Combining cohort and period methods for retrospective time trend analyses of long-term cancer patient survival rates.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Brenner H
PROVIDER: S-EPMC2394294 | biostudies-other | 2003 Oct
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-other
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Project description:BackgroundAccording to the literature, there are sex allocation inequalities in liver transplantation (LT). Sex disparities in outcomes after LT have been debated. This study aimed to evaluate sex-specific outcomes after LT, specifically short-term mortality and long-term survival rates.MethodsA retrospective cohort of the entire LT series from to 2010-2019 in a single center in which the inclusion criteria were adults ≥18 YO age who underwent primary deceased donor LT. Mortality rate was evaluated within 30 days and 6 months. Survival rate was evaluated at 1,3 and 5 years of age.ResultsA total of 240 primary and deceased donor LTs (153 men and 87 women) were included. Mean age 55.2Y men and 51.6Y women (p = 0.02). Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was the direct indication in 32.7% of the men and only 17.4% of the women. The leading primary liver morbidities were viral hepatitis (B, C, and D) in 38.3% (N = 92) and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) in 20.8% (N = 50) of patients. Thirty-day mortality was 14%, which was significantly higher in men (18%) than in women (8%). Survival rates after 5 years were 64.9% and 78.3%, respectively. Multivariate analysis through logistic regression that included age, direct indication, MELD, and primary liver morbidity revealed statistically significant female to male Odds-Ratio of 0.4 in 30 days, 6 m mortality and a statistically significant higher long-term survival.ConclusionsOur observations revealed better female outcomes, namely, lower short-term mortality and higher long-term survival. Given the consistency after stratification and given the multivariate analysis, this is unlikely to be attributable to confounders. Such findings suggesting consistently better female outcomes have not been previously reported; hence, multi center study is encouraged.
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Project description:BackgroundThe 5-year overall survival (OS) rate for colorectal cancer (CRC) has been reported as 39%, and the 5-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) rate has been reported as 14%. Various prognostic factors have been associated with differences in survival rates among CRC patients. This study investigated the difference between several prognostic factors and the OS and RFS rates of CRC patients at the Dr. Wahidin Sudirohusodo General Hospital Makassar in Indonesia.Materials and methodsThe study group comprised all CRC patients treated at the Division of Digestive Surgery from 2014 to 2016. Prognostic factor data were collected from medical records for 293 patients. The OS and RFS rates were analyzed using the bivariate Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank tests.ResultsLog-rank analysis of the association of age, histopathology, stage, definitive surgery, chemotherapy, and radiotherapy with the OS rate showed p-values of 0.031, 0.009, 0.014, 0.000, 0.343, and 0.381, respectively. Log-rank analysis of the association of these prognostic factors with the RFS rate showed p-values of 0.282, 0.006, 0.008, 0.020, 0.002, and 0.000, respectively.ConclusionThere were significant differences in the OS rate according to age, histopathology, stage, and history of definitive surgery. Histopathology, stage, history of definitive surgery, and chemotherapy and radiotherapy were significantly associated with differences in the RFS rate.
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Project description:Background:This study described the incidence and mortality trends and analyzed age-period-cohort effects on incidences in China, Japan, and Korea. Methods:Data were extracted from the Cancer Incidence in Five Continents series and the World Health Organization Cancer Mortality Database, and the age-standardized incidence and mortality rates by Segi's world population were calculated. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to evaluate the time trend of age-standardized incidence and mortality rates and the age-period-cohort model with intrinsic estimator was applied for estimating the effects of age, period, and cohort on thyroid cancer (TC) incidence in individuals between 20 and 84 years of age. Results:An increasing trend in TC incidence rates was observed among males from China (10.3%), Japan (4.7%), and Korea (20.8%) and among females from China (9.4%), Japan (3.5%), and Korea (20.5%). TC incidence rates in females were much higher than those in males. A downward trend of TC mortality rates was observed, especially in both sexes of Japan and Chinese females. The slope of the age effect curve peaked at an earlier age in females than males in Japan and Korea. A strong period effect and remarkedly increasing rate ratios were observed in all regions and for both sexes. The cohort effect had a declining tendency on TC incidence in males and females in these areas. Conclusions:The rapidly upward incidence trend and strong period effect suggest that overdiagnosis caused by higher diagnostic intensity might be an explanation for the upward trend, and some environmental risk factor exposures are also not excluded. In addition, the discrepant trends of TC incidence and mortality reveal the need to identify the few high-risk patients who needed further treatment from those patients who may not need treatment.
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Project description:BackgroundTo compare the outcomes of gastric, colon, lung, and breast cancer patients with and without rheumatic diseases (RD).MethodsThis retrospective study compared the cancer survival rates of a cohort of 122 cancer patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA), systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), dermatomyositis/polymyositis (DM/PM), or systemic sclerosis with that of a cohort of 366 age-, sex-, and, cancer type-matched patients without RD who received medical care from 2000 to 2014. Staging, comorbidities, and functional status were ascertained. Survival was compared using the Kaplan-Meier method. Relative risk of death was estimated as a hazard ratio (HR) using Cox regression analysis.ResultsThe mean age of the RD patients at the time of cancer diagnosis was 58.7 ± 11.5 years. The overall survival rate of gastric cancer patients did not differ between the cohorts. The survival of lung or breast cancer was worse in patients with RA or DM/PM than in those without RD (all, p < 0.05). After adjusting for cancer stage, comorbidity index, performance status and age at the time of cancer diagnosis (as well as interstitial lung disease for lung cancer group), the mortality rate among lung cancer patients with RA was significantly higher (HR, 1.81; 95 % CI, 1.03-3.18) than that of lung cancer patients without RD, whereas SSc was associated with decreased mortality of lung cancer (HR, 0.16; 95 % CI, 0.04-0.58). DM/PM were associated with increased mortality of breast cancer patients (HR, 297.39; 95 % CI, 4.24-20842.33).ConclusionsRA and DM/PM seemed to be associated with a higher mortality in patients with lung or breast cancers, whereas SSc seemed to be associated with decreased mortality in patients with lung cancer. It is warranted to explore the survival effect of tailored cancer treatments according to specific RD.
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Project description:BackgroundPeriod analysis is increasingly used to compute long-term cancer survival, as it provides better prediction of survival of newly diagnosed patients than traditional cohort analysis. However, the patient population to which period survival estimates best pertain to and which should be described in a study is less obvious.MethodsUsing Finnish Cancer Registry data on 23 common cancer sites, age-standardized period estimates of 5-, 10-, 15-, and 20-year relative survival were computed for each 2-, 5-, and 10-year calendar period in 1954-2003 and compared with survival estimates for two cohorts by means of mean, mean absolute and mean squared differences: a full cohort of all patients potentially contributing some data to the survival analysis and a restricted cohort of patients diagnosed in the period of interest.ResultsIn most computations, survival estimates for the full cohorts were on average closer to the period estimates for the majority of cancer sites. For 10-year survival, results were less obvious with respect to the mean difference. However, mean squared and mean absolute differences were smaller for the majority of cancers when using the full cohort.ConclusionOur results suggest that the full cohort should be described in reports of period survival analysis.
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Project description:Positive outcomes for paediatric rhabdomyosarcoma (RMS) were high in Sweden during the 1990s, but the last decade has seen decreasing trends in overall survival rates. We investigated the incidence, patient and disease characteristics, treatment and outcome of RMS to see whether any reason could be found for this decline.This study included 210 children under the age of 15 who were diagnosed with RMS and whose details were recorded in the population-based Swedish Childhood Cancer Registry from 1984 to 2010.The overall annual incidence of RMS was 4.9 per million, and the 5-year overall survival rates were 59 ± 7% in 1984-1989, 78 ± 5% in 1990-1999 and 71 ± 5% in 2000-2010. When patients with localised disease were analysed separately, there was no difference in the 5-year survival rates between 1990 and 1999 (82 ± 5%) and 2000-2010 (81 ± 5%), but the outcome in 1984-1989 (53 ± 8%) was significantly worse. The prevalence of metastatic disease was unexpectedly high during 2000-2010 (28%, p = 0.010), compared to an overall mean of 18% for the whole study period.Our results suggest that a higher rate of metastatic disease may explain the declining trend in overall survival rates in paediatric RMS in Sweden over the last decade.
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Project description:ObjectivesThe incidence of gout in the UK appears to have declined since 2013; however, whether such a trend occurred across participants born in different years (ie, birth cohort) is unknown. We aimed to examine the effects of the birth cohort on gout incidence using an age-period-cohort (APC) model.DesignCross-sectional study.SettingNationwide data from the UK primary care database.ParticipantsIndividuals between 30 and 89 years of age were included. We excluded individuals who had gout history when entering the database and individuals with less than 1 year of continuous follow-up between 1 January 1999 and 31 December 2019.Primary and secondary outcome measuresGout was identified using READ codes assigned by general practitioners. The incidence of gout between 1999-2013 and 2011-2019 was analysed with APC model.ResultsThe incidence of gout between 1999 and 2013 increased with birth cohorts. Compared with those born in 1949-1953 (reference), the age-adjusted and period-adjusted rate ratios (RRs) of incident gout increased from 0.39 (95% CI 0.34 to 0.46) in participants born in 1910-1914 to 2.36 (95% CI 2.09 to 2.66) in participants born in 1979-1983 (p for trend <0.001). In contrast, the incidence of gout between 2011 and 2019 decreased with birth cohorts. Compared with those born in 1949-1953 (reference), the age-adjusted and period-adjusted RRs of incident gout declined from 2.75 (95% CI 2.30 to 3.28) in participants born in 1922-1926 to 0.75 (95% CI 0.65 to 0.87) in participants born in 1976-1980 but then increased slightly to 0.95 (95% CI 0.77 to 1.17) in participants born in 1985-1989.ConclusionsThe gout incidence between 1999 and 2013 in the UK increased with the birth cohorts and then decreased between 2011 and 2019 except for those born after 1980. Future monitoring is needed to help identify aetiological factors and guide preventive and treatment strategies for gout.
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Project description:BACKGROUND:Despite advances in operative techniques and preoperative care, proximal femur fractures (PFF) still represent a great public health problem. Displacement and fracture stability have been assumed as important determinants of treatment modality and outcome in such fractures. Purpose of this study was to determine whether the radiological severity of PFF fractures has increased over time. METHODS:In a cohort study, the plain radiographs of all patients with PFF aged over 50 years who were admitted to Umeå University Hospital in 1981/82, 2002 and 2012 were recruited to examine the types of fractures. RESULTS:The ratio of undisplaced to displaced femoral neck (FN) fractures was 30 to 70% in 1981/82, 28 to 72% in 2002 and 25 to 75% in 2012. The ratio of stable to unstable intertrochanteric (IT) fractures was 64 to 36% in 1981/82, 68 to 32% in 2002 and 75 to 25% in 2012. The ratio of simple to comminute subtrochanteric fractures was 35 to 65% in 1981/82, 16 to 84% in 2002 and 12 to 88% in 2012. In both FN and IT fractures we found no statistical difference among these 3 study periods, p = 0.67 and p = 0.40. In subtrochanteric fractures we saw a tendency towards more comminute subtrochanteric fractures (1981/82 to 2012), p = 0.09. CONCLUSIONS:We found no significant increment in the radiological severity of FN and IT over a 30 years' period. However, there was tendency towards an increase in comminute subtrochanteric fractures.
| S-EPMC6686553 | biostudies-other
Project description:MotivationGene set enrichment (GSE) analysis allows researchers to efficiently extract biological insight from long lists of differentially expressed genes by interrogating them at a systems level. In recent years, there has been a proliferation of GSE analysis methods and hence it has become increasingly difficult for researchers to select an optimal GSE tool based on their particular dataset. Moreover, the majority of GSE analysis methods do not allow researchers to simultaneously compare gene set level results between multiple experimental conditions.ResultsThe ensemble of genes set enrichment analyses (EGSEA) is a method developed for RNA-sequencing data that combines results from twelve algorithms and calculates collective gene set scores to improve the biological relevance of the highest ranked gene sets. EGSEA's gene set database contains around 25 000 gene sets from sixteen collections. It has multiple visualization capabilities that allow researchers to view gene sets at various levels of granularity. EGSEA has been tested on simulated data and on a number of human and mouse datasets and, based on biologists' feedback, consistently outperforms the individual tools that have been combined. Our evaluation demonstrates the superiority of the ensemble approach for GSE analysis, and its utility to effectively and efficiently extrapolate biological functions and potential involvement in disease processes from lists of differentially regulated genes.Availability and implementationEGSEA is available as an R package at http://www.bioconductor.org/packages/EGSEA/ . The gene sets collections are available in the R package EGSEAdata from http://www.bioconductor.org/packages/EGSEAdata/ .Contactsmonther.alhamdoosh@csl.com.au mritchie@wehi.edu.au.Supplementary informationSupplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.
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Project description:BackgroundPeriampullary adenocarcinoma (PAAC) had a poor prognosis, and pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) remains the only potentially curative treatment. The study aimed to identify the impact of different clinicopathological factors on long-term survival following PD for PAAC.Patients and methodsThis study is a retrospective cohort study for the patients who underwent PD for pathologically proven PAAC from January 2010 to January 2019. Statistical analysis was done using Cox regression multivariate analyses for independent risk factors for survival.ResultThere were 137 patients with PAAC who underwent PD, 79 patients (57.7%) underwent pylorus-preserving PD. Pancreatico-jejunostomy was done in 108 patients (78.8%). The primary analysis showed that risk factors for poor long-term survival include patients with co-morbidities like hypertension or ischemic heart disease, Carbohydrate Antigen 19-9 > 400U/ml, tumor size > 3 cm, poor tumor differentiation, positive lymph nodes invasion, lymphovascular invasion, and Perineural invasion. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that large tumor size > 3 cm (HR: 0.177, 95%CI: 0.084-0.374, P = 0.002), poorly differentiated tumor (HR: 0.059, 95%CI: 0.020-0.0174, P = 0.016), and perineural invasion in the pathological study (HR: 0.101, 95%CI: 0.046-0.224, P = 0.006) were independent risk factors for poor 5-years survival. The prognosis was better in ampullary adenocarcinoma (5-year survival was 42.1%) than pancreatic adenocarcinoma (5-year survival was 24.3%). The 1, 3, 5 and 7-year overall survival rates were 84.5%, 57.4%, 35.9% and 20.1% respectively.ConclusionIt seems from the current study that Tumor size > 3 cm, poor tumor differentiation, and Perineural invasion were independent predictors of poor survival in patients with PAAC.
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