Trends in incidence of childhood cancer in Australia, 1983-2006.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Baade PD
PROVIDER: S-EPMC2822940 | biostudies-other | 2010 Feb
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-other
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Project description:OBJECTIVES:To describe changes in childhood cancer incidence in Australia, 1983-2015, and to estimate projected incidence to 2035. DESIGN, SETTING:Population-based study; analysis of Australian Childhood Cancer Registry data for the 20 547 children under 15 years of age diagnosed with cancer in Australia between 1983 and 2015. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES:Incidence rate changes during 1983-2015 were assessed by joinpoint regression, with rates age-standardised to the 2001 Australian standard population. Incidence projections to 2035 were estimated by age-period-cohort modelling. RESULTS:The overall age-standardised incidence rate of childhood cancer increased by 34% between 1983 and 2015, increasing by 1.2% (95% CI, +0.5% to +1.9%) per annum between 2005 and 2015. During 2011-2015, the mean annual number of children diagnosed with cancer in Australia was 770, an incidence rate of 174 cases (95% CI, 169-180 cases) per million children per year. The incidence of hepatoblastoma (annual percentage change [APC], +2.3%; 95% CI, +0.8% to +3.8%), Burkitt lymphoma (APC, +1.6%; 95% CI, +0.4% to +2.8%), osteosarcoma (APC, +1.1%; 95%, +0.0% to +2.3%), intracranial and intraspinal embryonal tumours (APC, +0.9%; 95% CI, +0.4% to +1.5%), and lymphoid leukaemia (APC, +0.5%; 95% CI, +0.2% to +0.8%) increased significantly across the period 1983-2015. The incidence rate of childhood melanoma fell sharply between 1996 and 2015 (APC, -7.7%; 95% CI, -10% to -4.8%). The overall annual cancer incidence rate is conservatively projected to rise to about 186 cases (95% CI, 175-197 cases) per million children by 2035 (1060 cases per year). CONCLUSIONS:The incidence rates of several childhood cancer types steadily increased during 1983-2015. Although the reasons for these rises are largely unknown, our findings provide a foundation for health service planning for meeting the needs of children who will be diagnosed with cancer until 2035.
| S-EPMC7065138 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BACKGROUND:Recent reports have noted increasing rates of anal cancer among high-income countries worldwide; however, little is known about these trends in Austria. METHODS:Data on anal cancer from 1983 to 2016 were obtained from Statistics Austria. All tumors (n?=?3567) were classified into anal squamous cell carcinomas (ASCC), anal adenocarcinomas (AADC), and others (unspecified carcinoma and other specific carcinoma). Anal cancer incidence rates were calculated in 5?year cycles and incidence average annual percentage change (AAPC) to evaluate trends by sex, histology and age group. RESULTS:The incidence rate of anal cancer was higher among females than males (relative risk, RR?=?1.66, 95% confidence interval, CI: 1.55-1.79, p?<?0.0001). From 1983 through 2016, incident anal cancer increased significantly (0.92 per 100,000 person-years to 1.85 per 100,000 person-years, AAPC?=?1.93, 95% CI: 1.52 to 2.34, p?<?0.0001), particularly among those 40-69 years old. From 1983 through 2016, the increasing anal cancer incidence was primarily driven by ASCC (0.47-1.20 per 100,000 person-years, AAPC?=?2.23, 95% CI: 1.58 to 2.88, p?<?0.0001) and others (other than ASCC and AADC, AAPC?=?1.78, 95% CI: 1.01-2.55), yet stable in AADC (AAPC?=?0.88, 95% CI: -0.48-2.25). CONCLUSIONS:Despite being a rare cancer in Austria, the increase in anal cancer incidence rate from 1983 to 2016 was substantial, particularly in ASCC. The observed rising trends reflect the need to investigate associated risk factors that have increased over time to inform preventive measures.
| S-EPMC7445201 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BACKGROUND: Few studies have investigated incidence trends in the Philippines. METHODS: From the databases of the Manila Cancer Registry, cumulative cancer incidence rates were determined for the five most common cancers for both sexes combined. Using joinpoint analysis, incidence trends for 1983-2002 were estimated. RESULTS: Among females, increasing trends were found for breast, 5% annual change, lung (0.5%) and colorectal (1.5%) cancers. Decreasing trends were found for cancers of the liver (-1.2%) and cervix (-1.9%). Among males, increasing trends were found for lung cancer (0.5%), whereas liver cancer rates have been decreasing (-1.0%). Colorectal cancer rates fluctuated. CONCLUSION: Certain sites showed declining incidence trends, but incidence trends for lifestyle-related cancers continue to rise. The prevention of infection-related cancers should also receive priority, particularly by vaccination programmes.
| S-EPMC2865754 | biostudies-other
Project description:BackgroundAnal cancer incidence increased markedly in people living with HIV (PLWHIV) after the introduction of HAART, but in a few setting settings, recent declines have been reported. We report the incidence and time trends of anal cancer in PLWHIV in Australia.Study designA data linkage study between the National HIV Registries and the Australian Cancer Database.MethodsCases of anal squamous cell carcinoma (ASCC) in Australians aged 16 years and above diagnosed with HIV between 1982 and 2012 were identified. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) were calculated to compare incidence with that of the general population. Poisson regression models were developed to describe the time trends of ASCC over time and to compare ASCC risk within subgroups of PLWHIV.ResultsAmong 28 696 individuals, a total of 129 cases of ASCC were identified. The crude incidence was 36.3 per 100 000 person-years and it increased sharply from 14.8 to 62.1 per 100 000 person-years between 1982-1995 and 2009-2012 (P trend <0.001). The SIR was 35.3 (95% confidence interval 29.5-42.0), and there was an inverse association between SIR and increasing age (P trend <0.001). In multivariate analyses, ASCC incidence was significantly higher in recent years (P trend <0.001), in those who acquired HIV through male homosexual contact (P = 0.002), and in those who had a history of AIDS (P < 0.001).ConclusionPLWHIV in Australia are at markedly higher risk of anal cancer. Unlike in some industrialized countries with a mature HIV epidemic, the incidence of anal cancer is still increasing in this population in Australia.
| S-EPMC7141812 | biostudies-literature
Project description:In the mid-1980s, there was a rise in incidence rates of childhood brain tumors (CBT) in the United States that appeared to stabilize at a higher rate in the early 1990 s. An updated analysis of the pattern of CBT over the past 2 decades, with commentary on whether the elevated incidence rate has continued, is past due. We used Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) data to examine trends in incidence of CBT from 1973 through 2009. We examined age-adjusted incidence rates (AAIRs) and secular trends for all malignant brain tumors combined (SEER classification) by histologic tumor type and anatomic site. The incidence of CBT remained stable from 1987 to 2009 [annual percent change (APC) = 0.10; 95 % confidence intervals (CI) -0.39 to 0.61] with an AAIR for all CBT of 3.32 (95 % CI 3.22-3.42). The stability of rates in these two decades contrast the change that occurred in the mid-1980s (1983-1986), when the incidence of CBT increased by 53 % (APC = 14.06; 95 % CI 4.05-25.0). From 1983 to 1986, statistically significant rate increases were observed for pilocytic astrocytoma, PNET/medulloblastoma, and mixed glioma. Further, the rate of increase in pilocytic astrocytoma was similar to the rate of decrease for astrocytomas NOS from 1981 to 2009, suggesting a change from a more general to more specific classification. After the increase in rates in the mid-1980s, rates of CBT over the past two decades have stabilized. Changes in incidence rates of subtypes of tumors over this time period reflect changes both in classification of CBT and in diagnostic techniques.
| S-EPMC4056769 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ObjectiveEpidemiologic evidence indicates that prenatal vitamin supplementation reduces risk for some childhood cancers; however, a systematic evaluation of population-based childhood cancer incidence trends after fortification of enriched grain products with folic acid in the United States in 1996-1998 has not been previously reported. Here we describe temporal trends in childhood cancer incidence in association with US folic acid fortification.MethodsUsing Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program data (1986-2008), we calculated incidence rate ratios and 95% confidence intervals to compare pre- and postfortification cancer incidence rates in children aged 0 to 4 years. Incidence trends were also evaluated by using joinpoint and loess regression models.ResultsFrom 1986 through 2008, 8829 children aged 0 to 4 years were diagnosed with malignancies, including 3790 and 3299 in utero during the pre- and postfortification periods, respectively. Pre- and postfortification incidence rates were similar for all cancers combined and for most specific cancer types. Rates of Wilms tumor (WT), primitive neuroectodermal tumors (PNETs), and ependymomas were significantly lower postfortification. Joinpoint regression models detected increasing WT incidence from 1986 through 1997 followed by a sizable decline from 1997 through 2008, and increasing PNET incidence from 1986 through 1993 followed by a sharp decrease from 1993 through 2008. Loess curves indicated similar patterns.ConclusionsThese results provide support for a decrease in WT and possibly PNET incidence, but not other childhood cancers, after US folic acid fortification.
| S-EPMC3362910 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundAlthough the incidence of thyroid cancer had been increasing until a few years ago, a decrease has been observed in the last years, probably due to the reduction of the screening tests in Korea. Childhood thyroid cancer has been increasing in the past with the same trend as in adults, but there have been few reports on recent trends. We analyzed the trends of thyroid cancer in Korean children and related factors.MethodsFrom national statistics and cancer register database, the data of age-specific incidence rate in Korean childhood thyroid cancer from 1999 to 2017 was obtained, and levels of seaweed intake, the number of computed tomography (CT) and neck ultrasonography (US), obesity prevalence rate, and smoking and alcohol consumption rates in children were analyzed.ResultsThe age-specific incidence of thyroid cancer in Korean children has increased in both genders between 1999 and 2017 (2.0 in 1999 vs. 7.2 in 2017, per population of 100,000), especially in the age group of 14-18 years (1.5 in 1999 vs. 5.5 in 2017, per population of 100,000). During the same period, levels of seaweed intake, number of CT scans and neck US, and prevalence of obesity in children increased significantly, while childhood smoking and alcohol consumption rates decreased.ConclusionUnlike the adult thyroid cancer in Korea, childhood thyroid cancer continues to increase, and the cause might be accompanied by actual increases due to the environmental factors such as excessive iodine intake, exposure to medical radiation, and increased obesity prevalence as well as the screening effect.
| S-EPMC8160442 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Background: Childhood cancer is a double-edged sword, considering its high rate of response to treatment despite a high vulnerability to develop future malignancies in survivors. Thus, multidisciplinary preventive, curative, and supportive strategies must be incorporated in childhood cancer care that require understanding the distribution and trend of cancer in the target population. In this article, we aimed to report the national and subnational trends of childhood cancer incidence in Iran from 1990 to 2016, and mortality/incidence ratio (MIR), which, to our knowledge, have not been reported in previous literature. Method: Data on the incidence and mortality rates were collected from the National and Subnational Burden of Diseases project. We employed a two-stage spatiotemporal model to estimate cancer incidences by sex, age, province, and year based on the primary dataset of national death registration system. National and subnational age and gender-specific trends as well as MIR were calculated. Result: The age-standardized incidence rate had a steady increasing trend for cancers in both female [annual percent change (APC), 1.6%] and male (APC, 2.1%) patients. Not only there was an increasing trend in most provinces but also there was a 40% divergence in age-standardized incidence rate at subnational levels. Leukemia, lymphoma, neoplasms of the central nervous system (CNS), digestive tract, endocrine gland, and urinary tract were the leading causes of cancer comprising more than half of all cancers. There was a remarkable general decrease in MIR by 75% as a proxy of care quality. Conclusion: Regarding the increased trend of childhood cancer incidence, there is an essential need to address the etiologic factors and establish preventive plans for childhood cancers. Despite the favorable outcomes observed in cancer care, commensurate health resource allocation must be applied to diminish the subnational disparities.
| S-EPMC6970968 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Globally, there has been a concerning rise in the incidence of young-onset cancers. The aim of this study was to provide trends in the incidence and survival of gastrointestinal adenocarcinomas (oesophagus, stomach, pancreas, and colorectal) in South Australia over a 27-year period. This is a cross-sectional analysis of a prospective longitudinal database including all cases of gastrointestinal adenocarcinomas prospectively reported to the South Australian (State) Cancer Registry from 1990 to 2017. A total of 28,566 patients diagnosed with oesophageal, stomach, pancreatic, or colorectal adenocarcinoma between 1990 and 2017 were included in the study. While the overall incidence for gastrointestinal adenocarcinomas in individuals >50 years has decreased since 2000 (IRR of 0.97 (95% CI 0.94-1.00; p = 0.06)) compared to 1990-1999, the rate amongst individuals aged 18-50 has significantly increased (IRR 1.41 (95% CI 1.27-1.57; p < 0.001)) during the same reference time period. Although noted in both sexes, the rate of increase in incidence was significantly greater in males (11.5 to 19.7/100,000; p < 0.001). The overall survival from adenocarcinomas across all subsites improved in the >50-year cohort in the last decade (HR 0.89 (95% CI 0.86-0.93; p < 0.001)) compared to 1990-1999. In individuals aged 18-50 years, there has only been a significant improvement in survival for colorectal cancer (HR 0.82 (95% CI 0.68-0.99; p < 0.04)), but not the other subsites. A lower overall survival was noted for males in both age cohorts (18-50 years-HR 1.24 (95% CI 1.09-1.13; p < 0.01) and >50 years-HR 1.13 (95% CI 1.10-1.16; p < 0.001), respectively) compared to females. This study from South Australia demonstrates a significant increase in young-onset gastrointestinal adenocarcinomas over the last 28 years, with a greater increase in the male sex. The only significant improvement in survival in this cohort has been noted in colorectal cancer patients.
| S-EPMC8773524 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Background and purpose - Pediatric fracture incidence may not be stable. We describe recent pediatric fracture epidemiology and etiology and compare this to earlier data. Patients and methods - The city of Malmö (population 271,271 in 2005) in Sweden is served by 1 hospital. Using the hospital diagnosis registry, medical charts, and the radiographic archive, we identified fractures in individuals <16 years that had occurred during 2005 and 2006. We also retrieved previously collected fracture data from between 1950 and 1994, from the hospital's pediatric fracture database. We used official population data to estimate period-specific fracture incidence (the number of fractures per 105 person-years) and also age- and sex-adjusted incidence. Differences are reported as rate ratios (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals. Results - The pediatric fracture incidence during the period 2005-2006 was 1,832 per 105 person-years (2,359 in boys and 1,276 in girls), with an age-adjusted boy-to-girl ratio of 1.8 (1.6-2.1). Compared to the period 1993-1994, age-adjusted rates were unchanged (RR =0.9, 95% CI: 0.8-1.03) in 2005-2006, with lower rates in girls (RR =0.8, 95% CI: 0.7-0.99) but not in boys (RR =1.0, 95% CI: 0.9-1.1). We also found that the previously reported decrease in unadjusted incidence in Malmö from 1976-1979 to 1993-1994 was based on changes in demography, as the age-adjusted incidences were similar in the 2 periods (RR =1.0, 95% CI: 0.9-1.1). Interpretation - In Malmö, pediatric fracture incidence decreased from 1993-1994 to 2005-2006 in girls but not in boys. Changes in demography, and also other factors, influence the recent time trends.
| S-EPMC5499338 | biostudies-literature