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Machine Learning Models Predict the Primary Sites of Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma Metastases Based on DNA Methylation

ABSTRACT: In head and neck squamous cell cancers (HNSCs) that present as metastases with an unknown primary (HNSC-CUPs), the identification of a primary tumor improves therapy options and increases patient survival. However, the currently available diagnostic methods are laborious and do not offer a sufficient detection rate. Predictive machine learning models based on DNA methylation profiles have recently emerged as a promising technique for tumor classification. We applied this technique to HNSC to develop a tool that can improve the diagnostic workup for HNSC-CUPs. On a reference cohort of 405 primary HNSC samples, we developed four classifiers based on different machine learning models (random forest (RF), neural network (NN), elastic net penalized logistic regression (LOGREG), support vector machine (SVM)) that predict the primary site of HNSC tumors from their DNA methylation profile. The classifiers achieved high classification accuracies (RF=83%, NN=88%, LOGREG=SVM=89%) on an independent cohort of 64 HNSC metastases. Further, the NN, LOGREG, and SVM models significantly outperformed p16 status as a marker for an origin in the oropharynx. In conclusion, the DNA methylation profiles of HNSC metastases are characteristic for their primary sites and the classifiers developed in this study, which are made available to the scientific community, can provide valuable information to guide the diagnostic workup of HNSC-CUP.

ORGANISM(S): Homo sapiens

PROVIDER: GSE171994 | GEO | 2021/12/08

REPOSITORIES: GEO

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Project description:Objective: The objective of this study was to estimate the accuracy of transcriptome-based classifier in differential diagnosis of uterine leiomyoma and leiomyosarcoma. Methods: We manually selected 114 normal uterine tissue and 31 leiomyosarcoma samples from publicly available transcriptome data in UCSC Xena as training/validation sets. We developed pre-processing procedure and gene selection method to sensitively find genes of larger variance in leiomyosarcoma than normal uterine tissues. Through our method, twenty genes were selected to build transcriptome-based classifier. The prediction accuracies of deep feedforward neural network (DNN), support vector machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), and Gradient Boosting (GB) models were examined. We interpret the biological functionality of selected genes via network-based analysis using Gene-Mania. To validate the performance of trained model, we additionally collected 35 clinical samples of leiomyosarcoma and leiomyoma as a test set (18 + 17 as 1st and 2nd test sets). Results: We discovered genes expressed in a highly variable way in leiomyosarcoma while these genes are expressed in a conserved way in normal uterine samples. These genes were mainly associated with DNA replication, cell cycle, and DNA damage checkpoint. Among evaluated machine learning classifiers, the DNN had the highest accuracy and average AUC value in training data set. As gene selection and model training were made in leiomyosarcoma and uterine normal tissue, proving discriminant of ability between leiomyosarcoma and leiomyoma is necessary. Thus, further validation of trained model was conducted in newly collected clinical samples of leiomyosarcoma and leiomyoma. The DNN classifier performed AUC of 0.917 and 0.914 supporting that the selected genes in conjunction with DNN classifier are well discriminating the difference between leiomyosarcoma and leiomyoma in clinical sample. Conclusion: The transcriptome-based classifier accurately distinguished uterine leiomyoma from leiomyosarcoma.

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Machine Learning Models Predict the Primary Sites of Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma Metastases Based on DNA Methylation

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