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Comparison of Functional Outcome and Stroke Recurrence in Patients with Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source (ESUS) vs. Cardioembolic Stroke Patients.

ABSTRACT: Embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) recurrence and functional outcome from long-term follow-up is not well delineated. The purpose of this study is to compare these functional variables between ESUS vs. cardioembolic stroke (CS) patients.We analyzed data of consecutive ESUS and CS patients from our institutional database, from January 2003 until April 2015. The endpoints were stroke recurrence, mortality and poor clinical outcome (Modified Rankin Score 3-6), at discharge, 6 months and final follow-up. Adjusted multivariate Cox analysis and Kaplan-Meier curves were used to estimate the probability of recurrence and death.149 ESUS (median age 44 years) and 235 CS (median age 66 years) consecutive patients were included in the study. Median follow-up period for the entire sample was 19 months (interquartile range 6.0-45.0 months). Stroke recurrence was similar between ESUS and CS patients (5.4% vs. 9.8% respectively, p = 0.12). Death occurred in 30 CS cases (12.8%), with a cumulative probability of survival of 77%. Poor functional outcome was present in 58.3%, 54.0% and 54.9% at discharge, 6 months and final follow-up respectively in CS patients, significantly worst compared to ESUS cases (HR 3.1; CI 95% 1.96-4.68). Oral anticoagulation presents with a HR 8.01 for recurrence, and antiplatelet therapy had the highest risk for recurrence for both groups (HR 24.3).ESUS patients are substantially younger than CS patients but have a stroke recurrence rate similar to CS patients, with a lower mortality rate, and better functional outcome on long-term follow-up.

SUBMITTER: Arauz A

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5104315 | biostudies-other | 2016

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-other

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Comparison of Functional Outcome and Stroke Recurrence in Patients with Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source (ESUS) vs. Cardioembolic Stroke Patients.

Arauz Antonio A Morelos Eugenia E Colín Jonathan J Roldán Javier J Barboza Miguel A MA

PloS one 20161110 11

<h4>Background</h4>Embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) recurrence and functional outcome from long-term follow-up is not well delineated. The purpose of this study is to compare these functional variables between ESUS vs. cardioembolic stroke (CS) patients.<h4>Methods</h4>We analyzed data of consecutive ESUS and CS patients from our institutional database, from January 2003 until April 2015. The endpoints were stroke recurrence, mortality and poor clinical outcome (Modified Rankin Score ...[more]

PMID: 27832136

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Project description:BackgroundEmbolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) accounts for a substantial proportion of ischaemic strokes. A stroke recurrence score has been shown to predict the risk of recurrent stroke in patients with ESUS based on a combination of clinical and imaging features. This study aimed to externally validate the performance of the ESUS recurrence score using data from a randomized controlled trial.MethodsThe validation dataset consisted of eligible stroke patients with available magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) data enrolled in the PreDAFIS sub-study of the MonDAFIS study. The score was calculated using three variables: age (1 point per decade after 35 years), presence of white matter hyperintensities (2 points), and multiterritorial ischaemic stroke (3 points). Patients were assigned to risk groups as described in the original publication. The model was evaluated using standard discrimination and calibration methods.ResultsOf the 1054 patients, 241 (22.9%) were classified as ESUS. Owing to insufficient MRI quality, three patients were excluded, leaving 238 patients (median age 65.5 years [IQR 20.75], 39% female) for analysis. Of these, 30 (13%) patients experienced recurrent ischaemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) during a follow-up period of 383 patient-years, corresponding to an incidence rate of 7.8 per 100 patient-years (95% CI 5.3-11.2). Patients with an ESUS recurrence score value of ≥ 7 had a 2.46 (hazard ratio (HR), 95% CI 1.02-5.93) times higher risk of stroke recurrence than patients with a score of 0-4. The cumulative probability of stroke recurrence in the low-(0-4), intermediate-(5-6), and high-risk group (≥ 7) was 9%, 13%, and 23%, respectively (log-rank test, χ2 = 4.2, p = 0.1).ConclusionsThis external validation of a published scoring system supports a threshold of ≥ 7 for identifying ESUS patients at high-risk of stroke recurrence. However, further adjustments may be required to improve the model's performance in independent cohorts. The use of risk scores may be helpful in guiding extended diagnostics and further trials on secondary prevention in patients with ESUS.Trial registrationClinical Trials, NCT02204267. Registered 30 July 2014, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02204267 .

Project description:Background and Purpose- Atrial cardiopathy and atherosclerotic plaque are two potential mechanisms underlying embolic strokes of undetermined source (ESUS). The relationship between these two mechanisms among ESUS patients remains unclear. A better understanding of their association may inform targeted secondary prevention strategies. Methods- We examined the association between atrial cardiopathy and atherosclerotic plaque in the NAVIGATE ESUS trial (New Approach Rivaroxaban Inhibition of Factor Xa in a Global Trial Versus ASA to Prevent Embolism in Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source), which enrolled 7213 patients with recent ESUS during 2014 to 2017. For this analysis, we included patients with data on left atrial dimension, location of brain infarction, and cervical large artery plaque. The variables of primary interest were left atrial diameter and cervical plaque ipsilateral to brain infarction. Secondary markers of atrial cardiopathy were premature atrial contractions on Holter monitoring and newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation. For descriptive purposes, left atrial enlargement was defined as ?4.7 cm. Multivariable logistic regression was used to examine the association between atrial cardiopathy markers and ipsilateral plaque after adjustment for age, sex, body mass index, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, current smoking, and hyperlipidemia. Results- Among 3983 eligible patients, 235 (5.9%) had left atrial enlargement, 939 (23.6%) had ipsilateral plaque, and 94 (2.4%) had both. Shared risk factors for left atrial enlargement and ipsilateral plaque were male sex, white race, hypertension, tobacco use, and coronary artery disease. Despite shared risk factors, increasing left atrial dimension was not associated with ipsilateral plaque after adjustment for covariates (odds ratio per cm, 1.1 [95% CI, 1.0-1.2]; P=0.08). We found no consistent associations between secondary markers of atrial cardiopathy and ipsilateral plaque. Conclusions- In a large population of patients with ESUS, we did not observe a notable association between atrial cardiopathy and atherosclerotic plaque, and few patients had both conditions. These findings suggest that atrial cardiopathy and atherosclerotic plaque may be distinct, nonoverlapping risk factors for stroke among ESUS patients.

Dataset Information

Comparison of Functional Outcome and Stroke Recurrence in Patients with Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source (ESUS) vs. Cardioembolic Stroke Patients.

Publications

Comparison of Functional Outcome and Stroke Recurrence in Patients with Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source (ESUS) vs. Cardioembolic Stroke Patients.

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