Project description:IntroductionImpaired glucose tolerance (IGT) is diagnosed by a standardized oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT). However, the OGTT is laborious, and when not performed, glucose tolerance cannot be determined from fasting samples retrospectively. We tested if glucose tolerance status is reasonably predictable from a combination of demographic, anthropometric, and laboratory data assessed at one time point in a fasting state.MethodsGiven a set of 22 variables selected upon clinical feasibility such as sex, age, height, weight, waist circumference, blood pressure, fasting glucose, HbA1c, hemoglobin, mean corpuscular volume, serum potassium, fasting levels of insulin, C-peptide, triglyceride, non-esterified fatty acids (NEFA), proinsulin, prolactin, cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein, HDL, uric acid, liver transaminases, and ferritin, we used supervised machine learning to estimate glucose tolerance status in 2,337 participants of the TUEF study who were recruited before 2012. We tested the performance of 10 different machine learning classifiers on data from 929 participants in the test set who were recruited after 2012. In addition, reproducibility of IGT was analyzed in 78 participants who had 2 repeated OGTTs within 1 year.ResultsThe most accurate prediction of IGT was reached with the recursive partitioning method (accuracy = 0.78). For all classifiers, mean accuracy was 0.73 ± 0.04. The most important model variable was fasting glucose in all models. Using mean variable importance across all models, fasting glucose was followed by NEFA, triglycerides, HbA1c, and C-peptide. The accuracy of predicting IGT from a previous OGTT was 0.77.ConclusionMachine learning methods yield moderate accuracy in predicting glucose tolerance from a wide set of clinical and laboratory variables. A substitution of OGTT does not currently seem to be feasible. An important constraint could be the limited reproducibility of glucose tolerance status during a subsequent OGTT.
Project description:To elucidate the age-related sex difference in glucose tolerance, we conducted 75 g oral glucose tolerance tests in 1156 participants. Participants were divided into four groups, namely, young (22-29) males, young females, middle-aged (>50) males, and middle-aged females. According to the Japanese Clinical Practice Guideline for Diabetes 2019, the prevalence of normal glucose tolerance (NGT) was significantly lower in middle-aged than in young participants. The prevalence of high-normal fasting plasma glucose (FPG) was higher, and NGT was lower in young males (high-normal FPG 15.2%, NGT 82.0%) than young females (high-FPG 3.9%, NGT 94.3%). Combined glucose intolerance (CGI) was higher and NGT was lower in middle-aged males (CGI 10.2%, NGT 25.2%) than in middle-aged females (CGI 3.3%, NGT 39.8%). FPG and body mass index (BMI) were the lowest and Homeostatic model assessment beta cell function (HOMA-β) was the highest in young females, followed by young males, middle-aged females, and middle-aged males. Multiple linear regression analysis revealed that BMI weakly correlated with HOMA-β and Matsuda index in all subjects except young females. The superior glucose tolerance in females was apparent in young, but attenuated in middle-aged females. The differences are due to the higher insulin secretion potential and lower BMI in young females.
Project description:ObjectiveThe aim of the study is to evaluate whether values and the shape of the glucose curve during the oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) in pregnancy identify women at risk of developing hypertension (HTN) later in life.Study designThis category includes the secondary analysis of a follow-up from a mild gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) study that included a treatment trial for mild GDM (n = 458) and an observational cohort of participants with abnormal 1-hour glucose loading test only (normal OGTT, n = 430). Participants were assessed at a median of 7 (IQR 6-8) years after their index pregnancy, and trained staff measured their blood pressure (systolic blood pressure [SBP]; diastolic blood pressure [DBP]). The association between values and the shape of the glucose curve during OGTT in the index pregnancy and the primary outcome defined as elevated BP (SBP ≥120, DBP ≥80 mm Hg, or receiving anti-HTN medications), and secondary outcome defined as stage 1 or higher (SBP ≥130, DBP ≥80 mm Hg, or receiving anti-HTN medications) at follow-up were evaluated using multivariable regression, adjusting for maternal age, body mass index, and pregnancy-associated hypertension during the index pregnancy.ResultsThere was no association between fasting, 1-hour OGTT, and the outcomes. However, the 2-hour OGTT value was positively associated (adjusted odds ratio [aRR] per 10-unit increase 1.04, 95% CI 1.01-1.08), and the 3-hour was inversely associated (aRR per 10-unit increase 0.96, 95% CI 0.93-0.99) with the primary outcome. When the shape of the OGTT curve was evaluated, a monophasic OGTT response (peak at 1 hour followed by a decline in glucose) was associated with increased risk of elevated BP (41.3vs. 23.5%, aRR 1.66, 95% CI 1.17-2.35) and stage 1 HTN or higher (28.5 vs. 14.7%, aRR 1.83, 95% CI 1.15-2.92), compared with a biphasic OGTT response.ConclusionAmong persons with mild GDM or lesser degrees of glucose intolerance, the shape of the OGTT curve during pregnancy may help identify women who are at risk of HTN later in life, with biphasic shape to be associated with lower risk.Key points· The shape of the Oral Glucose Tolerance Test curve may help identify patients who are at risk of having elevated BP or HTN 5 to 10 years following pregnancy.. · The 2-hour Oral Glucose Tolerance Test values is positively associated with elevated BP 5 to 10 years following pregnancy.. · This supports the concept of pregnancy as a window to future health and represents a potential novel biomarker for maternal cardiovascular health screening..
Project description:ContextMorphological characteristics of the glucose curve during an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) (time to peak and shape) may reflect different phenotypes of insulin secretion and action, but their ability to predict diabetes risk is uncertain.ObjectiveTo compare the ability of time to glucose peak and curve shape to detect prediabetes and β-cell function.Design and participantsIn a cross-sectional evaluation using an OGTT, 145 adults without diabetes (age 42±9 years (mean±SD), range 24-62 years, BMI 29.2±5.3 kg/m2 , range 19.9-45.2 kg/m2 ) were characterized by peak (30 minutes vs >30 minutes) and shape (biphasic vs monophasic).Main outcome measuresPrediabetes and disposition index (DI)-a marker of β-cell function.ResultsPrediabetes was diagnosed in 36% (52/145) of participants. Peak>30 minutes, not monophasic curve, was associated with increased odds of prediabetes (OR: 4.0 vs 1.1; P<.001). Both monophasic curve and peak>30 minutes were associated with lower DI (P≤.01). Time to glucose peak and glucose area under the curves (AUC) were independent predictors of DI (adjR2 =0.45, P<.001).ConclusionGlucose peak >30 minutes was a stronger independent indicator of prediabetes and β-cell function than the monophasic curve. Time to glucose peak may be an important tool that could enhance prediabetes risk stratification.
Project description:Post-transplant diabetes mellitus (PTDM) is a frequent complication post-heart transplantation (HT), however long-term prevalence studies are missing. The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence and determinants of PTDM as well as prediabetes long-term post-HT using oral glucose tolerance tests (OGTT). Also, the additional value of OGTT compared to fasting glucose and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) was investigated. All patients > 1 year post-HT seen at the outpatient clinic between August 2018 and April 2021 were screened with an OGTT. Patients with known diabetes, an active infection/rejection/malignancy or patients unwilling or unable to undergo OGTT were excluded. In total, 263 patients were screened, 108 were excluded. The included 155 patients had a median age of 54.3 [42.2-64.3] years, and 63 (41%) were female. Median time since HT was 8.5 [4.8-14.5] years. Overall, 51 (33%) had a normal range, 85 (55%) had a prediabetes range and 19 (12%) had a PTDM range test. OGTT identified prediabetes and PTDM in more patients (18% and 50%, respectively), than fasting glucose levels and HbA1c. Age at HT (OR 1.03 (1.00-1.06), p = 0.044) was a significant determinant of an abnormal OGTT. Prediabetes as well as PTDM are frequently seen long-term post-HT. OGTT is the preferred screening method.
Project description:BackgroundIn clinical practice, gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) is treated as a homogenous disease but emerging evidence suggests that the diagnosis of GDM possibly comprises different metabolic entities. In this study, we aimed to assess early pregnancy characteristics of gestational diabetes mellitus entities classified according to the presence of fasting and/or post-load hyperglycaemia in the diagnostic oral glucose tolerance test performed at mid-gestation.MethodsIn this prospective cohort study, 1087 pregnant women received a broad risk evaluation and laboratory examination at early gestation and were later classified as normal glucose tolerant (NGT), as having isolated fasting hyperglycaemia (GDM-IFH), isolated post-load hyperglycaemia (GDM-IPH) or combined hyperglycaemia (GDM-CH) according to oral glucose tolerance test results. Participants were followed up until delivery to assess data on pharmacotherapy and pregnancy outcomes.ResultsWomen affected by elevated fasting and post-load glucose concentrations (GDM-CH) showed adverse metabolic profiles already at beginning of pregnancy including a higher degree of insulin resistance as compared to women with normal glucose tolerance and those with isolated defects (especially GDM-IPH). The GDM-IPH subgroup had lower body mass index at early gestation and required glucose-lowering medications less often (28.9%) as compared to GDM-IFH (47.8%, P = .019) and GDM-CH (54.5%, P = .005). No differences were observed in pregnancy outcome data.ConclusionsWomen with fasting hyperglycaemia, especially those with combined hyperglycaemia, showed an unfavourable metabolic phenotype already at early gestation. Therefore, categorization based on abnormal oral glucose tolerance test values provides a practicable basis for clinical risk stratification.
Project description:ObjectiveTo ascertain to which extent the use of HbA(1c) and oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) for diagnosis of glucose tolerance could identify individuals with different pathogenetic mechanisms and cardiovascular risk profile.Research design and methodsA total of 844 subjects (44% men; age 49.5 ± 11 years; BMI 29 ± 5 kg/m(2)) participated in this study. Parameters of β-cell function were derived from deconvolution of the plasma C-peptide concentration after a 75-g OGTT and insulin sensitivity assessed by homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (IR). Cardiovascular risk profile was based on determination of plasma lipids and measurements of body weight, waist circumference, and blood pressure. Glucose regulation categories by OGTT and HbA(1c) were compared with respect to insulin action, insulin secretion, and cardiovascular risk profile.ResultsOGTT results showed 42% of the subjects had prediabetes and 15% had type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), whereas the corresponding figures based on HbA(1c) were 38 and 11%, with a respective concordance rate of 54 and 44%. Subjects meeting both diagnostic criteria for prediabetes presented greater IR and impairment of insulin secretion and had a worse cardiovascular risk profile than those with normal glucose tolerance at both diagnostic methods. In a logistic regression analyses adjusted for age, sex, and BMI, prediabetic subjects, and even more T2DM subjects by OGTT, had greater chance to have IR and impaired insulin secretion.ConclusionsHbA(1c) identifies a smaller proportion of prediabetic individuals and even a smaller proportion of T2DM individuals than OGTT, with no difference in IR, insulin secretion, and cardiovascular risk profile. Subjects fulfilling both diagnostic methods for prediabetes or T2DM are characterized by a worse metabolic profile.
Project description:BackgroundLactate is not considered just a "waste product" of anaerobic glycolysis anymore. It has been proved to play a key role in several metabolic diseases, such as in the metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease, obesity, and diabetes. The capability of simulating glucose-insulin-lactate interaction would be useful to design and test drugs targeting lactate metabolism in such pathological conditions. Minimal models are available, which describe and quantify glucose-lactate interaction but models to simulate postprandial glucose-insulin-C-peptide-lactate time courses are missing. The aim of this study is to fill this gap.MethodsStarting from the Padova Type 2 Diabetes Simulator (T2DS), we first added a description of glucose-lactate kinetics and then created a population of 100 in silico subjects to match glucose-insulin-C-peptide-lactate data of 44 adolescents with/without obesity who underwent a standard oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) of 75 g.ResultsThe developed model accurately predicts all molecules time courses, guaranteeing precise model parameter estimates (percent coefficient of variation [CV%] median [25th-75th percentile] = 19 [9-29]%). The generated in silico population shows good agreement with the clinical data in terms of area under the curve (AUC) (P = .6, .6, .9, .6 for glucose, insulin, C-peptide, and lactate, respectively) and parameter distributions (P > .1).ConclusionsWe have developed a simulator to describe glucose, insulin, C-peptide, and lactate kinetics during an OGTT, which captures the behavior of a real population of adolescents with/without obesity both in terms of average and intersubject variability. Such simulator can be used to investigate the pharmacodynamics of drugs targeting lactate metabolic pathway in various pathological conditions.
Project description:AimsEvaluate the relationship between self-reported carbohydrate intake and oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) results in pregnancy.MethodsWe measured carbohydrate intake using 24-hour dietary recall and performed a 2-hour 75-gram OGTT in 95 pregnant women with risk factors for gestational diabetes (GDM) at a median of 26 weeks' gestation. We tested for associations between carbohydrate intake in the 24 hours preceding the OGTT and 60-minute OGTT glucose, glucose at other timepoints, and glucose area under the curve (AUC) using linear regression, with adjustment for potential confounders.ResultsWe observed an inverse linear relationship between carbohydrate intake (median 237 grams [interquartile range: 196, 303]) and 60-minute OGTT glucose. For every 50 gram reduction in carbohydrate intake, there was an 8.9 mg/dl increase in 60-minute OGTT glucose (P < 0.01) in an adjusted model. Lower carbohydrate intake was also associated with higher 30-minute (adjusted β = -6.5 mg/dl, P < 0.01) and 120-minute OGTT glucose (adjusted β = -8.1 mg/dl, P = 0.01) and AUC (adjusted β = -767, P < 0.01).ConclusionsCarbohydrate intake in the day preceding an OGTT in pregnancy is associated with post-load glucose values, with lower carbohydrate intake predicting higher glucose levels and higher carbohydrate intake predicting lower glucose levels. Carbohydrate restriction or excess before an OGTT may affect GDM diagnosis.
Project description:BackgroundIn recent years an individual's ability to respond to an acute dietary challenge has emerged as a measure of their biological flexibility. Analysis of such responses has been proposed to be an indicator of health status. However, for this to be fully realised further work on differential responses to nutritional challenge is needed. This study examined whether metabolic phenotyping could identify differential responders to an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) and examined the phenotypic basis of the response.Methods and resultsA total of 214 individuals were recruited and underwent challenge tests in the form of an OGTT and an oral lipid tolerance test (OLTT). Detailed biochemical parameters, body composition and fitness tests were recorded. Mixed model clustering was employed to define 4 metabotypes consisting of 4 different responses to an OGTT. Cluster 1 was of particular interest, with this metabotype having the highest BMI, triacylglycerol, hsCRP, c-peptide, insulin and HOMA- IR score and lowest VO2max. Cluster 1 had a reduced beta cell function and a differential response to insulin and c-peptide during an OGTT. Additionally, cluster 1 displayed a differential response to the OLTT.ConclusionsThis work demonstrated that there were four distinct metabolic responses to the OGTT. Classification of subjects based on their response curves revealed an "at risk" metabolic phenotype.