Dataset Information

Associations of short- and long-term mortality with admission blood pressure in Chinese patients with different heart failure subtypes.

ABSTRACT: It remains unknown whether systolic (SBP) and diastolic (DBP) pressure on admission are associated with short- and long-term mortality in Chinese patients with heart failure with preserved (HFpEF), mildly reduced (HFmrEF), and reduced (HFrEF) ejection fraction. In 2706 HF patients (39.1% women; mean age, 68.8 years), we assessed the risk of 30-day, 1-year, and long-term (> 1 year) mortality with 1-SD increment in SBP and DBP, using multivariable logistic and Cox regression, respectively. During a median follow-up of 4.1 years, 1341 patients died. The 30-day, 1-year, and long-term mortality were 3.5%, 16.7%, and 39.4%, respectively. In multivariable-adjusted analyses additionally accounted for DBP or SBP, a higher SBP conferred a higher risk of long-term mortality (hazard ratio, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.02-1.22; p = .017) and a lower DBP was associated with a higher risk of all types of mortality (p ≤ .011) in all HF patients. Independent of potential confounders including DBP or SBP, in patients with HFpEF, higher SBP and lower DBP levels predicted a higher risk of long-term mortality with hazard ratios amounting to 1.16 (95% CI, 1.04-1.29; p = .007) and .89 (95% CI, .80-.99; p = .028), respectively. In patients with HFmrEF and HFrEF, irrespective of adjustments of potential confounders, DBP was associated with 1-year mortality with odds ratios ranging from .49 to .62 (p ≤ .006). In conclusion, lower DBP and higher SBP levels on admission were associated with a higher risk of different types of all-cause mortality in Chinese patients with different HF subtypes. Our observations highlight that admission BP may help to improve risk stratification.

SUBMITTER: Chen S

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9731597 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Associations of short- and long-term mortality with admission blood pressure in Chinese patients with different heart failure subtypes.

Chen Shilan S Liang Weihao W Wu Yuzhong Y Chen Xuwei X He Xin X Zhao Jingjing J He Jiangui J Dong Yugang Y Staessen Jan A JA Liu Chen C Wei Fang-Fei FF

Journal of clinical hypertension (Greenwich, Conn.) 20221102 12

It remains unknown whether systolic (SBP) and diastolic (DBP) pressure on admission are associated with short- and long-term mortality in Chinese patients with heart failure with preserved (HFpEF), mildly reduced (HFmrEF), and reduced (HFrEF) ejection fraction. In 2706 HF patients (39.1% women; mean age, 68.8 years), we assessed the risk of 30-day, 1-year, and long-term (> 1 year) mortality with 1-SD increment in SBP and DBP, using multivariable logistic and Cox regression, respectively. During ...[more]

PMID: 36321681

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Project description:IntroductionThere is a dearth of comprehensive studies on the association between serum electrolyte and adverse short-term prognosis of Chinese patients with acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF).Patients and methodsA total of 5166 patients with ADHF were divided into four serum electrolyte-related study populations (potassium (n = 5145), sodium (n = 5135), chloride (n = 4966), serum total calcium (STC) (n = 4143)) under corresponding exclusions. Different logistic regression models were utilized to gauge the association between these electrolytes or the number of electrolyte abnormalities and the risk of a composite of all-cause mortality or 30-day heart failure (HF) readmission.ResultsIn multivariable adjusted analysis, patients with potassium below 3.5 mmol/L (odds ratios (ORs) 1.45; 95% confidence interval (CI):1.07-1.95), 4.01-4.50 mmol/L (OR: 1.29, CI: 1.02-1.62), 4.51-5.00 mmol/L (OR: 1.43, CI: 1.08-1.90) and above 5.00 mmol/L (OR: 1.74, CI: 1.21-2.51) had an increased risk of outcome when compared with potassium at 3.50-4.00 mmol/L. Sodium levels were inversely related to the risk of a composite outcome (<130 mmol/L: OR: 2.73 (95% CI, 1.81-4.12); 130-134 mmol/L: OR, 1.97 (CI, 1.45-2.68); 135-140 mmol/L: OR, 1.45 (CI, 1.17-1.81); p for trend < 0.001) in comparison with sodium at 141-145 mmol/L. Chloride < 95 mmol/L corresponded to a higher risk of a composite outcome with an OR of 1.65 (95% CI, 1.16-2.37) in contrast to chloride levels at 101-105 mmol/L. In addition, the adjusted ORs (95% CI) for a composite outcome comparing the STC < 2.00 and 2.00-2.24 vs. 2.25-2.58 mmol/L were 0.98 (0.69-1.43) and 1.13 (0.89-1.44), respectively. Besides that, the number of electrolyte abnormalities was positively related to the risk of a composite outcome (N = 1, OR 1.40, 95% CI: 1.13-1.73; N = 2, OR 2.51, 95% CI: 1.85-3.42; N = 3, OR 2.47, 95% CI: 1.45-4.19; p for trend < 0.001) in comparison with N = 0.ConclusionsA deviation of potassium levels from 3.50 to 4.00 mmol/L, lower sodium levels and hypochloremia were associated with poorer short-term prognosis of ADHF. Furthermore, the number of electrolyte abnormalities positively correlated with adverse short-term prognosis of patients with ADHF. Key MessagesADHF patients with baseline serum potassium at first half part of normal range (3.50-4.00 mmol/L) may herald the lowest risk of recent cardiovascular events.Serum sodium and chloride levels exhibit discrepancies in terms of risk of short-term adverse events of ADHF patients.The number of electrolyte abnormalities is a significant predictor of poor short-term prognosis in patients with ADHF.Clinical trial registration urlhttp://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.aspx?proj=23139. Unique identifier: ChiCTR-POC-17014020.

Project description:BackgroundAcute heart failure (AHF) is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Effective patient risk stratification is essential to guiding hospitalization decisions and the clinical management of AHF. Clinical decision support systems can be used to improve predictions of mortality made in emergency care settings for the purpose of AHF risk stratification. In this study, several models for the prediction of seven-day mortality among AHF patients were developed by applying machine learning techniques to retrospective patient data from 236,275 total emergency department (ED) encounters, 1881 of which were considered positive for AHF and were used for model training and testing. The models used varying subsets of age, sex, vital signs, and laboratory values. Model performance was compared to the Emergency Heart Failure Mortality Risk Grade (EHMRG) model, a commonly used system for prediction of seven-day mortality in the ED with similar (or, in some cases, more extensive) inputs. Model performance was assessed in terms of area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), sensitivity, and specificity.ResultsWhen trained and tested on a large academic dataset, the best-performing model and EHMRG demonstrated test set AUROCs of 0.84 and 0.78, respectively, for prediction of seven-day mortality. Given only measurements of respiratory rate, temperature, mean arterial pressure, and FiO2, one model produced a test set AUROC of 0.83. Neither a logistic regression comparator nor a simple decision tree outperformed EHMRG.ConclusionsA model using only the measurements of four clinical variables outperforms EHMRG in the prediction of seven-day mortality in AHF. With these inputs, the model could not be replaced by logistic regression or reduced to a simple decision tree without significant performance loss. In ED settings, this minimal-input risk stratification tool may assist clinicians in making critical decisions about patient disposition by providing early and accurate insights into individual patient's risk profiles.

Dataset Information

Associations of short- and long-term mortality with admission blood pressure in Chinese patients with different heart failure subtypes.

Publications

Associations of short- and long-term mortality with admission blood pressure in Chinese patients with different heart failure subtypes.

Similar Datasets

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