Ontology highlight
ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Nosek BA
PROVIDER: S-EPMC5856500 | biostudies-other | 2018 Mar
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-other
Nosek Brian A BA Ebersole Charles R CR DeHaven Alexander C AC Mellor David T DT
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 20180301 11
Progress in science relies in part on generating hypotheses with existing observations and testing hypotheses with new observations. This distinction between postdiction and prediction is appreciated conceptually but is not respected in practice. Mistaking generation of postdictions with testing of predictions reduces the credibility of research findings. However, ordinary biases in human reasoning, such as hindsight bias, make it hard to avoid this mistake. An effective solution is to define th ...[more]