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Recent decline in prostate cancer incidence in the United States, by age, stage, and Gleason score.

ABSTRACT: Prostate cancer incidence is sensitive to screening practices, however the impact of recent screening recommendations from the United States Preventative Services Task Force on prostate cancer incidence by age, stage, race, and Gleason score is unknown. This study described the timing and magnitude of changes in prostate cancer incidence trends in the United States by month of diagnosis, and evaluated trends by age, Gleason score, and stage at diagnosis. We analyzed prostate cancer incidence trends using Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program data for men diagnosed with invasive prostate cancer from 2007 through 2012. JoinPoint analysis was used to detect changes in the rate of annual percent change (APC) in prostate cancer incidence for all diagnoses and by age, Gleason score, race, and stage. Prostate cancer incidence declined at an estimated -19.6% APC beginning May 2011. This decline was observed in all age groups. Low-grade tumors (Gleason score ≤6) showed a steeper decline (-29.1% APC) than high-grade tumors (Gleason score 8-10: -10.8% APC). Only stage I/II and stage III tumors saw declines (-24.2% and -16.7% APC, respectively). A sharp decline in prostate cancer incidence began before release of the United States Preventative Services Task Force October 2011 draft and May 2012 final screening recommendation. The greatest change occurred with incidence of low-grade tumors, although there is concern that some high-grade tumors may now go undetected.

SUBMITTER: Herget KA

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4708896 | biostudies-other | 2016 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-other

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Project description:Importance:Melanoma is epidemiologically linked to UV exposure, particularly childhood sunburn. Public health campaigns are increasing sun-protective behavior in the United States, but the effect on melanoma incidence is unknown. Objective:To examine the incidence of melanoma in the United States and whether any age-specific differences are present. Design, Setting, and Participants:Observational, population-based registry data were extracted on July 3, 2018, from the combined National Program of Cancer Registries-Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results United States Cancer Statistics database for 2001-2015. Deidentified data for 988?103 cases of invasive melanoma, with International Classification of Diseases for Oncology histologic categorization codes 8720 to 8790, were used for analysis. Data analysis was performed from July 1, 2018, to March 1, 2019. Main Outcomes and Measures:The annual rates of melanoma in pediatric, adolescent, young adult, and adult age groups were determined. Analyses were stratified by sex, and incidence rates were age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population. Annual percentage change (APC) in incidence rate was calculated over the most recent decade for which data were available (2006-2015) using the weighted least squares method. Results:In 2015, 83?362 cases of invasive melanoma were reported in the United States, including 67 in children younger than 10 years, 251 in adolescents (10-19 years), and 1973 in young adults (20-29 years). Between 2006 and 2015, the overall incidence rate increased from 200.1 to 229.1 cases per million person-years. In adults aged 40 years or older, melanoma rates increased by an APC of 1.8% in both men (95% CI, 1.4%-2.1%) and women (95% CI, 1.4%-2.2%). In contrast, clinically and statistically significant decreases were seen in melanoma incidence for adolescents and young adults. Specifically, incidence rates decreased by an APC of -4.4% for male adolescents (95% CI, -1.7% to -7.0%), -5.4% for female adolescents (95% CI, -3.3% to -7.4%), -3.7% for male young adults (95% CI, -2.5% to -4.8%), and -3.6% for female young adults (95% CI, -2.8% to -4.5%). Data on skin pigmentation and sun protection history were unavailable; similar trends were observed with data limited to non-Hispanic whites. Young adult women appeared to have twice the risk of melanoma as young adult men. Conclusions and Relevance:The incidence of invasive melanoma in the United States appeared to decrease in adolescents and young adults from 2006 to 2015, and this finding contrasted with increases in older populations. These incidence trends suggest that public health efforts may be favorably influencing melanoma incidence in the United States.

Project description:BackgroundProstate tumor volume predicts biochemical recurrence, metastases, and tumor proliferation. A recent study showed that prostate tumor eccentricity (elongation or roundness) correlated with Gleason score. No studies examined the relationship among the prostate tumor's shape, volume, and potential aggressiveness.MethodsOf the 26 patients that were analyzed, 18 had volumes >1 cc for the histology-based study, and 25 took up contrast material for the MRI portion of this study. This retrospective study quantitatively compared tumor eccentricity and volume measurements from pathology assessment sectioned wholemount prostates and multi-parametric MRI to Gleason scores. Multi-parametric MRI (T1, T2, diffusion, dynamic contrast-enhanced images) were resized, translated, and stitched to form spatially registered multi-parametric cubes. Multi-parametric signatures that characterize prostate tumors were inserted into a target detection algorithm (Adaptive Cosine Estimator, ACE). Various detection thresholds were applied to discriminate tumor from normal tissue. Pixel-based blobbing, and labeling were applied to digitized pathology slides and threshold ACE images. Tumor volumes were measured by counting voxels within the blob. Eccentricity calculation used moments of inertia from the blobs.ResultsFrom wholemount prostatectomy slides, fitting two sets of independent variables, prostate tumor eccentricity (largest blob eccentricity, weighted eccentricity, filtered weighted eccentricity) and tumor volume (largest blob volume, average blob volume, filtered average blob volume) to Gleason score in a multivariate analysis, yields correlation coefficient R=0.798 to 0.879 with P<0.01. The eccentricity t-statistic exceeded the volume t-statistic. Fitting histology-based total prostate tumor volume against Gleason score yields R=0.498, P=0.0098. From multi-parametric MRI, the correlation coefficient R between the Gleason score and the largest blob eccentricity for varying thresholds (0.30 to 0.55) ranged from -0.51 to -0.672 (P<0.01). For varying thresholds (0.60 to 0.80) for MRI detection, the R between the largest blob volume eccentricity against the Gleason score ranged from 0.46 to 0.50 (P<0.03). Combining tumor eccentricity and tumor volume in multivariate analysis failed to increase Gleason score prediction.ConclusionsProstate tumor eccentricity, determined by histology or MRI, more accurately predicted Gleason score than prostate tumor volume. Combining tumor eccentricity with volume from histology-based analysis enhanced Gleason score prediction, unlike MRI.

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Recent decline in prostate cancer incidence in the United States, by age, stage, and Gleason score.

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