model (R-MPM) for use in low-income countries.MethodsWe prospectively collected data on all adult patients admitted to Rwanda's two public ICUs between August 19, 2013 and October 6, 2014. We described demographic and presenting characteristics and outcomes. We assessed the discrimination and calibration of the MPM0-III model. Using stepwise selection, we developed a new logistic model for risk prediction, the R-MPM, and used bootstrapping techniques to test for optimism in the model.ResultsAmong 427 consecutive adults, the median age was 34 (IQR 25-47) years and mortality was 48.7%. Mechanical ventilation was initiated for 85.3%, and 41.9% received vasopressors. The MPM0-III predicted mortality with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.72 and Hosmer-Lemeshow chi-square statistic p = 0.024. We developed a new model using five variables: age, suspected or confirmed infection within 24 hours of ICU admission, hypotension or shock as a reason for ICU admission, Glasgow Coma Scale score at ICU admission, and heart rate at ICU admission. Using these five variables, the R-MPM predicted outcomes with area under the ROC curve of 0.81 with 95% confidence interval of (0.77, 0.86), and Hosmer-Lemeshow chi-square statistic p = 0.154.ConclusionsThe MPM0-III has modest ability to predict mortality in a population of Rwandan ICU patients. The R-MPM is an alternative risk prediction model with fewer variables and better predictive power. If validated in other critically ill patients in a broad range of settings, the model has the potential to improve the reliability of comparisons used for critical care research and quality improvement initiatives in low-income countries.

Dataset Information

What happened during COVID-19 in African ICUs? An observational study of pulmonary co-infections, superinfections, and mortality in Morocco.

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

What happened during COVID-19 in African ICUs? An observational study of pulmonary co-infections, superinfections, and mortality in Morocco.

Similar Datasets

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